MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Corona
Referee: J. Valle
Santos Laguna
Match Timeline
Atlas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
M. Capasso
Atlas
🟨
29'
Efrain Orona
Santos Laguna
🟨
45'
Kevin Balanta
Santos Laguna
🔄
46'
A. Lopez ↔ L. Gomez
Santos Laguna
🟨
49'
Gustavo Ferrareis
Atlas
🟨
51'
Rodrigo Schlegel
Atlas
🟨
55'
Jorge Rodríguez
Atlas
🔄
56'
A. Gonzalez ↔ M. E. Garcia
Atlas
🔄
61'
P. Ramirez ↔ L. Gamboa
Atlas
🔄
61'
D. Gonzalez ↔ E. Zaldivar
Atlas
VAR
74'
Mateo García
Atlas
🔄
77'
S. Mariscal Murra ↔ C. Dajome
Santos Laguna
🔄
77'
E. Aguirre ↔ A. Rodriguez
Atlas
🔄
78'
F. Villalba ↔ R. Sordo
Santos Laguna
🔄
88'
K. Picon ↔ D. Medina
Santos Laguna
🔄
88'
J. Guemez ↔ T. Jimenez
Santos Laguna
🟨
89'
Luis Gómez
Santos Laguna
🟨
90+6'
Tahiel Jiménez
Santos Laguna
VAR
90+4'
Tahiel Jiménez
Santos Laguna
🟨
90+1'
Luis Gamboa
Atlas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Santos Laguna Win 34.6%
Draw 19%
Atlas Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos Laguna1.44
Atlas1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WWDLW
39 GF / 63 GA
Atlas Atlas
WLDWL
38 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.23
2.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
20
BTTS Yes
17
23
Over 2.5
16
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 31 matches
Atlas Atlas 31 matches
Santos Laguna Statistic Atlas
8 Wins 9
5 Draws 9
18 Losses 13
39 Goals For 38
63 Goals Against 53
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
2.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
20 BTTS Yes 17
25 Over 1.5 24
23 Over 2.5 16
14 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 10
4.1 Shots On Goal 3.45
10.77 Total Shots 10.74
4.29 Corners 3.48
44.2% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atlas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 19 points while Santos Laguna sit 18 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlas. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santos Laguna expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Atlas in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlas having the stronger overall control.

Santos Laguna Analysis

Santos Laguna sit 18 with 9 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 17:35, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Dajome (5 goals), L. Di Yorio (5 goals), B. Amione (4 goals), with creative support from José Abella (5 assists), Ramiro Sordo (4 assists), L. Di Yorio (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlas Analysis

