Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
53.3%
|
- |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11 matches
V-varen Nagasaki
11 matches
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Statistic | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 16 | Goals For | 12 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.2 |
| 16.4 | Total Shots | 10.4 |
| 6.1 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 54.7% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Sanfrecce Hiroshima's more proactive style and V-varen Nagasaki's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring V-varen Nagasaki. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 7 with 13 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Suzuki (3 goals), R. Germain (3 goals), K. Kinoshita (2 goals), with creative support from A. Suzuki (2 assists), H. Kawabe (2 assists), S. Higashi (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
V-varen Nagasaki sit 8 with 12 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:15 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Matheus Jesus (4 goals), Thiago (3 goals), N. Campbell (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Jesus (2 assists), N. Campbell (2 assists), Motoki Hasegawa (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:1 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
9
1
5
3
8
4
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
NK Slaven Belupo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sturm Graz
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Utrecht
V-varen Nagasaki
NEC Nijmegen
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Utrecht
V-varen Nagasaki
NEC Nijmegen
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Home
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Away
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|