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22.10.2026 03:00
Estadio Corona

Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Santos Laguna Win 35.1%
Draw 22.8%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 42.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos Laguna1.46
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WWDLW
21 GF / 18 GA
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WLDWL
24 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
6
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
10
4.75
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 15 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16 matches
Santos Laguna Statistic U.N.A.M. - Pumas
7 Wins 6
1 Draws 4
7 Losses 6
21 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 25
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
6 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 5
4.75 Shots On Goal 4.36
14.58 Total Shots 12.36
7 Corners 4.64
50.8% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward U.N.A.M. - Pumas. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Santos Laguna come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santos Laguna expected to line up in 5-4-1 and U.N.A.M. - Pumas in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward U.N.A.M. - Pumas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Santos Laguna Analysis

Santos Laguna sit 14 with 13 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 12:16 goal balance points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Bullaude (2 goals), Fran Villalba (2 goals), Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez (2 goals), with creative support from E. Bullaude (2 assists), M. Cuevas (2 assists), Fran Villalba (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Analysis

U.N.A.M. - Pumas are currently 12 in the standings with 13 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juninho (6 goals), R. Morales (3 goals), G. Martínez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Morales (3 assists), R. López (2 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna won 7 times, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:22 from Santos Laguna's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.2%)
Predicted formations: Santos Laguna 5-4-1 / U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-4-2
H2H summary: Santos Laguna wins 7, draws 2, U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 6

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 3 1 27:14 13 24
W D W D L
2 12 6 3 3 26:16 10 21
D L D L W
3 12 6 3 3 19:18 1 21
W D W D L
4 12 5 5 2 19:12 7 20
D D L D W
5 12 6 2 4 27:21 6 20
W D D L W
6 11 6 2 3 15:13 2 20
L W W D W
7 12 5 3 4 18:17 1 18
L D W D W
8 11 5 2 4 19:16 3 17
W D L W D
9 12 5 1 6 17:16 1 16
W W W W W
10 11 4 4 3 15:14 1 16
D D L D L
11 12 4 4 4 19:20 -1 16
W D L D L
12 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D D L D L
13 12 3 5 4 14:16 -2 14
D W W L D
14 12 3 4 5 19:16 3 13
L D L D W
15 12 3 4 5 16:21 -5 13
D L W W L
16 12 2 5 5 13:19 -6 11
L L W D L
17 12 2 3 7 15:25 -10 9
L D L L L
18 12 1 1 10 8:31 -23 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)