Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
9.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Samgurali
Gagra
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Samgurali
17 matches
Gagra
14 matches
| Samgurali | Statistic | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 24 | Goals For | 16 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gagra. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Samgurali have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control.
Samgurali sit 9 with 8 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 8:17 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Wellissol (2 goals), Claudio Cebolinha (1 goals), G. Gogolashvili (1 goals), with creative support from L. Shergelashvili (1 assists), N. Khorkheli (1 assists), L. Papava (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gagra are currently 8 in the standings with 10 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Andreychuk (2 goals), D. Mujiri (2 goals), I. Skrypnyk (2 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (4 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali won 7 times, Gagra won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:10 from Samgurali's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Lineups
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Ulytau
Samgurali
Petrocub
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Bunyodkor
Gagra
Muras United
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Surkhon
Samgurali
Alashkert
Samgurali
Kolkheti Poti
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Bunyodkor
Gagra
Muras United
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
Gagra
Shturmi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 32 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 27 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21:19 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
Samgurali
Home
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Gagra
Away
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 10 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
L
|