BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck
Santa Catarina
Match Timeline
Cascavel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
59'
Gui Nascimento
Santa Catarina

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.1%
-
BTTS No
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
71.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santa Catarina Win 58.1%
Draw 9.6%
Cascavel Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Catarina1.07
Cascavel1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Catarina Santa Catarina
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
Cascavel Cascavel
WLDWL
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Catarina Santa Catarina 9 matches
Cascavel Cascavel 9 matches
Santa Catarina Statistic Cascavel
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
14 Goals For 9
9 Goals Against 3
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
3 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cascavel. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cascavel having the stronger overall control. Santa Catarina come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Santa Catarina Analysis

Santa Catarina come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 9 matches. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:9, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Alex Goncalves (3 goals), Mendes (2 goals), Piaui (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Cascavel Analysis

Placed 2 with 15 points from 9 outings, Cascavel continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:3 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ze Carlos (3 goals), Kauhe Galdino (2 goals), Robinho (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Santa Catarina won 1 times, Cascavel won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Santa Catarina's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
H2H summary: Santa Catarina wins 1, draws 0, Cascavel wins 1
Last matches: Santa Catarina
27.06.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Sao Jose
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Sao Jose
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cianorte
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
São Luiz
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Joinville
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Guarany de Bagé
3
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Joinville
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
São Luiz
4
4
D
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cianorte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cascavel
0
1
L
Last matches: Cascavel
28.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
H2H: Santa Catarina vs Cascavel
07.06.26
H2H
Santa Catarina
Cascavel
1
0
W
05.04.26
H2H
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
L
Last matches: Santa Catarina
27.06.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Sao Jose
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
São Luiz
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Joinville
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Guarany de Bagé
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cianorte
1
0
W
H2H at home: Santa Catarina
07.06.26
H2H
Santa Catarina
Cascavel
1
0
W
Last matches: Cascavel
28.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Itabirito
1
1
D
17.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
1
1
D
H2H away: Cascavel
07.06.26
H2H
Santa Catarina
Cascavel
1
0
L