ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio La Ciudadela

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Martin Tucuman Win 33.8%
Draw 22.7%
Deportivo Madryn Win 43.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin Tucuman0.94
Deportivo Madryn1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WLDWL
29 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
9
BTTS Yes
13
5
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 25 matches
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 23 matches
San Martin Tucuman Statistic Deportivo Madryn
7 Wins 8
11 Draws 9
7 Losses 6
22 Goals For 29
20 Goals Against 24
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
9 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 16
5 Over 2.5 12
1 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Madryn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Madryn having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman are currently 9 in the standings with 30 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 21:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Deportivo Madryn sit 8 with 33 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 29:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, San Martin Tucuman won 1 times, Deportivo Madryn won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from San Martin Tucuman's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
H2H summary: San Martin Tucuman wins 1, draws 2, Deportivo Madryn wins 1
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
01.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Colegiales
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Midland
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
09.05.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Banfield
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Agropecuario
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Madryn
02.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
All Boys
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Los Andes
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Moron
2
2
D
05.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
21.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Los Andes
2
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
2
D
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Telmo
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Acassuso
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Central Norte
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Racing Cordoba
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Almirante Brown
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
CA Estudiantes
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
All Boys
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
H2H: San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn
29.03.26
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
3
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
26.02.22
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
W
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
25.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
0
0
D
H2H at home: San Martin Tucuman
06.04.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo Madryn
26.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Los Andes
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Moron
2
2
D
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Telmo
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Central Norte
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Racing Cordoba
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
All Boys
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
25.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin S.J.
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
05.02.21
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Telmo
0
0
D
H2H away: Deportivo Madryn
06.04.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 12 5 6 35:27 8 41
L L W D D
2 22 10 9 3 21:12 9 39
W W W L D
3 23 9 10 4 24:20 4 37
L W W D W
4 22 11 3 8 28:22 6 36
L L W L L
5 22 9 7 6 23:16 7 34
D W W D D
6 23 9 7 7 24:22 2 34
W W W D W
7 23 9 5 9 31:24 7 32
W L D W W
8 23 8 7 8 17:19 -2 31
D W L L L
9 23 7 9 7 21:19 2 30
L L D W W
10 22 8 5 9 21:21 0 29
W W L L W
11 22 7 8 7 20:20 0 29
W L D L W
12 23 8 5 10 20:26 -6 29
L D W L W
13 23 7 7 9 23:20 3 28
W D L L W
14 21 7 6 8 22:22 0 27
D L W L W
15 22 7 5 10 18:23 -5 26
W L D W D
16 22 4 11 7 16:21 -5 23
D L D L D
17 23 5 8 10 18:28 -10 23
L W D D L
18 22 5 4 13 20:39 -19 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation