BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Sampaio Correa
Match Timeline
Moto Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
C. Peu
Sampaio Correa
13'
Felipe Caua
Sampaio Correa
48'
Gean
Sampaio Correa
67'
Felipe Caua
Sampaio Correa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sampaio Correa Win 58.3%
Draw 16.4%
Moto Club Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sampaio Correa0.88
Moto Club0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Moto Club Moto Club
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa 7 matches
Moto Club Moto Club 7 matches
Sampaio Correa Statistic Moto Club
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
5 Goals For 7
4 Goals Against 8
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
2 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Sampaio Correa's more proactive style and Moto Club's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Moto Club. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Moto Club having the stronger overall control.

Sampaio Correa Analysis

Placed 5 with 7 points from 7 outings, Sampaio Correa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:4 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gean (2 goals), C. Peu (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Moto Club Analysis

Moto Club come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 9 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jojo (3 goals), Bacurau (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sampaio Correa won 8 times, Moto Club won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:8 from Sampaio Correa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
H2H summary: Sampaio Correa wins 8, draws 4, Moto Club wins 3
Last matches: Sampaio Correa
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Trem
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Trem
0
2
L
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
4
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
0
1
L
04.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
2
2
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Tocantinópolis
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Imperatriz
3
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maranhão
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
2
0
W
11.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Altos
1
1
D
Last matches: Moto Club
07.06.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
1
1
D
H2H: Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club
24.05.26
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
4
0
W
06.05.26
H2H
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
1
0
L
21.01.26
H2H
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
01.02.25
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
1
D
23.03.24
H2H
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
03.02.24
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
2
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
0
2
L
12.02.23
H2H
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
0
3
W
26.01.23
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
2
0
W
27.03.22
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
3
1
W
12.03.22
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
0
W
23.05.21
H2H
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
1
3
W
16.05.21
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
0
W
14.04.21
H2H
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
2
1
L
Last matches: Sampaio Correa
21.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Trem
0
2
L
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
0
0
D
04.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Tocantinópolis
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Imperatriz
3
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
2
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Altos
2
2
D
21.05.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maranhão
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sampaio Correa
24.05.26
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
4
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
1
D
03.02.24
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
2
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
0
2
L
26.01.23
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
2
0
W
27.03.22
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
3
1
W
12.03.22
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
0
W
16.05.21
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
0
W
Last matches: Moto Club
07.06.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
1
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
0
2
L
H2H away: Moto Club
24.05.26
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
4
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
1
D
03.02.24
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
2
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
0
2
W
26.01.23
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
2
0
L
27.03.22
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
3
1
L
12.03.22
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
0
L
16.05.21
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
1
0
L