NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Jotun Arena
Referee: M. Grotta
Sandefjord
Match Timeline
Rosenborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Rosenborg
🟨
54'
Vetle Walle Egeli
Sandefjord
🟨
58'
Nikolaj Möller
Sandefjord
🔄
73'
J. Mortensen ↔ J. Svensson
Rosenborg
🟨
74'
Edvard Pettersen
Sandefjord
🔄
78'
R. Alte ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🔄
78'
E. Pettersen ↔ B. Berntsen
Sandefjord
🔄
79'
E. Patoulidis ↔ R. Dzabic
Sandefjord
🔄
83'
S. Nordli ↔ A. Pereira
Rosenborg
🔄
83'
I. Fossum ↔ J. Bakke
Rosenborg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
55.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Sandefjord Win 68%
Draw 5.2%
Rosenborg Win 26.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandefjord1.47
Rosenborg1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WWDLW
24 GF / 17 GA
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
7
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
4
4.75
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandefjord Sandefjord 14 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg 10 matches
Sandefjord Statistic Rosenborg
9 Wins 5
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
24 Goals For 11
17 Goals Against 11
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
7 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 5
4.75 Shots On Goal 2.25
15.25 Total Shots 9.25
5.75 Corners 6.75
51.3% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Rosenborg seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sandefjord arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 6 points compared to Rosenborg in 13 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rosenborg. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sandefjord expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Rosenborg in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rosenborg having the stronger overall control. Rosenborg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Sandefjord Analysis

From their first 4 matches, Sandefjord have collected 6 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 0:3 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Patoulidis (1 goals), J. Vester (1 goals), S. Mork (1 goals), with creative support from B. Berntsen (1 assists), Z. Smajlovic (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Swift unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Rosenborg Analysis

Rosenborg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 3 points from 4 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 0:4 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mads Bomholt (1 goals), S. Nordli (1 goals), with creative support from I. Fossum (1 assists), O. Selnaes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Duris, E. Slordal, A. F. Witry unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sandefjord won 2 times, Rosenborg won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Sandefjord's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Sandefjord 4-2-3-1 / Rosenborg 4-4-2
Missing players: Sandefjord 1, Rosenborg 4
H2H summary: Sandefjord wins 2, draws 3, Rosenborg wins 8
Stats
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
6
7 Corner Kicks 11
17 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 6
9 Shots insidebox 15
8 Shots outsidebox 2
6 Goalkeeper Saves 6
455 Total passes 427
385 Passes accurate 348
1.13 expected_goals 1.33
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sandefjord
Formation
Rosenborg
E. Hadaya
E. Hadaya
F. Pedersen
F. Pedersen
Z. Smajlovic
Z. Smajlovic
X. Lambrix
X. Lambrix
V. Egeli
V. Egeli
E. Pettersen
E. Pettersen
S. Mork
S. Mork
E. Patoulidis
E. Patoulidis
R. Alte
R. Alte
J. Dunsby
J. Dunsby
N. Moller
N. Moller
L. Wahlstedt
L. Wahlstedt
J. Mortensen
J. Mortensen
H. Rosten
H. Rosten
T. Nemcik
T. Nemcik
T. Dahl
T. Dahl
S. Nordli
S. Nordli
O. Selnaes
O. Selnaes
I. Fossum
I. Fossum
E. K. Ceide
E. K. Ceide
M. Bomholt
M. Bomholt
A. Chiakha
A. Chiakha
Sandefjord 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
E. Hadaya
G
4
F. Pedersen
D
2
Z. Smajlovic
D
44
X. Lambrix
D
3
V. Egeli
🟨 54'
D
14
E. Pettersen
↓ 78' 🟨 74'
M
6
S. Mork
M
7
E. Patoulidis
↓ 79'
M
10
R. Alte
↓ 78'
M
27
J. Dunsby
M
11
N. Moller
🟨 58'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Gronneberg
G
8
R. Dzabic
↑ 79'
M
47
S. Kristiansen
D
37
J. Vester
M
24
S. Mathisen
↑ 78'
F
5
G. Hojbjerg
D
17
F. Apetorgbor
F
19
B. Berntsen
↑ 78'
F
Rosenborg 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
L. Wahlstedt
G
15
J. Mortensen
↓ 73'
D
2
H. Rosten
D
21
T. Nemcik
D
3
T. Dahl
D
7
S. Nordli
↓ 83' 🟨 42'
M
10
O. Selnaes
M
8
I. Fossum
↓ 83'
M
35
E. K. Ceide
M
17
M. Bomholt
F
18
A. Chiakha
F
Substitutes
12
R. Sandberg
G
6
S. Vaananen
M
4
M. K. Ceide
D
14
J. Reitan-Sunde
F
22
J. Svensson
↑ 73'
D
9
D. Islamovic
F
19
A. Pereira
↑ 83'
D
25
J. Bakke
↑ 83'
M
5
H. Volden
D
Last matches: Sandefjord
07.08.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
26.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
