ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio La Ciudadela

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Martin Tucuman Win 79.3%
Draw 7%
Club Atlético Güemes Win 13.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin Tucuman1.24
Club Atlético Güemes0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
WLDWL
21 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
12
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 28 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 26 matches
San Martin Tucuman Statistic Club Atlético Güemes
8 Wins 5
13 Draws 7
7 Losses 14
27 Goals For 21
24 Goals Against 43
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
12 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by San Martin Tucuman's more proactive style and Club Atlético Güemes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Club Atlético Güemes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Atlético Güemes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Club Atlético Güemes having the stronger overall control. San Martin Tucuman arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 32 points compared to Club Atlético Güemes in 18 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman sit 10 with 32 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 24:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

With 21 points from 25 games and a place of 18, Club Atlético Güemes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 21:43 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, San Martin Tucuman won 3 times, Club Atlético Güemes won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from San Martin Tucuman's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: San Martin Tucuman wins 3, draws 4, Club Atlético Güemes wins 1
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
23.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
2
1
W
16.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
09.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Colegiales
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Midland
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
09.05.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Banfield
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Agropecuario
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
Last matches: Club Atlético Güemes
24.08.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
19.08.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Agropecuario
0
3
L
03.08.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Tristan Suarez
1
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin S.J.
0
2
L
04.07.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Nueva Chicago
0
2
L
21.06.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
3
L
14.06.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Temperley
1
4
L
07.06.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Almagro
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Patronato
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Colegiales
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Quilmes
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Midland
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atlanta
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
H2H: San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes
12.04.26
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
W
06.07.25
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
2
1
L
02.03.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
27.10.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
2
D
09.06.24
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
23.09.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
15.05.23
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
W
27.08.22
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
4
0
W
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
16.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
09.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
0
0
D
H2H at home: San Martin Tucuman
02.03.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
27.10.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
2
D
23.09.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
4
0
W
Last matches: Club Atlético Güemes
19.08.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Agropecuario
0
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
04.07.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Nueva Chicago
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Temperley
1
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Almagro
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Colegiales
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Midland
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
H2H away: Club Atlético Güemes
02.03.25
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
27.10.24
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
2
D
23.09.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
4
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation