BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: L. Willers Lorenzatto
Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Ypiranga-RS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Estevao
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
30'
Renan Gorne
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
44'
Alex Ruan
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Patrick Allan ↔ Renato
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Tiago Marques ↔ Eron
Santa Cruz
🟨
50'
Marcelinho
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
61'
Cleiton ↔ Rian
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
61'
Marcelinho ↔ Mago
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
67'
Edson Miranda ↔ Thiago Ennes
Santa Cruz
🔄
67'
Alex Ruan ↔ Ze Mario
Santa Cruz
🔄
69'
Estevao ↔ Leo Rafael
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
69'
Renan Gorne ↔ Vini Charopem
Ypiranga-RS
79'
Everaldo · Assist: Everaldo
Santa Cruz
🟨
80'
Eurico
Santa Cruz
🔄
80'
Vitinho ↔ Quirino
Santa Cruz
🔄
81'
Dionisio ↔ Walce
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
85'
William Alves
Santa Cruz
🟥
87'
Renato
Santa Cruz
🟨
89'
Everaldo
Santa Cruz
🟨
90+5'
Leo Gobo
Ypiranga-RS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santa Cruz Win 63.7%
Draw 12.6%
Ypiranga-RS Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Cruz1.07
Ypiranga-RS1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
4
BTTS Yes
7
1
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 11 matches
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 11 matches
Santa Cruz Statistic Ypiranga-RS
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 5
9 Goals For 15
8 Goals Against 16
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
4 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 11
1 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Santa Cruz's more proactive style and Ypiranga-RS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ypiranga-RS having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ypiranga-RS. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Ypiranga-RS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Santa Cruz Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Santa Cruz have collected 12 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcos Andre (2 goals), Pedro Favela (2 goals), Ronald (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

Ypiranga-RS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 9 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 12:15, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Estevao (3 goals), Danielzinho (2 goals), Leo Rafael (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz won 0 times, Ypiranga-RS won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Santa Cruz's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
H2H summary: Santa Cruz wins 0, draws 0, Ypiranga-RS wins 1

Lineups

Santa Cruz
Formation
Ypiranga-RS
Thiago Coelho
Thiago Coelho
Eurico
Eurico
William Alves
William Alves
Pedro Favela
Pedro Favela
Alex Ruan
Alex Ruan
Ronald
Ronald
Vitinho
Vitinho
Patrick Allan
Patrick Allan
Tiago Marques
Tiago Marques
Edson Miranda
Edson Miranda
Everaldo
🎯
Everaldo
Gabriel Werner
Gabriel Werner
Cleiton
Cleiton
Leo Gobo
Leo Gobo
Willian Gomes
Willian Gomes
Dudu
Dudu
Ramon Vinicius
Ramon Vinicius
Dionisio
Dionisio
Estevao
Estevao
Marcelinho
Marcelinho
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Renan Gorne
Renan Gorne
Santa Cruz 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Thiago Coelho
3
Eurico
🟨 80'
4
William Alves
🟨 85'
5
Pedro Favela
6
Alex Ruan
↓ 67' 🟨 44'
17
Ronald
18
Vitinho
↓ 80'
20
Patrick Allan
↓ 46'
23
Tiago Marques
↓ 46'
27
Edson Miranda
↓ 67'
37
Everaldo
⚽ 79' 🎯 79' 🟨 89'
Substitutes
25
Gabriel Souza
12
Rokenedy
2
Thiago Ennes
↑ 67'
7
Fabinho
9
Quirino
↑ 80'
11
Robinho
13
Matheus Vinicius
15
Andrey
19
Renato
↑ 46' 🟥 87'
26
Silva
28
Eron
↑ 46'
31
Ze Mario
↑ 67'
Ypiranga-RS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
Gabriel Werner
2
Cleiton
↓ 61'
21
Leo Gobo
🟨 90+5'
3
Willian Gomes
20
Dudu
43
Ramon Vinicius
27
Dionisio
↓ 81'
10
Estevao
⚽ 21' ↓ 69'
80
Marcelinho
↓ 61' 🟨 50'
23
Danielzinho
9
Renan Gorne
↓ 69' 🟨 30'
Substitutes
85
Lucas Maticoli
22
Walce
↑ 81'
4
Reinaldo
16
Lucas Ramos
5
Rian
↑ 61'
79
Leo Rafael
↑ 69'
7
Felipe Ferreira
15
Mago
↑ 61'
28
Gustavo Simoes
11
Vini Charopem
↑ 69'
Last matches: Santa Cruz
08.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
25.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ituano
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Paysandu
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Brusque
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Confiança
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
1
0
W
Last matches: Ypiranga-RS
09.08.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Floresta
4
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Barra
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Maranhão
1
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Paysandu
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Confiança
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Maringá
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Brusque
0
3
L
05.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Ituano
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Caxias
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Anápolis
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
AO Itabaiana
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Figueirense
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Ypiranga-RS
São Luiz
2
0
W
H2H: Santa Cruz vs Ypiranga-RS
20.06.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
Last matches: Santa Cruz
25.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ituano
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
0
D
30.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
0
W
18.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Treze
3
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz RN
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Central SC
0
1
L
15.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sousa
2
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviario
3
1
W
09.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
2
1
W
27.04.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Horizonte
4
0
W
H2H at home: Santa Cruz
20.06.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
Last matches: Ypiranga-RS
12.07.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Maranhão
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Brusque
0
3
L
27.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Caxias
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
AO Itabaiana
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Ypiranga-RS
São Luiz
2
0
W
H2H away: Ypiranga-RS
20.06.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 8 4 4 20:17 3 28
W L W W D
2 16 8 3 5 22:17 5 27
L W L W L
3 16 8 2 6 23:18 5 26
D W W W W
4 15 7 5 3 28:15 13 26
W L D D L
5 16 7 4 5 17:13 4 25
D L W W W
6 16 7 3 6 22:20 2 24
W W L W D
7 16 6 6 4 16:12 4 24
W L D W D
8 16 6 6 4 17:14 3 24
D D W L L
9 15 7 2 6 23:21 2 23
L W L L W
10 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W L L L
11 16 6 5 5 28:28 0 23
L D W W D
12 16 6 4 6 18:17 1 22
W L L L D
13 16 5 6 5 17:19 -2 21
L D D D W
14 16 5 6 5 13:15 -2 21
W D W L D
15 16 5 6 5 15:20 -5 21
D W D L D
16 16 5 3 8 11:21 -10 18
L L D L W
17 16 4 5 7 13:20 -7 17
L D W W W
18 16 3 6 7 17:19 -2 15
L L L W L
19 15 3 3 9 13:19 -6 12
W L L D W
20 15 3 3 9 9:15 -6 12
D L L D W
Play-offs
Relegation