L
12.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
30.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Molde
1
2
L
25.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Aalesund
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Start
3
2
W
02.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Ranheim
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stabaek
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Aalborg
4
0
W
Last matches: Rosenborg
09.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
02.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
2
3
L
27.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Manchester United
0
5
L
18.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Start
3
0
W
12.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
24.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
W
H2H: Sandefjord vs Rosenborg
18.04.26
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
29.10.25
H2H
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
1
1
D
06.07.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
2
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
1
L
01.04.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
2
0
L
12.11.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
3
2
W
23.04.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
1
1
D
19.02.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
1
L
19.02.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
1
0
L
12.08.22
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
2
5
L
16.05.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
3
0
L
30.10.21
H2H
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
0
0
D
24.10.21
H2H
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
4
1
L
30.06.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
27.05.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
1
2
L
Last matches: Sandefjord
07.08.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
26.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
10.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Aalesund
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Start
3
2
W
02.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Ranheim
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stabaek
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Aalborg
4
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Skeid
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Bryne
2
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Eik-Tønsberg
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sandefjord
18.04.26
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
06.07.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
2
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
1
L
12.11.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
3
2
W
19.02.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
1
L
12.08.22
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
2
5
L
30.06.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
27.05.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
1
2
L
Last matches: Rosenborg
09.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
02.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
2
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Start
3
0
W
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
19.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Ranheim
2
1
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
1
4
L
14.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Hammarby FF
1
0
W
31.07.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Banga
2
0
W
H2H away: Rosenborg
18.04.26
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
06.07.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
2
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
1
W
12.11.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
3
2
L
19.02.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
1
W
12.08.22
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
2
5
W
30.06.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
27.05.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
1
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 16 13 1 2 39:15 24 40
W W D W W
3 16 10 4 2 32:17 15 34
W W W D D
4 16 8 1 7 22:20 2 25
L L L W W
5 16 7 3 6 29:24 5 24
L D W L D
6 16 7 1 8 33:27 6 22
W L W W L
7 16 6 4 6 19:21 -2 22
L D W D W
8 16 6 4 6 24:27 -3 22
D W L L L
9 16 6 3 7 23:21 2 21
W L W W W
10 16 6 2 8 23:29 -6 20
L L W W L
11 16 6 2 8 17:27 -10 20
W W L L L
12 16 5 3 8 18:26 -8 18
W W L L L
13 16 4 3 9 13:22 -9 15
L L L L D
14 16 4 3 9 15:26 -11 15
W L L D L
15 16 2 8 6 22:36 -14 14
D L D L D
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Sandefjord 1 missing
-
J. Swift
Questionable Injury
OUT
Rosenborg 4 missing
-
D. Duris
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
E. Slordal
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
A. F. Witry
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
N. Sahsah
Missing Fixture Hand Injury
OUT