TURKEY SüPER LIG
16.05.2026 17:00
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Referee: U. Ozturk
Samsunspor
Match Timeline
Göztepe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Ali Diabaté
Samsunspor
🟨
32'
Juan Santos da Silva
Göztepe
36'
T. Coulibaly · Assist: Marius
Samsunspor
VAR
51'
Arda Kurtulan
Göztepe
🔄
60'
A. B. Diabbate ↔ L. Satka
Samsunspor
🔄
60'
O. Ntcham ↔ A. Makoumbou
Samsunspor
🟨
61'
Antoine Makoumbou
Samsunspor
🟨
61'
Anthony Dennis
Göztepe
🔄
70'
S. Gonul ↔ Y. E. Cift
Samsunspor
🔄
70'
Z. Yavru ↔ E. Albak
Samsunspor
🔄
70'
A. Dennis ↔ Jeh
Göztepe
🟨
77'
Rick Van Drongelen
Samsunspor
🔄
78'
Janderson ↔ Guilherme Luiz
Göztepe
🔄
78'
A. Antunes ↔ U. Yildiz
Göztepe
🟨
79'
Arda Kurtulan
Göztepe
🟥
81'
Héliton
Göztepe
85'
E. Tavsan · Assist: Marius
Samsunspor
🔄
86'
A. Cherni ↔ O. Bayrak
Göztepe
🔄
86'
T. Altikardes ↔ M. Mohammed
Göztepe
89'
Marius · Assist: E. Tavsan
Samsunspor
🔄
90'
E. Tavsan ↔ A. Sousa
Samsunspor

Samsunspor vs Göztepe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Samsunspor Win 62.9%
Draw 0%
Göztepe Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samsunspor1.15
Göztepe1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samsunspor Samsunspor
WWDLW
61 GF / 58 GA
Göztepe Göztepe
WLDWL
42 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
25
BTTS Yes
15
25
Over 2.5
13
4.07
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samsunspor Samsunspor 46 matches
Göztepe Göztepe 33 matches
Samsunspor Statistic Göztepe
18 Wins 14
14 Draws 13
14 Losses 6
61 Goals For 42
58 Goals Against 29
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
25 BTTS Yes 15
34 Over 1.5 23
25 Over 2.5 13
14 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 8
4.07 Shots On Goal 4.55
12.61 Total Shots 13.91
5.37 Corners 4.52
54.4% Ball Possession 38.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Göztepe's more proactive style and Samsunspor's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Samsunspor come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Göztepe. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Samsunspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Göztepe in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Göztepe having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Samsunspor Analysis

Samsunspor sit 7 with 48 points after 33 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, while the 43:45 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Marius (9 goals), C. Holse (8 goals), C. Ndiaye (7 goals), with creative support from E. Kilinc (5 assists), Anthony Musaba (4 assists), L. Tomasson (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Göztepe Analysis

Placed 5 with 55 points from 33 outings, Göztepe continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses, while the 42:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan (11 goals), Janderson (6 goals), Arda Kurtulan (4 goals), with creative support from Juan (4 assists), A. Cherni (4 assists), Janderson (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor won 6 times, Göztepe won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:21 from Samsunspor's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Samsunspor 4-2-3-1 / Göztepe 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Samsunspor 4, Göztepe 5
H2H summary: Samsunspor wins 6, draws 2, Göztepe wins 6

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation