ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
San Martin S.J.
Match Timeline
Atletico DE Rafaela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
G. Acosta ↔ R. Rumbolo
San Martin S.J.
🔄
46'
F. Nadalin ↔ F. Murillo
San Martin S.J.
🔄
46'
L. Monje ↔ D. A. Mercado Carrizo
San Martin S.J.
🔄
53'
J. Cavallaro ↔ F. Jourdan
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
57'
F. Murillo
San Martin S.J.
🟨
65'
D. A. Mercado Carrizo
San Martin S.J.
🔄
69'
S. Jaurena ↔ N. Iachetti
San Martin S.J.
🔄
71'
L. Albertengo ↔ M. Morello
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
71'
A. Obando ↔ M. Fernandez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
71'
M. Moreno ↔ M. Quiroga
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
79'
E. Wuattier ↔ A. Gonzalez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
80'
F. Coronel ↔ L. Ferreyra
San Martin S.J.
83'
L. Ferreyra · Assist: N. Funez
San Martin S.J.
88'
F. Jourdan · Assist: M. Pardo
Atletico DE Rafaela

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.9%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Martin S.J. Win 70.9%
Draw 14.7%
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 14.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martin S.J.0.99
Atletico DE Rafaela0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
0.7
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
12
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 22 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 23 matches
San Martin S.J. Statistic Atletico DE Rafaela
8 Wins 8
6 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
23 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 21
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
12 BTTS Yes 6
16 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with San Martin S.J.'s more proactive style and Atletico DE Rafaela's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico DE Rafaela having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico DE Rafaela arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Atletico DE Rafaela.

San Martin S.J. Analysis

San Martin S.J. are currently 9 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

With 27 points from 21 games and a place of 8, Atletico DE Rafaela still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 15:18, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, San Martin S.J. won 3 times, Atletico DE Rafaela won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from San Martin S.J.'s perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.6%)
Predicted formations: San Martin S.J. - / Atletico DE Rafaela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: San Martin S.J. wins 3, draws 3, Atletico DE Rafaela wins 3

Lineups

San Martin S.J.
Formation
Atletico DE Rafaela
S. Diaz Robles
S. Diaz Robles
F. Nadalin
F. Nadalin
M. Osores
M. Osores
M. Cocca
M. Cocca
H. Zuliani
H. Zuliani
G. Acosta
G. Acosta
L. Monje
L. Monje
S. Gonzalez
S. Gonzalez
S. Jaurena
S. Jaurena
N. Funez
🎯
N. Funez
F. Coronel
F. Coronel
M. Bergia
M. Bergia
L. Flores
L. Flores
A. Solveyra
A. Solveyra
U. Yegros
U. Yegros
E. Wuattier
E. Wuattier
A. Obando
A. Obando
J. Capurro
J. Capurro
J. Cavallaro
J. Cavallaro
M. Pardo
🎯
M. Pardo
L. Albertengo
L. Albertengo
M. Moreno
M. Moreno
San Martin S.J. 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Diaz Robles
4
F. Nadalin
↓ 46'
2
M. Osores
6
M. Cocca
3
H. Zuliani
8
G. Acosta
↓ 46'
5
L. Monje
↓ 46'
10
S. Gonzalez
7
S. Jaurena
↓ 69'
9
N. Funez
🎯 83'
11
F. Coronel
↓ 80'
Substitutes
12
L. Garzon
13
N. Paz
14
R. Rumbolo
↑ 46'
15
F. Murillo
↑ 46' 🟨 57'
16
N. Pelaitay
17
N. Iachetti
↑ 69'
18
D. A. Mercado Carrizo
↑ 46' 🟨 65'
19
L. Ferreyra
⚽ 83' ↑ 80'
20
G. Rossi
Atletico DE Rafaela 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Bergia
4
L. Flores
2
A. Solveyra
6
U. Yegros
3
E. Wuattier
↓ 79'
10
A. Obando
↓ 71'
5
J. Capurro
8
J. Cavallaro
↓ 53'
11
M. Pardo
🎯 88'
9
L. Albertengo
↓ 71'
7
M. Moreno
↓ 71'
Substitutes
12
R. Martinez
13
A. Gonzalez
↑ 79'
14
N. Ramos
15
M. Morello
↑ 71'
16
M. Fernandez
↑ 71'
17
F. Jourdan
⚽ 88' ↑ 53'
18
I. Protti
19
A. Rodriguez
20
M. Quiroga
↑ 71'
Last matches: San Martin S.J.
22.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3
1
W
16.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Temperley
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Almagro
2
1
W
13.05.26
Cop
San Martin S.J.
Platense
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Patronato
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Colegiales
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Quilmes
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Midland
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atlanta
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico DE Rafaela
29.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Tristan Suarez
2
1
W
24.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
0
0
D
14.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
08.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Temperley
0
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
04.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Almagro
0
1
L
23.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Patronato
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Colegiales
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Quilmes
0
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Midland
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atlanta
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Agropecuario
4
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
H2H: San Martin S.J. vs Atletico DE Rafaela
01.08.26
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D
14.03.26
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
1
0
L
15.09.24
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
0
0
D
28.04.24
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
28.08.22
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
3
0
L
24.07.21
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
0
2
W
12.03.21
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
4
2
W
29.11.16
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
3
L
10.05.15
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D
Last matches: San Martin S.J.
22.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3
1
W
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Patronato
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Quilmes
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atlanta
1
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
25.02.26
Cop
San Martin S.J.
Deportivo Madryn
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
H2H at home: San Martin S.J.
01.08.26
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
12.03.21
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
4
2
W
29.11.16
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
3
L
10.05.15
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico DE Rafaela
24.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Temperley
0
2
L
04.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Almagro
0
1
L
23.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Patronato
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Quilmes
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atlanta
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
30.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
28.03.26
Cop
Atletico DE Rafaela
Belgrano Cordoba
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo Maipu
1
2
L
H2H away: Atletico DE Rafaela
01.08.26
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
L
12.03.21
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
4
2
L
29.11.16
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
3
W
10.05.15
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 29:15 14 48
L W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 26 13 3 10 31:27 4 42
L W L W L
5 26 11 8 7 29:19 10 41
W L D W D
6 27 11 8 8 28:25 3 41
W L D W W
7 27 10 9 8 20:20 0 39
W D D W D
8 27 11 5 11 34:28 6 38
L W W L W
9 25 9 8 8 27:24 3 35
W W D D D
10 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
11 26 9 7 10 24:25 -1 34
W D L D W
12 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 27 7 8 12 20:27 -7 29
L L L L L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 5 13 8 23:29 -6 28
W D L D D
17 27 7 6 14 19:29 -10 27
L L D L L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation