NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Jotun Arena
Referee: U. Aslam
Sandefjord
Match Timeline
Fredrikstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
63'
N. Moller · Assist: R. Alte
Sandefjord
🔄
70'
S. Laghzaoui ↔ B. Faraas
Fredrikstad
🔄
78'
N. Moller ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🔄
78'
E. Patoulidis ↔ B. Berntsen
Sandefjord
🔄
78'
S. Sorlokk ↔ F. Ghebreyohannes
Fredrikstad
🔄
78'
S. Leach ↔ M. Nilsson
Fredrikstad
🟨
82'
Sander Risan Mörk
Sandefjord
🟨
82'
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fredrikstad
🟨
84'
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrikstad
🟨
86'
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Sandefjord
🔄
88'
S. Rafn ↔ E. Granaas
Fredrikstad
🟨
90+7'
Eirik Granaas
Fredrikstad
🔄
90+4'
S. Mork ↔ R. Dzabic
Sandefjord
90'
B. Faraas · Assist: F. Holme
Fredrikstad

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sandefjord Win 72.3%
Draw 14.1%
Fredrikstad Win 13.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandefjord1.57
Fredrikstad1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WWDLW
29 GF / 23 GA
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WLDWL
28 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
9
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
11
5.11
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandefjord Sandefjord 19 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 16 matches
Sandefjord Statistic Fredrikstad
11 Wins 8
3 Draws 3
5 Losses 5
29 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 26
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
9 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
5.11 Shots On Goal 3.67
15.11 Total Shots 10.78
5.89 Corners 4.44
53% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fredrikstad. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sandefjord expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Fredrikstad in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fredrikstad having the stronger overall control. Fredrikstad arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord sit 8 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 8:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Patoulidis (2 goals), Nikolaj Möller (2 goals), J. Vester (1 goals), with creative support from B. Berntsen (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), Vetle Walle Egeli (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fredrikstad Analysis

With 10 points from 9 games and a place of 10, Fredrikstad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 12:18, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through R. R. Shein (2 goals), S. Hestnes (2 goals), D. Eid (1 goals), with creative support from R. R. Shein (1 assists), S. Hestnes (1 assists), D. Eid (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sandefjord won 2 times, Fredrikstad won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Sandefjord's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Sandefjord 4-1-4-1 / Fredrikstad 3-5-2
Missing players: Sandefjord 5, Fredrikstad 3
H2H summary: Sandefjord wins 2, draws 3, Fredrikstad wins 4
Stats
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 5
12 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Goal 7
1 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 11
3 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
354 Total passes 489
266 Passes accurate 412
0.86 expected_goals 1.27
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sandefjord
Formation
Fredrikstad
E. Hadaya
E. Hadaya
F. Pedersen
F. Pedersen
X. Lambrix
X. Lambrix
S. Kristiansen
S. Kristiansen
V. Egeli
V. Egeli
M. Melchior
M. Melchior
S. Mork
S. Mork
J. Vester
J. Vester
E. Patoulidis
E. Patoulidis
N. Moller
N. Moller
R. Alte
🎯
R. Alte
M. Borsheim
M. Borsheim
D. Eid
D. Eid
F. Holme
🎯
F. Holme
U. Fredriksen
U. Fredriksen
S. Rafn
S. Rafn
S. Sorlokk
S. Sorlokk
O. Ohlenschlaeger
O. Ohlenschlaeger
S. Leach
S. Leach
R. R. Shein
R. R. Shein
S. Laghzaoui
S. Laghzaoui
H. Skogvold
H. Skogvold
Sandefjord 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
E. Hadaya
G
4
F. Pedersen
🟨 86'
D
44
X. Lambrix
D
47
S. Kristiansen
D
3
V. Egeli
D
20
M. Melchior
M
6
S. Mork
↓ 90+4' 🟨 82'
M
37
J. Vester
M
7
E. Patoulidis
↓ 78'
F
11
N. Moller
⚽ 63' ↓ 78'
F
10
R. Alte
🎯 63'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Gronneberg
G
8
R. Dzabic
↑ 90+4'
M
21
J. Swift
24
S. Mathisen
↑ 78'
F
5
G. Hojbjerg
D
17
F. Apetorgbor
F
19
B. Berntsen
↑ 78'
F
Fredrikstad 5-4-1
Starting XI
77
M. Borsheim
G
16
D. Eid
D
4
F. Holme
🎯 90' 🟨 84'
D
12
U. Fredriksen
D
5
S. Rafn
↓ 88'
D
13
S. Sorlokk
↓ 78'
D
20
O. Ohlenschlaeger
M
6
S. Leach
↓ 78'
M
21
R. R. Shein
M
9
S. Laghzaoui
↓ 70'
M
23
H. Skogvold
F
Substitutes
1
O. Ovretveit
G
19
F. Ghebreyohannes
↑ 78' 🟨 82'
D
14
M. Nilsson
↑ 78'
M
26
J. Nysveen
D
2
K. Okpaleke
D
3
A. Andresen
D
7
B. Faraas
⚽ 90' ↑ 70'
M
18
J. Norbye
D
15
E. Granaas
↑ 88' 🟨 90+7'
M
Last matches: Sandefjord
26.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
L
12.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
30.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Molde
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Aalesund
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
18.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Start
3
2
W
02.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Ranheim
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stabaek
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Aalborg
4
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Skeid
2
2
D
06.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Valerenga
2
5
L
Last matches: Fredrikstad
27.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
0
4
L
17.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
11.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
3
L
28.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
0
0
D
20.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
1
0
W
H2H: Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
25.05.26
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
0
D
21.04.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
3
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
01.12.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
28.04.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
0
L
08.03.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
2
0
L
27.09.16
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
30.04.16
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
2
W
Last matches: Sandefjord
26.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
10.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Aalesund
1
0
W
18.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Start
3
2
W
02.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Ranheim
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stabaek
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Aalborg
4
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Skeid
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Bryne
2
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Eik-Tønsberg
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sandefjord
25.05.26
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
0
D
15.02.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
01.12.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
27.09.16
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
Last matches: Fredrikstad
27.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
0
4
L
17.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
3
L
09.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
2
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
2
2
D
21.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
H2H away: Fredrikstad
25.05.26
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
0
D
15.02.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
01.12.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
1
W
27.09.16
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
2
1
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 37:11 26 35
W W W W D
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 14 6 2 6 22:24 -2 20
W W L W L
8 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
9 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:26 -6 18
L L L D D
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Sandefjord 5 missing
-
J. Swift
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Loftesnes-Bjune
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
J. Dunsby
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
H. Krogelien
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Z. Smajlovic
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Fredrikstad 3 missing
-
S. Kvile
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Owusu
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Nunez
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT