ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
16.08.2026 20:00
Estadio La Ciudadela
San Martin Tucuman
Match Timeline
Deportivo Madryn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
L. Diarte
Deportivo Madryn
16'
B. Cabrera · Assist: G. Carabajal
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
25'
A. Graneros
San Martin Tucuman
🟥
36'
J. Juarez
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
39'
A. Veliez ↔ V. Salazar
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
45+4'
M. Meli
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
46'
L. Arfaras ↔ G. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
A. Graneros ↔ A. Paz
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
F. Recalde ↔ C. Machado
Deportivo Madryn
54'
B. Cabrera · Assist: G. Carabajal
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
63'
J. Cosi ↔ A. Dionisio
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
63'
L. Diarte ↔ D. Martinez
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
63'
L. Marinucci ↔ J. Peinipil
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
68'
B. Cabrera ↔ A. Cisnero
San Martin Tucuman
81'
C. Corvalan · Assist: M. Meli
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
83'
G. Carabajal ↔ M. Garcia
San Martin Tucuman
87'
L. Silba
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
88'
C. Machado
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
90+2'
M. Garcia
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
90+3'
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin Tucuman

San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Martin Tucuman Win 33.8%
Draw 22.7%
Deportivo Madryn Win 43.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin Tucuman0.93
Deportivo Madryn1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WLDWL
30 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
13
5
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 26 matches
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 24 matches
San Martin Tucuman Statistic Deportivo Madryn
7 Wins 9
12 Draws 9
7 Losses 6
23 Goals For 30
21 Goals Against 24
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 16
5 Over 2.5 12
1 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Madryn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Madryn having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman are currently 9 in the standings with 30 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 21:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Deportivo Madryn sit 8 with 33 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 29:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, San Martin Tucuman won 1 times, Deportivo Madryn won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from San Martin Tucuman's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
H2H summary: San Martin Tucuman wins 1, draws 3, Deportivo Madryn wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 29 11 9 9 31:27 4 42
D L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
10 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation