🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
PayPal Park
Referee: T. Ford
San Jose Earthquakes
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Earl Edwards Jr.
San Jose Earthquakes
9'
J. Rosales
Austin
🔄
38'
Guilherme Biro ↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🟨
54'
Reid Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
58'
J. Jasinski · Assist: N. Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
66'
C. Fodrey ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🔄
66'
J. Alastuey ↔ M. Desler
Austin
🟨
68'
Jack Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
71'
Joseph Rosales
Austin
🔄
74'
J. Jasinski ↔ P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
78'
T. Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
82'
B. Leroux ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
83'
P. Judd · Assist: P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
85'
O. Bouda · Assist: P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
87'
J. Rosales ↔ M. Burton
Austin
🔄
87'
N. Dubersarsky ↔ E. Torres
Austin
88'
P. Judd · Assist: P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
90'
J. Ricketts ↔ D. Romney
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
90'
R. Vieira ↔ J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
90'
T. Werner ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.3%
-
Probability Distribution
San Jose Earthquakes Win 90.2%
Draw 0%
Austin Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.75
Austin0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WWDLW
23 GF / 7 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
14 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1
0.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
5.25
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 12 matches
Austin Austin 14 matches
San Jose Earthquakes Statistic Austin
10 Wins 2
0 Draws 6
2 Losses 6
23 Goals For 14
7 Goals Against 21
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
3 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 5
5.25 Shots On Goal 4.13
14 Total Shots 10.88
7.38 Corners 5.5
47.5% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Austin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Austin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Jose Earthquakes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 21 points compared to Austin in 13 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. San Jose Earthquakes come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 21 points from 8 games, San Jose Earthquakes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:2, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Bouda (4 goals), P. Judd (3 goals), Daniel Munie (2 goals), with creative support from B. Leroux (3 assists), T. Werner (3 assists), Niko Tsakiris (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with D. Jones, Vitor Costa unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Austin Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Austin have collected 7 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Ramirez (2 goals), J. Bell (2 goals), M. Uzuni (2 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (3 assists), J. Gallagher (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Pereira, B. Vazquez, O. Wolff unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, Austin won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:22 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1 / Austin 4-4-2
Missing players: San Jose Earthquakes 2, Austin 6
H2H summary: San Jose Earthquakes wins 4, draws 7, Austin wins 2
Stats
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
Austin Austin
Shots on Goal
16
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
2
13 Corner Kicks 1
16 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 0
69% Ball Possession 31%
37 Total Shots 5
16 Shots on Goal 2
12 Shots off Goal 1
9 Blocked Shots 2
30 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 11
593 Total passes 269
527 Passes accurate 195
5.36 expected_goals 0.83
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
Formation
Austin
Daniel
Daniel
J. Jasinski
J. Jasinski
D. Munie
D. Munie
R. Roberts
R. Roberts
J. Ricketts
J. Ricketts
B. Leroux
B. Leroux
R. Vieira
R. Vieira
O. Bouda
O. Bouda
N. Tsakiris
🎯
N. Tsakiris
T. Werner
T. Werner
P. Judd
⚽ 2
P. Judd
B. Stuver
B. Stuver
J. Gallagher
J. Gallagher
B. Hines-Ike
B. Hines-Ike
J. Bell
J. Bell
Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro
J. Alastuey
J. Alastuey
B. Sabovic
B. Sabovic
N. Dubersarsky
N. Dubersarsky
J. Rosales
J. Rosales
C. Fodrey
C. Fodrey
F. Torres
F. Torres
San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
Daniel
G
17
J. Jasinski
⚽ 58' ↓ 74' 🟨 68'
D
5
D. Munie
D
18
R. Roberts
🟨 54'
D
2
J. Ricketts
↓ 90'
D
34
B. Leroux
↓ 82'
M
14
R. Vieira
↓ 90'
M
7
O. Bouda
⚽ 85'
M
10
N. Tsakiris
🎯 58'
M
11
T. Werner
⚽ 78' ↓ 90'
M
19
P. Judd
⚽ 83' ⚽ 88'
F
Substitutes
36
E. Edwards
🟨 -5'
G
4
D. Romney
↑ 90'
D
40
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
↑ 90'
M
3
P. Marie
🎯 83' 🎯 85' 🎯 88' ↑ 74'
D
16
J. Skahan
M
6
I. Harkes
↑ 82'
M
21
N. Buck
M
20
N. Fernandez
↑ 90'
M
25
M. Floriani
D
Austin 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
B. Stuver
G
17
J. Gallagher
D
4
B. Hines-Ike
D
15
J. Bell
D
29
Guilherme Biro
↓ 38'
D
24
J. Alastuey
↓ 66'
M
14
B. Sabovic
M
20
N. Dubersarsky
↓ 87'
M
30
J. Rosales
⚽ 9' ↓ 87' 🟨 71'
M
19
C. Fodrey
↓ 66'
F
11
F. Torres
F
Substitutes
12
D. Las
G
6
I. Sanchez
M
5
O. Svatok
D
21
C. Ramirez
↑ 66'
F
32
M. Burton
↑ 87'
M
3
M. Desler
↑ 66'
D
23
Z. Kolmanic
↑ 38'
D
35
M. Djordjevic
D
38
E. Torres
↑ 87'
M
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
19.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
0
2
L
Last matches: Austin
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.03.26
Maj
Austin
DC United
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Austin
Chicago Fire
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Austin
St. Louis City
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Austin
New York City FC
0
2
L
28.01.26
Fri
Austin
Louisville City
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Austin
San Antonio
0
0
D
H2H: San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin
23.04.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
19.10.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
2
1
W
31.08.25
H2H
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
L
09.07.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
4
3
L
22.10.23
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
30.04.23
H2H
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
2
2
D
07.08.22
H2H
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
3
3
D
03.04.22
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
2
2
D
21.10.21
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
4
0
W
19.09.21
H2H
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
3
4
W
20.06.21
H2H
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
0
0
D
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
1
0
W
H2H at home: San Jose Earthquakes
23.04.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
19.10.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
2
1
W
09.07.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
22.10.23
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
03.04.22
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
2
2
D
21.10.21
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
4
0
W
Last matches: Austin
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Austin
St. Louis City
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Austin
New York City FC
0
2
L
H2H away: Austin
23.04.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
L
19.10.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
2
1
L
09.07.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
22.10.23
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
1
1
D
03.04.22
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
2
2
D
21.10.21
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
4
0
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

San Jose Earthquakes 2 missing
-
D. Jones
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Vitor Costa
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
Austin 6 missing
-
J. Nelson
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
D. Pereira
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
R. Taylor
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Vazquez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Wolff
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Uzuni
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT