🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: V. Rivas
San Diego
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
Daniel ↔ J. Sirois
FC Dallas
🔄
46'
J. Valiente ↔ B. Kamungo
FC Dallas
50'
A. Alvarado Jr · Assist: M. Duah
San Diego
🔄
61'
P. Delgado ↔ S. Moreno
FC Dallas
🔄
61'
R. Binyamin ↔ A. A. Julio Santos
FC Dallas
🔄
73'
A. Alvarado Jr ↔ A. Godoy
San Diego
🔄
73'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ D. Vazquez
San Diego
🔄
79'
S. Ibeagha ↔ L. Farrington
FC Dallas
🟨
81'
B. Kamungo
FC Dallas
🔄
86'
K. Sargeant ↔ L. Bombino
San Diego
🔄
87'
O. Valakari ↔ L. Morgan
San Diego
🟨
88'
A. A. Julio Santos
FC Dallas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 28.9%
Draw 7%
FC Dallas Win 64.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.64
FC Dallas1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
39 GF / 36 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
40 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
2
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
11
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
14
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 21 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 20 matches
San Diego Statistic FC Dallas
7 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
9 Losses 5
39 Goals For 40
36 Goals Against 26
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
11 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 4
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.63
11 Total Shots 12
4.45 Corners 4.38
57.9% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Dallas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. FC Dallas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Dallas in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego sit 12 with 17 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 30:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), Onni Valakari (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FC Dallas Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 25 points from 15 games, FC Dallas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 30:22 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Petar Musa (5 goals), Sam Sarver (3 goals), Santiago Moreno (2 goals), with creative support from Petar Musa (2 assists), Ran Binyamin (2 assists), Santiago Moreno (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 3 times, FC Dallas won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from San Diego's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / FC Dallas 4-4-2
H2H summary: San Diego wins 3, draws 1, FC Dallas wins 0
Stats
San Diego San Diego
FC Dallas FC Dallas
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 0
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 3
10 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
834 Total passes 287
756 Passes accurate 216
1.56 expected_goals 0.42
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

San Diego
Formation
FC Dallas
CJ Dos Santos
CJ Dos Santos
Oscar Verhoeven
Oscar Verhoeven
Christopher McVey
Christopher McVey
Manu Duah
🎯
Manu Duah
Kieran Sargeant
Kieran Sargeant
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
Jeppe Tverskov
Jeppe Tverskov
Onni Valakari
Onni Valakari
Anders Dreyer
Anders Dreyer
Marcus Ingvartsen
Marcus Ingvartsen
Alex Mighten
Alex Mighten
Daniel
Daniel
Shaq Moore
Shaq Moore
Osaze Urhoghide
Osaze Urhoghide
Sebastien Ibeagha
Sebastien Ibeagha
Nolan Norris
Nolan Norris
Kaick
Kaick
Christian Cappis
Christian Cappis
Joaquín Valiente
Joaquín Valiente
Patrickson Delgado
Patrickson Delgado
Ran Binyamin
Ran Binyamin
Petar Musa
Petar Musa
San Diego 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
CJ Dos Santos
G
33
Oscar Verhoeven
D
97
Christopher McVey
D
26
Manu Duah
🎯 50'
D
5
Kieran Sargeant
D
70
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
⚽ 50' ↓ 73'
M
6
Jeppe Tverskov
M
8
Onni Valakari
↓ 87'
M
10
Anders Dreyer
F
7
Marcus Ingvartsen
↓ 73'
F
77
Alex Mighten
F
Substitutes
20
Aníbal Godoy
↑ 73'
M
19
David Vazquez
↑ 73'
M
27
Luca Bombino
↑ 86'
D
9
Lewis Morgan
↑ 87'
F
18
Duran Ferree
G
32
Ian Murphy
D
15
Pedro Soma
M
3
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
D
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
FC Dallas 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
Daniel
↓ 19'
G
18
Shaq Moore
D
3
Osaze Urhoghide
D
25
Sebastien Ibeagha
↓ 79'
D
32
Nolan Norris
D
55
Kaick
M
12
Christian Cappis
M
21
Joaquín Valiente
↓ 46'
M
8
Patrickson Delgado
↓ 61'
M
6
Ran Binyamin
↓ 61'
M
9
Petar Musa
F
Substitutes
40
Jonathan Sirois
↑ 19'
G
77
Bernard Kamungo
↑ 46' 🟨 81'
F
10
Santiago Moreno
↑ 61'
F
11
Anderson Julio
↑ 61' 🟨 88'
F
23
Logan Farrington
↑ 79'
F
5
Lalas Abubakar
D
14
Herman Johansson
M
27
Caleb Swann
M
28
Sam Sarver
F
Last matches: San Diego
20.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
3
L
16.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
14.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
02.03.26
Maj
San Diego
St. Louis City
2
0
W
Last matches: FC Dallas
20.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
4
3
W
17.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Austin
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
0
D
23.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
14.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
2
D
12.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
4
3
W
15.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Toronto FC
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
H2H: San Diego vs FC Dallas
26.07.26
H2H
San Diego
FC Dallas
1
0
W
15.03.26
H2H
FC Dallas
San Diego
3
3
D
29.06.25
H2H
FC Dallas
San Diego
2
3
W
04.05.25
H2H
San Diego
FC Dallas
5
0
W
Last matches: San Diego
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
14.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
02.03.26
Maj
San Diego
St. Louis City
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Diego
CF Montreal
5
0
W
04.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
2
0
W
H2H at home: San Diego
26.07.26
H2H
San Diego
FC Dallas
1
0
W
04.05.25
H2H
San Diego
FC Dallas
5
0
W
Last matches: FC Dallas
20.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
4
3
W
17.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Austin
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
0
D
23.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Portimonense
4
0
W
H2H away: FC Dallas
26.07.26
H2H
San Diego
FC Dallas
1
0
L
04.05.25
H2H
San Diego
FC Dallas
5
0
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 2 6 29:24 5 38
W W W W W
2 19 11 4 4 40:18 22 37
L W D D L
3 21 10 4 7 35:21 14 34
L L D W W
4 20 10 3 7 38:28 10 33
L L L D L
5 20 9 6 5 38:29 9 33
W W D L D
6 20 8 6 6 28:26 2 30
D W D W W
7 20 9 1 10 30:25 5 28
W W W L W
8 19 8 4 7 33:30 3 28
L D D L L
9 20 8 3 9 37:36 1 27
W L W W D
10 21 6 7 8 25:30 -5 25
W L D D L
11 20 6 7 7 22:28 -6 25
L D D D L
12 19 7 3 9 21:26 -5 24
L L L L L
13 20 6 6 8 34:32 2 24
L W D W L
14 20 5 5 10 25:39 -14 20
W L L L W
15 20 4 3 13 19:49 -30 15
D L L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)