BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sampaio Correa Win 45.1%
Draw 15.9%
Trem Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sampaio Correa1.24
Trem1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
WWDLW
12 GF / 6 GA
Trem Trem
WLDWL
19 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.9
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa 10 matches
Trem Trem 10 matches
Sampaio Correa Statistic Trem
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
12 Goals For 19
6 Goals Against 13
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
3 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Trem. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trem having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Trem carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 20 points while Sampaio Correa sit 4 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sampaio Correa Analysis

Sampaio Correa come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 13 points from 10 matches. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:6 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Gean (4 goals), C. Peu (2 goals), Elias (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Trem Analysis

Trem come into this tie placed 1 in their league with 20 points from 10 matches. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 19:13 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Wanderson Gotinha (5 goals), Foguete (4 goals), J. Moreira (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Last matches: Sampaio Correa
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
4
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
0
1
L
04.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
2
2
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Tocantinópolis
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Imperatriz
3
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maranhão
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
2
0
W
11.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Altos
1
1
D
31.05.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Altos
2
2
D
Last matches: Trem
06.06.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
4
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
0
4
L
04.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
04.04.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
3
L
06.07.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
4
2
W
29.06.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
2
2
D
14.06.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
2
L
01.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
21.05.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
1
2
L
Last matches: Sampaio Correa
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
0
0
D
04.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Tocantinópolis
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Imperatriz
3
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
2
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Altos
2
2
D
21.05.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maranhão
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
1
0
W
Last matches: Trem
31.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
0
1
L
06.07.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
4
2
W
29.06.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
2
L
24.05.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
1
D
27.04.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
4
L

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)