CHILE PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Santiago Wanderers
Match Timeline
San Marcos de Arica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
I. Flores
Santiago Wanderers
🟨
45+4'
G. Cubillos
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
45+4'
P. Navarro
Santiago Wanderers
🟥
50'
L. Navarro
Santiago Wanderers
54'
A. Maidana
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
60'
A. Cazula
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
61'
J. Silva ↔ J. Luna
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
61'
I. Flores ↔ V. Vargas
Santiago Wanderers
🟨
63'
B. Tapia
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
65'
A. Abalos ↔ G. Reyes
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
69'
C. Valenzuela ↔ Javier Parraguez
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
71'
N. Donadell ↔ M. Iturra
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
76'
D. Portilla ↔ A. Dubo
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
76'
A. Herrera ↔ M. Villarroel
Santiago Wanderers
🟨
80'
B. Tapia
San Marcos de Arica
🟥
80'
B. Tapia
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
82'
B. Sagredo ↔ V. Gallegos
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
82'
C. Melivilu Fuentes ↔ N. Zedan
San Marcos de Arica
84'
M. Camarda
Santiago Wanderers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santiago Wanderers Win 46%
Draw 19.7%
San Marcos de Arica Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santiago Wanderers1.5
San Marcos de Arica1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
WWDLW
41 GF / 37 GA
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WLDWL
24 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
14
BTTS Yes
10
16
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 23 matches
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 23 matches
Santiago Wanderers Statistic San Marcos de Arica
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 9
8 Losses 7
41 Goals For 24
37 Goals Against 25
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
14 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 15
16 Over 2.5 7
13 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Marcos de Arica. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Santiago Wanderers Analysis

Santiago Wanderers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 16 matches. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:18, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

San Marcos de Arica arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 28 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 21:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Santiago Wanderers won 5 times, San Marcos de Arica won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Santiago Wanderers's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
H2H summary: Santiago Wanderers wins 5, draws 4, San Marcos de Arica wins 0

Lineups

Santiago Wanderers
Formation
San Marcos de Arica
B. Martinez
B. Martinez
A. Herrera
A. Herrera
S. Felipe
S. Felipe
C. Valenzuela
C. Valenzuela
P. Navarro
P. Navarro
D. Portilla
D. Portilla
L. Navarro
L. Navarro
J. Silva
J. Silva
I. Flores
I. Flores
M. Camarda
M. Camarda
C. Ponce
C. Ponce
B. Tapia
B. Tapia
A. Cazula
A. Cazula
J. Rivera
J. Rivera
A. Barrios
A. Barrios
G. Cubillos
G. Cubillos
N. Donadell
N. Donadell
C. Rencoret
C. Rencoret
B. Sagredo
B. Sagredo
A. Maidana
A. Maidana
A. Abalos
A. Abalos
C. Melivilu Fuentes
C. Melivilu Fuentes
Santiago Wanderers 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
36
B. Martinez
7
A. Herrera
↓ 76'
18
S. Felipe
31
C. Valenzuela
↓ 69'
16
P. Navarro
🟨 45+4'
38
D. Portilla
↓ 76'
5
L. Navarro
🟥 50'
8
J. Silva
↓ 61'
23
I. Flores
↓ 61' 🟨 26'
9
M. Camarda
⚽ 84'
14
C. Ponce
Substitutes
25
F. Terrazas
24
A. Dubo
↑ 76'
15
M. Villarroel
↑ 76'
10
J. Luna
↑ 61'
20
L. Avendano
22
Javier Parraguez
↑ 69'
32
V. Vargas
↑ 61'
San Marcos de Arica 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
B. Tapia
🟨 63' 🟨 80' 🟥 80'
23
A. Cazula
🟨 60'
5
J. Rivera
8
A. Barrios
15
G. Cubillos
🟨 45+4'
22
N. Donadell
↓ 71'
26
C. Rencoret
10
B. Sagredo
↓ 82'
19
A. Maidana
⚽ 54'
20
A. Abalos
↓ 65'
9
C. Melivilu Fuentes
↓ 82'
Substitutes
39
V. Gallegos
↑ 82'
17
M. Moya Godoy
4
M. Iturra
↑ 71'
33
E. Benavides
11
N. Zedan
↑ 82'
16
G. Reyes
↑ 65'
Last matches: Santiago Wanderers
16.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
1
1
D
13.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
0
0
D
05.08.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
0
4
L
02.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
2
3
L
28.06.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
0
4
L
21.06.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Copiapo
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union Espanola
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Curico Unido
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Cobreloa
5
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Temuco
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Iquique
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
3
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Luis
3
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
22.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
1
2
L
16.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
1
2
L
13.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
1
L
06.08.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
2
0
W
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
H2H: Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica
08.08.26
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
16.03.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
04.08.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
1
2
W
29.09.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
10.09.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
1
2
W
10.05.23
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
03.11.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
04.02.18
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
1
W
Last matches: Santiago Wanderers
16.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
1
1
D
05.08.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
0
4
L
25.07.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
2
3
L
30.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union Espanola
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Cobreloa
5
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Temuco
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Luis
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
2
2
D
09.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Recoleta
0
2
L
07.02.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
3
1
W
16.07.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
D. La Serena
1
5
L
08.06.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
3
0
W
12.05.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
0
1
L
24.03.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Limache
0
2
L
03.02.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Colo Colo
1
0
W
06.07.24
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Palestino
2
2
D
23.06.24
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
U. Catolica
1
0
W
26.06.22
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Curico Unido
1
1
D
H2H at home: Santiago Wanderers
08.08.26
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
04.08.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
W
10.05.23
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
03.11.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
16.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
1
2
L
06.08.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
1
1
D
31.01.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
4
L
10.05.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
06.04.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobresal
0
3
L
09.02.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
D. La Serena
1
2
L
29.06.24
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
0
D
16.06.24
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
11 de Septiembre
4
0
W
01.07.23
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
0
D
26.06.23
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
4
0
W
08.04.23
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Trasandino De Socorama
5
0
W
H2H away: San Marcos de Arica
08.08.26
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
04.08.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
L
10.05.23
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
03.11.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 10 8 2 38:22 16 38
W D D D W
2 20 9 8 3 36:21 15 35
D D D W W
3 20 8 8 4 31:25 6 32
W D D D W
4 20 9 5 6 36:35 1 32
W D W W L
5 20 8 7 5 33:21 12 31
D D W W L
6 20 9 4 7 22:20 2 31
D L D W W
7 20 9 4 7 28:27 1 31
W W L L W
8 21 7 9 5 25:18 7 30
L L L D D
9 20 8 6 6 30:29 1 30
W L D W D
10 20 7 6 7 30:30 0 27
D W D L L
11 20 6 7 7 32:29 3 25
D D L L L
12 20 4 10 6 27:26 1 22
D W D D W
13 20 4 8 8 18:32 -14 20
L L D D L
14 20 5 5 10 15:35 -20 20
L W D L L
15 20 3 7 10 24:36 -12 16
L W D L L
16 21 1 6 14 18:37 -19 9
W L L D D