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MEXICO › LIGA MX
17.10.2026 23:00
Estadio TSM Corona
Referee: Mario Terrazas Chavez

Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds 3.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.8%
3.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.68 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.09 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Santos Laguna Win 27.4%
Draw 3.9%
Club Queretaro Win 68.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos Laguna0.99
Club Queretaro1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WWDLW
16 GF / 18 GA
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
WLDWL
20 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 14 matches
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 matches
Santos Laguna Statistic Club Queretaro
6 Wins 8
1 Draws 3
7 Losses 2
16 Goals For 20
18 Goals Against 10
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 2
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.1
14.64 Total Shots 13.2
7.36 Corners 4.8
50.2% Ball Possession 39.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Club Queretaro's more proactive style and Santos Laguna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Club Queretaro carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 17 points while Santos Laguna sit 16 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santos Laguna expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Club Queretaro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Queretaro having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Queretaro.

Santos Laguna Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 16, Santos Laguna still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 10:15 goal record continues to suggest good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Bullaude (2 goals), Fran Villalba (2 goals), K. Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from M. Cuevas (2 assists), E. Bullaude (1 assists), Fran Villalba (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Queretaro Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 17 points from 9 games, Club Queretaro bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 13:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Ávila (3 goals), S. Homenchenko (2 goals), M. Coronel (2 goals), with creative support from E. Giménez (2 assists), S. Homenchenko (1 assists), M. Coronel (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna won 6 times, Club Queretaro won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Santos Laguna's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Santos Laguna 3-4-3 / Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Santos Laguna wins 6, draws 3, Club Queretaro wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)