TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Referee: U. Ozturk
Samsunspor
Match Timeline
Göztepe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Ali Diabaté
Samsunspor
🟨
32'
Juan Santos da Silva
Göztepe
36'
T. Coulibaly · Assist: Marius
Samsunspor
VAR
51'
Arda Kurtulan
Göztepe
🔄
60'
A. B. Diabbate ↔ L. Satka
Samsunspor
🔄
60'
O. Ntcham ↔ A. Makoumbou
Samsunspor
🟨
61'
Antoine Makoumbou
Samsunspor
🟨
61'
Anthony Dennis
Göztepe
🔄
70'
S. Gonul ↔ Y. E. Cift
Samsunspor
🔄
70'
Z. Yavru ↔ E. Albak
Samsunspor
🔄
70'
A. Dennis ↔ Jeh
Göztepe
🟨
77'
Rick Van Drongelen
Samsunspor
🔄
78'
Janderson ↔ Guilherme Luiz
Göztepe
🔄
78'
A. Antunes ↔ U. Yildiz
Göztepe
🟨
79'
Arda Kurtulan
Göztepe
🟥
81'
Héliton
Göztepe
85'
E. Tavsan · Assist: Marius
Samsunspor
🔄
86'
A. Cherni ↔ O. Bayrak
Göztepe
🔄
86'
T. Altikardes ↔ M. Mohammed
Göztepe
89'
Marius · Assist: E. Tavsan
Samsunspor
🔄
90'
E. Tavsan ↔ A. Sousa
Samsunspor

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Samsunspor Win 62.9%
Draw 0%
Göztepe Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samsunspor1.15
Göztepe1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samsunspor Samsunspor
WWDLW
61 GF / 58 GA
Göztepe Göztepe
WLDWL
42 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
25
BTTS Yes
15
25
Over 2.5
13
4.07
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samsunspor Samsunspor 46 matches
Göztepe Göztepe 33 matches
Samsunspor Statistic Göztepe
18 Wins 14
14 Draws 13
14 Losses 6
61 Goals For 42
58 Goals Against 29
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
25 BTTS Yes 15
34 Over 1.5 23
25 Over 2.5 13
14 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 8
4.07 Shots On Goal 4.55
12.61 Total Shots 13.91
5.37 Corners 4.52
54.4% Ball Possession 38.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Göztepe's more proactive style and Samsunspor's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Samsunspor come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Göztepe. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Samsunspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Göztepe in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Göztepe having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Samsunspor Analysis

Samsunspor sit 7 with 48 points after 33 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, while the 43:45 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Marius (9 goals), C. Holse (8 goals), C. Ndiaye (7 goals), with creative support from E. Kilinc (5 assists), Anthony Musaba (4 assists), L. Tomasson (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Göztepe Analysis

Placed 5 with 55 points from 33 outings, Göztepe continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses, while the 42:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan (11 goals), Janderson (6 goals), Arda Kurtulan (4 goals), with creative support from Juan (4 assists), A. Cherni (4 assists), Janderson (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor won 6 times, Göztepe won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Samsunspor's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Samsunspor 4-2-3-1 / Göztepe 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Samsunspor 4, Göztepe 5
H2H summary: Samsunspor wins 6, draws 1, Göztepe wins 6
Stats
Samsunspor Samsunspor
Göztepe Göztepe
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
7
0 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 3
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 22
9 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 10
2 Blocked Shots 7
11 Shots insidebox 17
3 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 6
390 Total passes 226
309 Passes accurate 158
2.11 expected_goals 2.20
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Samsunspor
Formation
Göztepe
O. Kocuk
O. Kocuk
Z. Yavru
Z. Yavru
R. Van Drongelen
R. Van Drongelen
A. B. Diabbate
A. B. Diabbate
S. Gonul
S. Gonul
Y. Kayan
Y. Kayan
T. Coulibaly
T. Coulibaly
C. Holse
C. Holse
O. Ntcham
O. Ntcham
E. Tavsan
🎯
E. Tavsan
Marius
🎯
Marius
M. Lis
M. Lis
T. Altikardes
T. Altikardes
Heliton
Heliton
M. Bokele
M. Bokele
A. Kurtulan
A. Kurtulan
A. Dennis
A. Dennis
N. Miroshi
N. Miroshi
A. Cherni
A. Cherni
A. Antunes
A. Antunes
Juan Santos
Juan Santos
Janderson
Janderson
Samsunspor 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
O. Kocuk
G
18
Z. Yavru
↓ 70'
D
4
R. Van Drongelen
🟨 77'
D
15
A. B. Diabbate
↓ 60' 🟨 30'
D
28
S. Gonul
↓ 70'
D
20
Y. Kayan
M
70
T. Coulibaly
⚽ 36'
M
21
C. Holse
M
10
O. Ntcham
↓ 60'
M
7
E. Tavsan
⚽ 85' 🎯 89' ↓ 90'
M
9
Marius
⚽ 89' 🎯 36' 🎯 85'
F
Substitutes
48
E. B. Toruz
G
33
E. Ustun
G
37
L. Satka
↑ 60'
D
24
T. Borevkovic
D
29
A. Makoumbou
↑ 60' 🟨 61'
M
5
C. Yuksel
M
77
A. Sousa
↑ 90'
M
55
Y. E. Cift
↑ 70'
D
23
E. Albak
↑ 70'
Göztepe 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
M. Lis
G
4
T. Altikardes
↓ 86'
D
5
Heliton
🟥 81'
D
26
M. Bokele
D
2
A. Kurtulan
🟨 79'
M
30
A. Dennis
↓ 70' 🟨 61'
M
20
N. Miroshi
M
15
A. Cherni
↓ 86'
M
8
A. Antunes
↓ 78'
F
9
Juan Santos
🟨 32'
F
39
Janderson
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
33
S. Ozturk
G
12
I. Koybasi
D
11
E. Bekiroglu
M
77
O. Bayrak
↑ 86'
D
6
M. Mohammed
↑ 86'
M
45
E. Yildirim
D
14
Guilherme Luiz
↑ 78'
F
22
U. Yildiz
↑ 78'
D
19
Jeh
↑ 70'
F
25
Y. Sirin
M
Last matches: Samsunspor
09.05.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Başakşehir
0
3
L
02.05.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Galatasaray
4
1
W
27.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
3
2
W
19.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
2
1
W
13.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Eyüpspor
2
1
W
09.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Rizespor
1
4
L
05.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Konyaspor
2
2
D
19.03.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
15.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kayserispor
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
3
L
08.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
2
3
L
01.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Gaziantep FK
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Shkendija
4
0
W
22.02.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
0
0
D
19.02.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Shkendija
1
0
W
13.02.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Antalyaspor
1
3
L
07.02.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
0
3
L
30.01.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
1
0
W
24.01.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
0
0
D
18.01.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
1
D
Last matches: Göztepe
09.05.26
Süp
Göztepe
Gaziantep FK
2
1
W
02.05.26
Süp
Göztepe
Trabzonspor
1
1
D
25.04.26
Süp
Göztepe
Antalyaspor
2
0
W
18.04.26
Süp
Göztepe
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
12.04.26
Süp
Göztepe
Kasımpaşa
3
3
D
08.04.26
Süp
Göztepe
Galatasaray
1
3
L
04.04.26
Süp
Göztepe
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
0
W
14.03.26
Süp
Göztepe
Alanyaspor
2
2
D
07.03.26
Süp
Göztepe
Başakşehir
1
2
L
28.02.26
Süp
Göztepe
Eyüpspor
0
0
D
22.02.26
Süp
Göztepe
Beşiktaş
0
4
L
15.02.26
Süp
Göztepe
Kayserispor
0
0
D
08.02.26
Süp
Göztepe
Konyaspor
0
0
D
31.01.26
Süp
Göztepe
Fatih Karagümrük
2
1
W
25.01.26
Süp
Göztepe
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
19.01.26
Süp
Göztepe
Rizespor
3
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
Göztepe
CSKA 1948
2
1
W
21.12.25
Süp
Göztepe
Samsunspor
2
0
W
14.12.25
Süp
Göztepe
Gaziantep FK
1
0
W
07.12.25
Süp
Göztepe
Trabzonspor
1
2
L
H2H: Samsunspor vs Göztepe
16.05.26
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
3
0
W
21.12.25
H2H
Göztepe
Samsunspor
2
0
L
03.03.25
H2H
Göztepe
Samsunspor
2
2
D
28.09.24
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
4
3
W
07.04.23
H2H
Göztepe
Samsunspor
1
0
L
06.11.22
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
0
W
29.12.21
H2H
Göztepe
Samsunspor
1
0
L
14.05.17
H2H
Göztepe
Samsunspor
4
1
L
24.12.16
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
2
L
14.04.16
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
2
1
W
22.11.15
H2H
Göztepe
Samsunspor
2
0
L
27.01.13
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
0
W
02.09.12
H2H
Göztepe
Samsunspor
0
1
W
Last matches: Samsunspor
02.05.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Galatasaray
4
1
W
19.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
2
1
W
05.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Konyaspor
2
2
D
15.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kayserispor
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
3
L
01.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Gaziantep FK
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Shkendija
4
0
W
07.02.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
0
3
L
24.01.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
0
0
D
14.12.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Başakşehir
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
01.12.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
1
1
D
09.11.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Samsunspor
Hamrun Spartans
3
0
W
27.10.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Rizespor
1
1
D
23.10.25
UEF
Samsunspor
Dynamo Kyiv
3
0
W
05.10.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
0
0
D
21.09.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
3
2
W
17.09.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
0
0
D
13.09.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Antalyaspor
1
2
L
H2H at home: Samsunspor
16.05.26
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
3
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
4
3
W
06.11.22
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
0
W
24.12.16
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
2
L
14.04.16
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
2
1
W
27.01.13
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
0
W
Last matches: Göztepe
02.05.26
Süp
Göztepe
Trabzonspor
1
1
D
18.04.26
Süp
Göztepe
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
04.04.26
Süp
Göztepe
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
0
W
07.03.26
Süp
Göztepe
Başakşehir
1
2
L
22.02.26
Süp
Göztepe
Beşiktaş
0
4
L
08.02.26
Süp
Göztepe
Konyaspor
0
0
D
25.01.26
Süp
Göztepe
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
Göztepe
CSKA 1948
2
1
W
14.12.25
Süp
Göztepe
Gaziantep FK
1
0
W
30.11.25
Süp
Göztepe
Antalyaspor
2
1
W
08.11.25
Süp
Göztepe
Kasımpaşa
2
0
W
26.10.25
Süp
Göztepe
Galatasaray
1
3
L
19.10.25
Süp
Göztepe
Alanyaspor
0
1
L
27.09.25
Süp
Göztepe
Eyüpspor
0
0
D
14.09.25
Süp
Göztepe
Kayserispor
1
1
D
22.08.25
Süp
Göztepe
Fatih Karagümrük
2
0
W
10.08.25
Süp
Göztepe
Rizespor
3
0
W
H2H away: Göztepe
16.05.26
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
3
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
4
3
L
06.11.22
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
0
L
24.12.16
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
2
W
14.04.16
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
2
1
L
27.01.13
H2H
Samsunspor
Göztepe
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L

Missing Players

Samsunspor 4 missing
-
J. Assoumou
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Cetin
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Kilinc
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
J. Mendes
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
Göztepe 5 missing
-
F. Bayir
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
E. Komur
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT
-
I. Malak
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT
-
Allan Godoi
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
F. Krastev
Questionable Inactive
OUT