18.07.2026 18:00
Francisco Boga Stadium
San Martín Burzaco
Match Timeline
Sportivo Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
R. Lazarev
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
20'
K. Denis
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
22'
C. Ordonez
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
24'
D. Orellana
San Martín Burzaco
27'
L. Lezcano
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
31'
L. Laborda ↔ R. Fortino
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
45+2'
C. Bifiguer
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
46'
P. Caceres ↔ M. Guzman
Sportivo Italiano
50'
J. De Cuadro
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
61'
J. De Cuadro ↔ K. Gimenez
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
61'
A. Guerra ↔ L. Guzman
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
67'
A. Funes ↔ N. A. Gauna
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
67'
R. Diaz ↔ C. Cuenca
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
75'
J. Tobon ↔ M. Escudero
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
75'
F. Molina ↔ T. Hirigoyen
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
78'
L. Lezcano ↔ M. Muzzio
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
78'
R. Velazquez ↔ J. Arostegui
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
84'
G. Yordan
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
90+3'
M. Guzman
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
90+6'
E. Merzario
Sportivo Italiano

San Martín Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.9%
-
BTTS No
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Martín Burzaco Win 28.6%
Draw 5.5%
Sportivo Italiano Win 65.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Martín Burzaco0.92
Sportivo Italiano0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
WWDLW
25 GF / 21 GA
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
WLDWL
25 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
8
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco 25 matches
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 25 matches
San Martín Burzaco Statistic Sportivo Italiano
8 Wins 11
11 Draws 8
6 Losses 6
25 Goals For 25
21 Goals Against 20
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
8 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Italiano having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Italiano. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

San Martín Burzaco Analysis

So far, San Martín Burzaco have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 29 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Sportivo Italiano have collected 33 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Martín Burzaco won 4 times, Sportivo Italiano won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from San Martín Burzaco's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: San Martín Burzaco wins 4, draws 8, Sportivo Italiano wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 18 10 8 37:19 18 64
D L W W D
4 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 36 10 14 12 38:38 0 44
D L L W W
13 36 11 11 14 32:36 -4 44
W L L D L
14 36 10 13 13 36:50 -14 43
W L D L L
15 36 9 14 13 35:39 -4 41
D D D L W
16 36 9 14 13 29:36 -7 41
D W L L L
17 36 9 13 14 30:37 -7 40
L W D D W
18 36 10 8 18 32:45 -13 38
L W L W L
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)