CHILE PRIMERA B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santiago Wanderers Win 46%
Draw 19.7%
San Marcos de Arica Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santiago Wanderers1.52
San Marcos de Arica1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
WWDLW
38 GF / 32 GA
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WLDWL
24 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
13
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 21 matches
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 22 matches
Santiago Wanderers Statistic San Marcos de Arica
9 Wins 7
5 Draws 9
7 Losses 6
38 Goals For 24
32 Goals Against 24
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
13 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 7
11 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Marcos de Arica. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Santiago Wanderers Analysis

Santiago Wanderers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 16 matches. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:18, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

San Marcos de Arica arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 28 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 21:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Santiago Wanderers won 5 times, San Marcos de Arica won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:3 from Santiago Wanderers's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
H2H summary: Santiago Wanderers wins 5, draws 3, San Marcos de Arica wins 0
Last matches: Santiago Wanderers
25.07.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
2
3
L
28.06.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
0
4
L
21.06.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Copiapo
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union Espanola
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Curico Unido
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Cobreloa
5
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Temuco
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Iquique
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
3
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Luis
3
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Recoleta
0
2
L
07.02.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
3
1
W
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
01.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
2
0
W
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
H2H: Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica
16.03.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
04.08.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
1
2
W
29.09.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
10.09.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
1
2
W
10.05.23
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
03.11.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
04.02.18
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
1
W
Last matches: Santiago Wanderers
25.07.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
2
3
L
30.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union Espanola
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Cobreloa
5
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Temuco
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Luis
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
2
2
D
09.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Recoleta
0
2
L
07.02.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
3
1
W
16.07.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
D. La Serena
1
5
L
08.06.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
3
0
W
12.05.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
0
1
L
24.03.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Limache
0
2
L
03.02.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Colo Colo
1
0
W
06.07.24
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Palestino
2
2
D
23.06.24
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
U. Catolica
1
0
W
26.06.22
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Curico Unido
1
1
D
24.06.21
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Concepción
0
1
L
08.06.19
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
A. Italiano
1
2
L
H2H at home: Santiago Wanderers
04.08.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
W
10.05.23
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
03.11.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
1
1
D
31.01.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
4
L
10.05.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
06.04.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobresal
0
3
L
09.02.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
D. La Serena
1
2
L
29.06.24
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
0
D
16.06.24
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
11 de Septiembre
4
0
W
01.07.23
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
0
D
26.06.23
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
4
0
W
08.04.23
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Trasandino De Socorama
5
0
W
20.03.22
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Provincial Ovalle
1
1
D
16.06.21
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
2
2
D
H2H away: San Marcos de Arica
04.08.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
2
0
L
10.05.23
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
03.11.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 5 2 34:19 15 32
W D W D W
2 16 8 5 3 31:18 13 29
W L D W W
3 17 7 8 2 22:12 10 29
D W L L W
4 17 7 6 4 27:23 4 27
D W W D W
5 16 8 2 6 20:18 2 26
W D L L L
6 16 7 4 5 23:20 3 25
W D D L W
7 16 6 5 5 26:19 7 23
L L W W W
8 16 6 5 5 24:19 5 23
L D L D D
9 16 6 5 5 21:23 -2 23
D W D W L
10 16 6 4 6 25:26 -1 22
L D D D L
11 16 6 4 6 24:26 -2 22
L D W L W
12 16 4 6 6 17:26 -9 18
L W W D L
13 17 3 8 6 21:24 -3 17
D W D L D
14 16 4 4 8 13:29 -16 16
L D W L W
15 16 2 6 8 21:30 -9 12
L W D D L
16 17 0 5 12 12:29 -17 5
D D L L L