NORWAY 1. DIVISION
20.09.2026 15:00
Referee: J. W. Grundt

Sandnes ULF vs Moss Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.1%
1.36
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.50
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.04
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Sandnes ULF Win 38.9%
Draw 36.2%
Moss Win 24.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandnes ULF1.81
Moss1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandnes ULF Sandnes ULF
WWDLW
45 GF / 48 GA
Moss Moss
WLDWL
57 GF / 75 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
2.21
14
BTTS Yes
26
14
Over 2.5
28
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandnes ULF Sandnes ULF 29 matches
Moss Moss 34 matches
Sandnes ULF Statistic Moss
10 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
13 Losses 19
45 Goals For 57
48 Goals Against 75
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 2.21
14 BTTS Yes 26
25 Over 1.5 33
14 Over 2.5 28
10 Over 3.5 19
8 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Moss having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Moss. Sandnes ULF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sandnes ULF Analysis

With 24 points from 21 games and a place of 11, Sandnes ULF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 30:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Moss Analysis

Moss are currently 13 in the standings with 22 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, while the 35:47 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sandnes ULF won 3 times, Moss won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Sandnes ULF's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75.1%)
H2H summary: Sandnes ULF wins 3, draws 1, Moss wins 2

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
6 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
7 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14
Moss Away
22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
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