BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: K. Goncalves
Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Figueirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Dudu
Figueirense
🟨
35'
Alex Ruan
Santa Cruz
40'
Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🟨
42'
Matheus Vinicius
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Matheus Vinicius ↔ Renato
Santa Cruz
🟨
50'
Pedro Favela
Santa Cruz
🔄
51'
Alex Ruan ↔ Nilton
Santa Cruz
🟨
53'
Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🔄
54'
Emerson Galego ↔ Hyuri
Figueirense
🟨
60'
William Alves
Santa Cruz
🔄
65'
Tiago Marques ↔ Eron
Santa Cruz
🔄
65'
Everaldo ↔ Ze Mario
Santa Cruz
🔄
74'
Jhonnathan ↔ Leo Maia
Figueirense
🔄
74'
Lucas Dias ↔ Felipe Santiago
Figueirense
🟨
75'
Raynan
Figueirense
🔄
77'
Ronald ↔ Fabinho
Santa Cruz
🔄
77'
Vitinho ↔ Patrick Allan
Santa Cruz
🟨
79'
Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
🔄
84'
Breno ↔ Renan Areias
Figueirense
🔄
84'
Igor Bolt ↔ Joao Marcos
Figueirense
🔄
84'
Mailson ↔ Jose Carlos
Figueirense
🟨
90+5'
Joao Marcos
Figueirense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santa Cruz Win 48.7%
Draw 17.6%
Figueirense Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Cruz1.12
Figueirense0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WWDLW
15 GF / 11 GA
Figueirense Figueirense
WLDWL
12 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 15 matches
Figueirense Figueirense 14 matches
Santa Cruz Statistic Figueirense
7 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
15 Goals For 12
11 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Santa Cruz's more proactive style and Figueirense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Santa Cruz arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 24 points compared to Figueirense in 16 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Figueirense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Santa Cruz come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Figueirense having the stronger overall control.

Santa Cruz Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 24 points from 14 games, Santa Cruz bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 15:10, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Figueirense Analysis

With 17 points from 14 games and a place of 16, Figueirense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 12:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz won 1 times, Figueirense won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Santa Cruz's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
H2H summary: Santa Cruz wins 1, draws 1, Figueirense wins 3

Lineups

Santa Cruz
Formation
Figueirense
Gabriel Souza
Gabriel Souza
Eurico
Eurico
William Alves
William Alves
Pedro Favela
Pedro Favela
Alex Ruan
Alex Ruan
Matheus Vinicius
Matheus Vinicius
Ronald
Ronald
Vitinho
Vitinho
Tiago Marques
Tiago Marques
Edson Miranda
Edson Miranda
Everaldo
Everaldo
Fabricio Santana
Fabricio Santana
Vitor Ricardo
Vitor Ricardo
Lucas Dias
Lucas Dias
Leonan Santos
Leonan Santos
Jhonnathan
Jhonnathan
Breno
Breno
Raynan
Raynan
Dudu
Dudu
Mailson
Mailson
Igor Bolt
Igor Bolt
Emerson Galego
Emerson Galego
Santa Cruz 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
Gabriel Souza
3
Eurico
4
William Alves
🟨 60'
5
Pedro Favela
🟨 50'
6
Alex Ruan
↓ 51' 🟨 35'
13
Matheus Vinicius
↓ 46' 🟨 42'
17
Ronald
↓ 77'
18
Vitinho
↓ 77'
23
Tiago Marques
↓ 65'
27
Edson Miranda
🟨 79'
37
Everaldo
↓ 65'
Substitutes
12
Rokenedy
2
Thiago Ennes
7
Fabinho
↑ 77'
14
Denis
15
Andrey
19
Renato
↑ 46'
20
Patrick Allan
↑ 77'
21
Nilton
↑ 51'
26
Silva
28
Eron
↑ 65'
30
Jefferson Bahia
31
Ze Mario
↑ 65'
Figueirense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Fabricio Santana
22
Vitor Ricardo
37
Lucas Dias
↓ 74'
3
Leonan Santos
25
Jhonnathan
↓ 74'
14
Breno
↓ 84'
7
Raynan
🟨 75'
8
Dudu
🟨 32'
17
Mailson
↓ 84'
70
Igor Bolt
↓ 84'
99
Emerson Galego
⚽ 40' ↓ 54' 🟨 53'
Substitutes
23
Junior
2
Leo Maia
↑ 74'
27
Felipe Santiago
↑ 74'
5
Renan Areias
↑ 84'
26
L. Renz
19
Joao Marcos
↑ 84' 🟨 90+5'
82
Jose Carlos
↑ 84'
88
Silvinho
91
Hyuri
↑ 54'
Last matches: Santa Cruz
22.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Caxias
2
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
1
L
08.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
12.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ituano
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Paysandu
3
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Brusque
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Confiança
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
Last matches: Figueirense
23.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Caxias
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ferroviária
2
2
D
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H: Santa Cruz vs Figueirense
25.07.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
0
1
L
14.10.17
H2H
Figueirense
Santa Cruz
2
1
L
24.06.17
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
1
1
D
25.09.16
H2H
Figueirense
Santa Cruz
3
1
L
16.06.16
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
1
0
W
Last matches: Santa Cruz
22.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Caxias
2
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ituano
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
0
D
30.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
0
W
18.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Treze
3
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz RN
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Central SC
0
1
L
15.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sousa
2
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviario
3
1
W
09.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
2
1
W
H2H at home: Santa Cruz
25.07.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
0
1
L
24.06.17
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
1
1
D
16.06.16
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
1
0
W
Last matches: Figueirense
23.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Caxias
2
1
W
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H away: Figueirense
25.07.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
0
1
W
24.06.17
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
1
1
D
16.06.16
H2H
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
1
0
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation