ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Referee: M. Marchetti
Sampdoria
Match Timeline
Sudtirol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Salvatore Molina
Sudtirol
31'
O. Abildgaard · Assist: M. Brunori
Sampdoria
🟨
53'
Matteo Palma
Sampdoria
🔄
61'
K. Zedadka ↔ S. Verdi
Sudtirol
🔄
61'
S. Tronchin ↔ D. Crnigoj
Sudtirol
🟨
62'
Domen Črnigoj
Sudtirol
🔄
69'
M. Palma ↔ D. Hadzikadunic
Sampdoria
🔄
69'
L. Cherubini ↔ M. Cicconi
Sampdoria
🔄
74'
L. Henderson ↔ F. Conti
Sampdoria
🔄
77'
H. El Kaouakibi ↔ F. Davi
Sudtirol
🔄
82'
S. Molina ↔ R. Odogwu
Sudtirol
🔄
82'
S. Merkaj ↔ R. Tonin
Sudtirol
🟨
90+3'
Francesco Conti
Sampdoria
🔄
90+2'
T. Begic ↔ N. Pierini
Sampdoria
🔄
90+1'
M. Brunori ↔ M. Coda
Sampdoria

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sampdoria Win 47.9%
Draw 7.6%
Sudtirol Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sampdoria1.1
Sudtirol1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sampdoria Sampdoria
WWDLW
35 GF / 48 GA
Sudtirol Sudtirol
WLDWL
38 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
20
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
16
3.54
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sampdoria Sampdoria 37 matches
Sudtirol Sudtirol 37 matches
Sampdoria Statistic Sudtirol
10 Wins 8
12 Draws 16
15 Losses 13
35 Goals For 38
48 Goals Against 49
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
20 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 13
3.54 Shots On Goal 3.35
12.57 Total Shots 11.89
4.81 Corners 4.19
50% Ball Possession 39.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sudtirol. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sudtirol arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sampdoria expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sudtirol in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sudtirol having the stronger overall control.

Sampdoria Analysis

Sampdoria are currently 12 in the standings with 41 points from 36 matches. The record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 34:47 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Coda (9 goals), Fabio Depaoli (3 goals), Tjaš Begić (3 goals), with creative support from M. Coda (3 assists), Simone Pafundi (3 assists), O. Abildgaard (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sudtirol Analysis

Sudtirol approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 40 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 16 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 37:46 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Pecorino (9 goals), S. Merkaj (9 goals), D. Casiraghi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Casiraghi (7 assists), S. Molina (4 assists), R. Odogwu (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sampdoria won 2 times, Sudtirol won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Sampdoria's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Sampdoria 4-2-3-1 / Sudtirol 3-5-2
H2H summary: Sampdoria wins 2, draws 1, Sudtirol wins 4
Stats
Sampdoria Sampdoria
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 0
6 Shots insidebox 4
2 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
363 Total passes 329
257 Passes accurate 211
1.11 expected_goals 0.68
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sampdoria
Formation
Sudtirol
T. Martinelli
T. Martinelli
A. Di Pardo
A. Di Pardo
M. Palma
M. Palma
M. Viti
M. Viti
S. Giordano
S. Giordano
L. Henderson
L. Henderson
M. Ricci
M. Ricci
O. Abildgaard
O. Abildgaard
T. Begic
T. Begic
M. Brunori
🎯
M. Brunori
L. Cherubini
L. Cherubini
M. Adamonis
M. Adamonis
F. Veseli
F. Veseli
N. Pietrangeli
N. Pietrangeli
H. El Kaouakibi
H. El Kaouakibi
S. Davi
S. Davi
S. Molina
S. Molina
F. Tait
F. Tait
S. Tronchin
S. Tronchin
K. Zedadka
K. Zedadka
S. Merkaj
S. Merkaj
E. Pecorino
E. Pecorino
Sampdoria 4-3-3
Starting XI
50
T. Martinelli
G
29
A. Di Pardo
D
13
M. Palma
↓ 69' 🟨 53'
D
2
M. Viti
D
21
S. Giordano
D
16
L. Henderson
↓ 74'
M
8
M. Ricci
M
28
O. Abildgaard
⚽ 31'
M
11
T. Begic
↓ 90+2'
F
99
M. Brunori
🎯 31' ↓ 90+1'
F
10
L. Cherubini
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Ghidotti
G
25
A. Ferrari
D
77
N. Pierini
↑ 90+2'
F
5
A. Riccio
D
33
F. Conti
↑ 74'
9
M. Coda
↑ 90+1'
F
17
D. Hadzikadunic
↑ 69'
D
92
E. Soleri
F
7
M. Cicconi
↑ 69'
M
23
F. Depaoli
D
94
S. Esposito
M
20
S. Pafundi
M
Sudtirol 4-4-2
Starting XI
31
M. Adamonis
G
34
F. Veseli
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
94
H. El Kaouakibi
↓ 77'
D
24
S. Davi
D
79
S. Molina
↓ 82' 🟨 30'
M
21
F. Tait
M
18
S. Tronchin
↓ 61'
M
7
K. Zedadka
↓ 61'
M
33
S. Merkaj
↓ 82'
F
9
E. Pecorino
F
Substitutes
1
D. Borra
G
5
A. Masiello
D
90
R. Odogwu
↑ 82'
F
23
F. Davi
↑ 77'
D
46
D. Brik
M
99
S. Verdi
↑ 61'
M
89
D. Crnigoj
↑ 61' 🟨 62'
M
17
D. Casiraghi
M
11
R. Tonin
↑ 82'
F
26
M. R. Frigerio
M
13
C. Sabatini
D
4
D. Mancini
D
Last matches: Sampdoria
09.08.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Parma
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Novara
1
2
L
23.07.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Cagliari
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Taverne
2
0
W
08.05.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Reggiana
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Cesena
0
0
D
17.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Monza
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Pescara
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Empoli
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Avellino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Carrarese
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Venezia
0
0
D
08.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Frosinone
0
3
L
04.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
27.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Bari
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Mantova
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Padova
1
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Palermo
3
3
D
07.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Modena
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Spezia
1
0
W
Last matches: Sudtirol
07.08.26
Fri
Sudtirol
Virtus Verona
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sudtirol
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
0
D
22.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
15.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
08.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Mantova
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Spezia
1
6
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Modena
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Cesena
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Frosinone
1
3
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Avellino
2
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Pescara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
03.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Reggiana
4
0
W
28.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Venezia
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Palermo
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
2
1
W
11.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Monza
0
0
D
07.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Carrarese
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
2
1
W
H2H: Sampdoria vs Sudtirol
01.05.26
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
0
W
31.08.25
H2H
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
3
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
2
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
0
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
3
1
L
14.08.23
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
1
D
Last matches: Sampdoria
01.08.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Novara
1
2
L
23.07.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Cagliari
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Sampdoria
Taverne
2
0
W
17.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Monza
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Empoli
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Avellino
2
1
W
14.03.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Venezia
0
0
D
27.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Bari
0
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Padova
1
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Palermo
3
3
D
31.01.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Spezia
1
0
W
16.01.26
Ser
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
27.12.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Reggiana
2
1
W
07.12.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Carrarese
3
2
W
24.11.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
1
0
W
02.11.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Mantova
0
1
L
25.10.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Frosinone
1
1
D
05.10.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Pescara
4
1
W
01.10.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
0
0
D
13.09.25
Ser
Sampdoria
Cesena
1
2
L
H2H at home: Sampdoria
01.05.26
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
0
W
21.09.24
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
0
1
L
14.08.23
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
1
D
Last matches: Sudtirol
15.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Spezia
1
6
L
06.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Cesena
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Avellino
2
3
L
03.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Reggiana
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Palermo
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
2
1
W
07.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Carrarese
0
0
D
17.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Empoli
1
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
21.12.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
08.12.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Monza
1
1
D
23.11.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Modena
0
0
D
01.11.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Padova
1
1
D
29.10.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Venezia
0
3
L
18.10.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Mantova
1
1
D
01.10.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Pescara
1
1
D
19.09.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Frosinone
2
2
D
24.08.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
1
1
D
16.08.25
Cop
Sudtirol
Como
1
3
L
H2H away: Sudtirol
01.05.26
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
0
L
21.09.24
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
0
1
W
14.08.23
H2H
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation