🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
26.07.2026 01:30
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: V. Rivas
San Diego
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
Daniel ↔ J. Sirois
FC Dallas
🔄
46'
J. Valiente ↔ B. Kamungo
FC Dallas
50'
A. Alvarado Jr · Assist: M. Duah
San Diego
🔄
61'
P. Delgado ↔ S. Moreno
FC Dallas
🔄
61'
R. Binyamin ↔ A. A. Julio Santos
FC Dallas
🔄
72'
A. Alvarado Jr ↔ A. Godoy
San Diego
🔄
73'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ D. Vazquez
San Diego
🔄
79'
S. Ibeagha ↔ L. Farrington
FC Dallas
🟨
81'
Bernard Kamungo
FC Dallas
🔄
86'
K. Sargeant ↔ L. Bombino
San Diego
🔄
87'
O. Valakari ↔ L. Morgan
San Diego
🟨
88'
Anderson Julio
FC Dallas

San Diego vs FC Dallas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 28.9%
Draw 7%
FC Dallas Win 64.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.64
FC Dallas1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
39 GF / 36 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
40 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
2
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
11
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
14
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 21 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 20 matches
San Diego Statistic FC Dallas
7 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
9 Losses 5
39 Goals For 40
36 Goals Against 26
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
11 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 4
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.63
11 Total Shots 12
4.45 Corners 4.38
57.9% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Dallas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. FC Dallas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Dallas in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego sit 12 with 17 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 30:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), Onni Valakari (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FC Dallas Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 25 points from 15 games, FC Dallas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 30:22 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Petar Musa (5 goals), Sam Sarver (3 goals), Santiago Moreno (2 goals), with creative support from Petar Musa (2 assists), Ran Binyamin (2 assists), Santiago Moreno (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 3 times, FC Dallas won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from San Diego's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / FC Dallas 4-4-2
H2H summary: San Diego wins 3, draws 1, FC Dallas wins 0

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)