GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
17.05.2026 16:00
26 May Stadium
Referee: I. Kherkhadze
Samgurali
Match Timeline
Spaeri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Jefinho
Samgurali
🔄
46'
Jefinho ↔ L. Papava
Samgurali
🔄
46'
Wellissol ↔ N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
🟨
54'
N. Chagunava
Spaeri
🟨
71'
T. Tsetskhladze
Spaeri
🔄
74'
G. Tsetskhladze ↔ P. Poniava
Spaeri
🔄
77'
I. Janjgava ↔ O. Aptsiauri
Samgurali
🔄
77'
Claudio Cebolinha ↔ G. Gogolashvili
Samgurali
🔄
78'
S. Mathenjwa ↔ Z. Golubiani
Spaeri
🔄
83'
T. Askurava ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
🔄
84'
J. Carlos ↔ S. Chkhetiani
Samgurali

Samgurali vs Spaeri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Samgurali Win 42.5%
Draw 20.9%
Spaeri Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samgurali1.42
Spaeri1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samgurali Samgurali
WWDLW
30 GF / 30 GA
Spaeri Spaeri
WLDWL
27 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
14
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samgurali Samgurali 20 matches
Spaeri Spaeri 17 matches
Samgurali Statistic Spaeri
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 5
30 Goals For 27
30 Goals Against 22
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
14 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Spaeri's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Spaeri. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Spaeri having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali sit 8 with 14 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 14:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Claudio Cebolinha (3 goals), Wellissol (3 goals), I. Janjgava (2 goals), with creative support from L. Gegetchkori (2 assists), L. Papava (1 assists), L. Shergelashvili (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Spaeri Analysis

Spaeri sit 6 with 15 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Samkharadze (4 goals), L. Kokhreidze (3 goals), G. Bunturi (1 goals), with creative support from G. Tsirdava (3 assists), S. Gegiadze (2 assists), G. Samkharadze (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 2 times, Spaeri won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Samgurali's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.1%)
H2H summary: Samgurali wins 2, draws 1, Spaeri wins 1

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 12 6 5 30:19 11 42
D W W W L
2 22 10 7 5 35:26 9 37
W L W W W
3 23 10 7 6 38:32 6 37
W W W D L
4 21 10 4 7 30:24 6 34
L L W L D
5 23 9 5 9 32:41 -9 32
D W L W D
6 23 8 7 8 36:27 9 31
L D W L D
7 22 9 3 10 27:24 3 30
L D W W W
8 23 6 9 8 23:30 -7 27
W L D D D
9 23 5 8 10 30:35 -5 23
L L D L D
10 23 2 8 13 17:40 -23 14
W L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2