🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
30.08.2026 02:30
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: T. Penso
San Diego
Match Timeline
Los Angeles Galaxy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
E. Achouri · Assist: A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟨
21'
Marco Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
23'
Jeppe Tverskov
San Diego
🟨
30'
Gabriel Pirani
San Diego
🟨
39'
Aníbal Godoy
San Diego
48'
K. Sargeant · Assist: A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟨
50'
Jeppe Tverskov
San Diego
🟥
50'
Jeppe Tverskov
San Diego
🔄
52'
Gabriel Pirani ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
55'
H. Lozano
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
56'
I. Parente ↔ E. Thommy
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
56'
M. Yoshida ↔ S. Roberto
Los Angeles Galaxy
VAR
61'
Kyogo Furuhashi
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
65'
Joseph Paintsil
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
67'
I. Murphy ↔ C. McVey
San Diego
🔄
67'
E. Achouri ↔ A. Pellegrino
San Diego
70'
A. Pellegrino · Assist: A. Dreyer
San Diego
🔄
73'
J. Aude ↔ J. Nelson
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
73'
H. Miller ↔ R. Taylor
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
87'
O. Valakari ↔ I. Pilcher
San Diego
🔄
87'
J. Haak ↔ C. Garces
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
89'
CJ Dos Santos
San Diego

San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.74
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 2.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.4%
1.74
BTTS No
55%
2.62
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
2.96
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
1.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 57.4%
Draw 5.5%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.62
Los Angeles Galaxy1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
46 GF / 40 GA
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WLDWL
52 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
13
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
22
4.32
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 26 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 36 matches
San Diego Statistic Los Angeles Galaxy
10 Wins 13
6 Draws 11
10 Losses 12
46 Goals For 52
40 Goals Against 50
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
13 BTTS Yes 21
20 Over 1.5 30
16 Over 2.5 22
12 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 6
4.32 Shots On Goal 5
11.52 Total Shots 12.69
4.72 Corners 5.21
59.2% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and San Diego's more proactive style and Los Angeles Galaxy's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Los Angeles Galaxy in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles Galaxy having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Los Angeles Galaxy.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego sit 13 with 24 points after 20 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 34:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Lewis Morgan (3 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy are currently 10 in the standings with 25 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 25:30 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Joseph Paintsil (5 goals), Gabriel Pec (4 goals), Marco Reus (3 goals), with creative support from Marco Reus (3 assists), Gabriel Pec (2 assists), Joseph Paintsil (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 2 times, Los Angeles Galaxy won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from San Diego's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1
Missing players: San Diego 2, Los Angeles Galaxy 5
H2H summary: San Diego wins 2, draws 0, Los Angeles Galaxy wins 0

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)