🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.08.2026 02:30
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: P. Lauziere
San Diego
Match Timeline
Colorado Rapids
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
O. Valakari
San Diego
35'
E. Achouri
San Diego
🔄
46'
J. Atencio ↔ W. Frederick
Colorado Rapids
🔄
46'
H. Ojediran ↔ Y. Maziz
Colorado Rapids
🔄
46'
D. Sealy ↔ D. Yapi
Colorado Rapids
🟨
58'
Reggie Cannon
Colorado Rapids
🔄
60'
G. Minoungou ↔ A. Harris
Colorado Rapids
🔄
67'
O. Valakari ↔ M. Ingvartsen
San Diego
🔄
68'
E. Achouri ↔ A. Pellegrino
San Diego
71'
Gabriel Pirani · Assist: M. Ingvartsen
San Diego
🔄
75'
R. Cannon ↔ K. Rosenberry
Colorado Rapids
🔄
86'
↔ L. Morgan
San Diego
🟨
89'
Keegan Rosenberry
Colorado Rapids
🟨
90+2'
Alex Harris
Colorado Rapids
🔄
90+3'
I. Murphy ↔ C. McVey
San Diego
🔄
90+3'
Gabriel Pirani ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego

San Diego vs Colorado Rapids Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
45.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 62.6%
Draw 13.6%
Colorado Rapids Win 23.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.6
Colorado Rapids1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
43 GF / 40 GA
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WLDWL
37 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
13
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
12
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 25 matches
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 matches
San Diego Statistic Colorado Rapids
9 Wins 10
6 Draws 2
10 Losses 12
43 Goals For 37
40 Goals Against 34
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
13 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 5
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.15
11.75 Total Shots 12.05
4.83 Corners 5.1
59.6% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Colorado Rapids. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Colorado Rapids arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego are currently 13 in the standings with 21 points from 18 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 32:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), Onni Valakari (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

With 22 points from 18 games and a place of 11, Colorado Rapids still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 10 defeats with a 27:25 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rafael Navarro (6 goals), Kosi Thompson (2 goals), Paxten Aaronson (1 goals), with creative support from Paxten Aaronson (3 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 2 times, Colorado Rapids won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from San Diego's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / Colorado Rapids 4-3-3
Missing players: San Diego 1, Colorado Rapids 7
H2H summary: San Diego wins 2, draws 0, Colorado Rapids wins 2

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 4 4 48:18 30 43
W W L W D
2 22 12 3 7 30:26 4 39
D L W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 22 10 4 8 39:33 6 34
D L L L L
5 22 9 7 6 41:37 4 34
D L W W D
6 22 9 7 6 33:30 3 34
D W D W D
7 22 10 1 11 31:28 3 31
W L W W W
8 22 8 6 8 40:33 7 30
W W L W D
9 22 7 8 7 30:32 -2 29
D W L D D
10 21 8 4 9 34:33 1 28
L L L D D
11 22 8 4 10 39:39 0 28
L D W L W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 23 6 8 9 28:35 -7 26
L D W L D
14 22 6 6 10 28:41 -13 24
W D W L L
15 22 4 3 15 20:54 -34 15
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)