BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Caxias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Breno Santos
Caxias
42'
Eron
Santa Cruz
🟨
45'
William Alves
Santa Cruz
🟥
45+1'
Breno Santos
Caxias
🔄
46'
William Alves ↔ Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
57'
Matheus Vinicius
Santa Cruz
🔄
61'
Dentinho ↔ Gaspar
Caxias
🔄
68'
Marcelo Freitas ↔ Joao Lucas
Caxias
🟨
70'
Pedro Favela
Santa Cruz
🔄
73'
Pedro Favela ↔ Arilson
Santa Cruz
🔄
78'
Everaldo ↔ Patrick Allan
Santa Cruz
🔄
80'
Renato ↔ Cassiano
Santa Cruz
🔄
80'
Ronald ↔ Thiago Ennes
Santa Cruz
🔄
82'
Roberto ↔ Victor Sa
Caxias
🔄
82'
Jhonatan Ribeiro ↔ Vitor Feijao
Caxias
🔄
82'
Quirino ↔ Calyson
Caxias
🟨
90+4'
Caxias
Caxias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.1%
1.50
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.34
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Santa Cruz Win 36.9%
Draw 24.8%
Caxias Win 38.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Cruz0.89
Caxias0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WWDLW
17 GF / 15 GA
Caxias Caxias
WLDWL
17 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
7
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 18 matches
Caxias Caxias 17 matches
Santa Cruz Statistic Caxias
7 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
7 Losses 5
17 Goals For 17
15 Goals Against 14
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
7 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caxias having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Caxias. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Santa Cruz Analysis

So far, Santa Cruz have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 25 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Caxias Analysis

So far, Caxias have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz won 1 times, Caxias won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Santa Cruz's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.2%)
H2H summary: Santa Cruz wins 1, draws 0, Caxias wins 0
Last matches: Santa Cruz
15.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
1
L
08.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
25.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ituano
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Paysandu
3
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Brusque
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Confiança
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
Last matches: Caxias
16.08.26
Ser
Caxias
Figueirense
1
2
L
09.08.26
Ser
Caxias
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
11.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Floresta
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Ferroviária
1
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Anápolis
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Guarani Campinas
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Maranhão
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Barra
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Amazonas
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Brusque
1
2
L
H2H: Santa Cruz vs Caxias
22.08.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Caxias
2
0
W
Last matches: Santa Cruz
15.08.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
1
L
25.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Figueirense
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ituano
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
0
D
30.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
0
W
18.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Treze
3
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz RN
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Central SC
0
1
L
15.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sousa
2
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviario
3
1
W
09.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
2
1
W
H2H at home: Santa Cruz
22.08.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Caxias
2
0
W
Last matches: Caxias
09.08.26
Ser
Caxias
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Ferroviária
1
0
W
13.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Guarani Campinas
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Maranhão
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Barra
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Amazonas
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Brusque
1
2
L
H2H away: Caxias
22.08.26
H2H
Santa Cruz
Caxias
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.16
Draw 2.89
Home 2.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.0 1.18
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 1.75 1.61
Over 2.0 1.85
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.44
Over 2.75 2.92
Under 1.0 4.47
Under 1.25 3.26
Under 1.5 2.55
Under 1.75 2.25
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.66
Under 2.5 1.51
Under 2.75 1.37
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.80
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 1.91
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 8.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.22
Draw 2.88
Home 2.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 1.82
Home 3.06
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.69
Draw 2.17
Home 2.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.25
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.54
Over 2.0 1.75
Over 2.25 2.08
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 2.75 2.81
Over 3.0 3.74
Over 3.25 4.14
Over 3.5 4.55
Over 3.75 5.90
Over 4.0 8.90
Over 4.25 6.89
Over 4.5 10.50
Over 4.75 7.50
Over 5.0 8.90
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.75
Under 0.75 6.05
Under 1.0 5.35
Under 1.25 3.28
Under 1.5 2.52
Under 1.75 2.19
Under 2.0 1.88
Under 2.25 1.65
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.33
Under 3.0 1.19
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.13
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 4.75 1.03
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.10
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.06
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.30
Home 2.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.38
Over 2.0 1.68
Over 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 2.75 2.65
Over 3.0 3.40
Over 3.5 4.10
Over 4.5 5.80
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.63
Under 1.75 2.65
Under 2.0 1.98
Under 2.25 1.70
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.25
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.5 1.09

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation