JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
30.05.2026 05:00
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Referee: K. Takasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Match Timeline
Kawasaki Frontale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
Y. Yamamoto ↔ S. Kawahara
Kawasaki Frontale
11'
S. Nakamura · Assist: T. Matsumoto
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
20'
M. Kato · Assist: A. Suzuki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🟨
35'
Marcinho
Kawasaki Frontale
VAR
40'
Kyosuke Mochiyama
Kawasaki Frontale
43'
T. Ito
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
67'
A. Suzuki ↔ K. Kinoshita
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
67'
M. Kato ↔ Y. Nakajima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
69'
Marcinho ↔ K. Konno
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
69'
T. Ito ↔ R. Osa
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
69'
K. Mochiyama ↔ L. Romanic
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
78'
S. Higashi ↔ Y. Chajima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
88'
S. Nakamura ↔ N. Maeda
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
88'
K. Tachibanada ↔ S. Kanda
Kawasaki Frontale

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win 64.5%
Draw 6.6%
Kawasaki Frontale Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.6
Kawasaki Frontale1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WWDLW
32 GF / 25 GA
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WLDWL
29 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 19 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 19 matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Statistic Kawasaki Frontale
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
7 Losses 7
32 Goals For 29
25 Goals Against 28
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
13 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 7
5 Shots On Goal 3.83
16 Total Shots 11.78
5.78 Corners 4.72
54% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima's more proactive style and Kawasaki Frontale's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kawasaki Frontale. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Kawasaki Frontale in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kawasaki Frontale having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 30 points after 18 matches. With 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:23, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Suzuki (5 goals), K. Kinoshita (3 goals), M. Kato (3 goals), with creative support from S. Higashi (7 assists), A. Suzuki (3 assists), H. Kawabe (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 28 points from 18 games, Kawasaki Frontale bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a 26:28 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Erison (7 goals), Y. Wakizaka (5 goals), Kyosuke Mochiyama (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Wakizaka (4 assists), Y. Yamamoto (2 assists), K. Tachibanada (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4 times, Kawasaki Frontale won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:26 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1 / Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins 4, draws 5, Kawasaki Frontale wins 6

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)