Atlas sit 8 with 19 points after 14 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 14:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Uroš Đurđević (12 goals), D. Gonzalez (6 goals), A. Gonzalez (5 goals), with creative support from D. Gonzalez (6 assists), Gustavo Ferrareis (3 assists), E. Aguirre (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna won 4 times, Atlas won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Santos Laguna's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Santos Laguna 4-3-1-2 / Atlas 3-5-2
H2H summary: Santos Laguna wins 4, draws 7, Atlas wins 4
Stats
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
Atlas Atlas
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
357 Total passes 308
269 Passes accurate 207
2.10 expected_goals 0.55
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Santos Laguna
Formation
Atlas
C. Acevedo
C. Acevedo
K. Picon
K. Picon
K. Balanta
K. Balanta
E. Orona
E. Orona
E. Echeverria
E. Echeverria
S. Mariscal Murra
S. Mariscal Murra
A. Lopez
A. Lopez
J. Guemez
J. Guemez
F. Villalba
F. Villalba
E. Bullaude
E. Bullaude
L. Di Yorio
L. Di Yorio
C. Vargas
C. Vargas
Gustavo Ferrareis
Gustavo Ferrareis
M. Capasso
M. Capasso
R. Schlegel
R. Schlegel
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
V. H. Rios De Alba
V. H. Rios De Alba
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
P. Ramirez
P. Ramirez
A. Rocha
A. Rocha
D. Gonzalez
D. Gonzalez
E. Aguirre
E. Aguirre
Santos Laguna 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
C. Acevedo
G
22
K. Picon
↓ 88'
D
35
K. Balanta
🟨 45'
D
14
E. Orona
🟨 29'
D
17
E. Echeverria
D
8
S. Mariscal Murra
↓ 77'
M
5
A. Lopez
↓ 46'
M
6
J. Guemez
↓ 88'
M
21
F. Villalba
↓ 78'
M
10
E. Bullaude
F
9
L. Di Yorio
F
Substitutes
33
H. Holguin
G
4
J. Abella
D
7
C. Dajome
↑ 77'
F
19
H. Ortega
D
24
D. Medina
↑ 88'
M
26
R. Sordo
↑ 78'
M
29
T. Jimenez
↑ 88' 🟨 90+6'
F
193
L. Gomez
↑ 46' 🟨 89'
M
185
J. C. Echilvestre
D
195
N. Cedillo
M
Atlas 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
C. Vargas
G
3
Gustavo Ferrareis
🟨 49'
D
28
M. Capasso
⚽ 21'
D
21
R. Schlegel
🟨 51'
D
25
J. Rodriguez
🟨 55'
D
27
V. H. Rios De Alba
M
58
A. Gonzalez
↓ 56'
M
15
P. Ramirez
↓ 61'
M
26
A. Rocha
M
11
D. Gonzalez
↓ 61'
M
19
E. Aguirre
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
22
A. Sanchez
G
8
M. E. Garcia
↑ 56'
M
10
G. del Prete
F
4
A. Mora
D
9
A. Rodriguez
↑ 77'
F
251
L. Gamboa
↑ 61' 🟨 90+1'
F
44
R. Pier
D
13
G. Aguirre
D
6
E. Zaldivar
↑ 61'
M
199
S. Hernandez
M
Last matches: Santos Laguna
26.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
3
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
CF Pachuca
2
4
L
05.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club America
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Puebla
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
0
3
L
09.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Queretaro
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Leon
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Mazatlán
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
4
L
18.01.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
FC Juarez
2
2
D
15.01.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Toluca
1
3
L
11.01.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Necaxa
1
3
L
09.11.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Necaxa
1
4
L
26.10.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Queretaro
3
1
W
22.10.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Mazatlán
2
2
D
Last matches: Atlas
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
30.03.26
Fri
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
31.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Necaxa
1
0
W
14.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
10.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Puebla
1
0
W
05.01.26
Fri
Atlas
Monterrey
1
2
L
H2H: Santos Laguna vs Atlas
19.04.26
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
1
L
14.09.25
H2H
Atlas
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
23.02.25
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
2
0
W
17.07.24
H2H
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
L
05.02.24
H2H
Atlas
Santos Laguna
3
0
L
06.01.24
H2H
Atlas
Santos Laguna
2
3
W
14.07.23
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
0
D
27.01.23
H2H
Atlas
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
13.12.22
H2H
Atlas
Santos Laguna
0
0
D
01.08.22
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
0
W
07.02.22
H2H
Atlas
Santos Laguna
2
1
L
19.08.21
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
1
D
06.02.21
H2H
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
1
D
17.08.20
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
0
D
02.03.20
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
0
W
Last matches: Santos Laguna
26.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
3
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club America
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Puebla
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Mazatlán
1
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
FC Juarez
2
2
D
11.01.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Necaxa
1
3
L
09.11.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
26.10.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Queretaro
3
1
W
18.10.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Leon
2
0
W
25.09.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
21.09.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Atletico San Luis
1
4
L
31.08.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
11.08.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
17.07.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Toluca
2
4
L
13.07.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
20.04.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Tijuana
0
4
L
13.04.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
30.03.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Atletico San Luis
2
3
L
09.03.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Leon
2
1
W
H2H at home: Santos Laguna
19.04.26
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
1
L
23.02.25
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
2
0
W
14.07.23
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
0
D
01.08.22
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
0
W
19.08.21
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
1
D
17.08.20
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
0
D
02.03.20
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
0
W
Last matches: Atlas
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Necaxa
1
0
W
14.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
0
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
4
L
18.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
25.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
20.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
1
1
D
31.08.25
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
17.08.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
3
3
D
27.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
1
3
L
12.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Puebla
3
2
W
17.04.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
29.03.25
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
2
3
L
10.03.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
4
3
W
H2H away: Atlas
19.04.26
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
2
0
L
14.07.23
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
0
D
01.08.22
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
0
L
19.08.21
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
1
D
17.08.20
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
0
D
02.03.20
H2H
Santos Laguna
Atlas
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas Away
17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D