Santa Cruz vs Caxias Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
63.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Santa Cruz
Caxias
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santa Cruz
18 matches
Caxias
17 matches
| Santa Cruz | Statistic | Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 17 | Goals For | 17 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caxias having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Caxias. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Santa Cruz have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 25 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Caxias have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz won 1 times, Caxias won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Santa Cruz's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 32 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 30 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 30 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 29 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Santa Cruz
Home
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 10 | 28 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Caxias
Away
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 15 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | -13 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
D
L
D
|