ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
20.09.2026 20:00

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.5%
1.83
BTTS No
50.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.86
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.72
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 3-0
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
San Martin S.J. Win 65.5%
Draw 12.5%
Colegiales Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin S.J.1.02
Colegiales0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
WWDLW
33 GF / 27 GA
Colegiales Colegiales
WLDWL
29 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
16
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 31 matches
Colegiales Colegiales 29 matches
San Martin S.J. Statistic Colegiales
12 Wins 11
10 Draws 7
9 Losses 11
33 Goals For 29
27 Goals Against 28
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
16 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Colegiales. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Martin S.J. come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colegiales having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

San Martin S.J. Analysis

From their first 27 matches, San Martin S.J. have collected 41 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 31:26 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Colegiales Analysis

So far, Colegiales have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 40 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, while the 29:28 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, San Martin S.J. won 0 times, Colegiales won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from San Martin S.J.'s perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: San Martin S.J. - / Colegiales 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: San Martin S.J. wins 0, draws 0, Colegiales wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 29 11 9 9 31:27 4 42
D L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
10 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation