NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Jotun Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sandefjord Win 25.1%
Draw 4.6%
Viking Win 70.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandefjord1.16
Viking1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WWDLW
36 GF / 36 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
69 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
14
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
21
4.41
Shots on Goal
5.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandefjord Sandefjord 28 matches
Viking Viking 29 matches
Sandefjord Statistic Viking
12 Wins 21
6 Draws 5
10 Losses 3
36 Goals For 69
36 Goals Against 28
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
14 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 21
8 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 1
4.41 Shots On Goal 5.58
14.59 Total Shots 14.21
5.65 Corners 6.74
50.2% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Viking's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Viking. Sandefjord have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sandefjord expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Viking in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 40 points while Sandefjord sit 13 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord sit 13 with 18 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 15:23 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Evangelos Patoulidis (3 goals), Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), Sebastian Holm Mathisen (2 goals), with creative support from Vetle Walle Egeli (2 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), Ruben Alte (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 40 points after 17 outings. The return of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 40:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Peter Christiansen (8 goals), Zlatko Tripić (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (3 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sandefjord won 2 times, Viking won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:28 from Sandefjord's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.62 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Sandefjord 4-1-4-1 / Viking 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sandefjord wins 2, draws 2, Viking wins 9

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen