🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.04.2026 02:30
PayPal Park
Referee: T. Ford
San Jose Earthquakes
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Earl Edwards Jr.
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
9'
J. Rosales
Austin
🔄
38'
Guilherme Biro ↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🟨
54'
Reid Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
58'
J. Jasinski · Assist: N. Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
66'
C. Fodrey ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🔄
66'
J. Alastuey ↔ M. Desler
Austin
🟨
68'
Jack Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
71'
Joseph Rosales
Austin
🔄
74'
J. Jasinski ↔ P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
78'
T. Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
82'
B. Leroux ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
83'
P. Judd · Assist: P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
85'
O. Bouda · Assist: P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
87'
J. Rosales ↔ M. Burton
Austin
🔄
87'
N. Dubersarsky ↔ E. Torres
Austin
⚽
88'
P. Judd · Assist: P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
90'
J. Ricketts ↔ D. Romney
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
90'
R. Vieira ↔ J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
90'
T. Werner ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Jose Earthquakes Win 90.2%
Draw 0%
Austin Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.75
Austin0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WWDLW
23 GF / 7 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
14 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1
0.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
5.25
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 12 matches
Austin Austin 14 matches
San Jose Earthquakes Statistic Austin
10 Wins 2
0 Draws 6
2 Losses 6
23 Goals For 14
7 Goals Against 21
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
3 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 5
5.25 Shots On Goal 4.13
14 Total Shots 10.88
7.38 Corners 5.5
47.5% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Austin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Austin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Jose Earthquakes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 21 points compared to Austin in 13 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. San Jose Earthquakes come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 21 points from 8 games, San Jose Earthquakes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:2, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Bouda (4 goals), P. Judd (3 goals), Daniel Munie (2 goals), with creative support from B. Leroux (3 assists), T. Werner (3 assists), Niko Tsakiris (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with D. Jones, Vitor Costa unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Austin Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Austin have collected 7 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Ramirez (2 goals), J. Bell (2 goals), M. Uzuni (2 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (3 assists), J. Gallagher (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Pereira, B. Vazquez, O. Wolff unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, Austin won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:22 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1 / Austin 4-4-2
Missing players: San Jose Earthquakes 2, Austin 6
H2H summary: San Jose Earthquakes wins 4, draws 7, Austin wins 2

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 5 6 59:26 33 50
D W L W L
2 27 13 8 6 50:42 8 47
W D W W W
3 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W D W W D
4 27 13 5 9 34:32 2 44
L D L W D
5 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
6 28 11 8 9 43:30 13 41
L D L W D
7 27 11 3 13 38:38 0 36
L D W D L
8 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
9 26 9 8 9 33:34 -1 35
W W D D D
10 27 9 5 13 48:51 -3 32
L L L D W
11 27 9 5 13 40:44 -4 32
W L L L L
12 27 8 8 11 47:47 0 32
D D L L L
13 27 7 10 10 35:47 -12 31
D D W D D
14 27 7 8 12 40:49 -9 29
L L L L L
15 26 6 3 17 31:63 -32 21
W L W L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)