FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
FT
4 - 1
Salon urheilupuisto
SalPa
Match Timeline
OLS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
E. Raittinen
OLS
27'
J. Kostian
SalPa
🟨
34'
L. Ilola
OLS
45'
S. Kadowaki
SalPa
🔄
57'
L. Piirto ↔ J. Polvi
OLS
64'
S. Kadowaki
SalPa
🔄
69'
Y. Miyazaki ↔ E. Rrustemi
SalPa
🔄
70'
E. Merikanto ↔ I. Arvola
OLS
🔄
71'
A. Aapajarvi ↔ O. Lamsa
OLS
🔄
80'
O. Jakonen ↔ E. Rrustemi
SalPa
🟨
82'
S. Poysa
SalPa
🟨
85'
M. Ajoung
OLS
88'
J. Ndakala
SalPa
🔄
88'
M. Ajoung ↔ H. Taumberger
OLS
🔄
88'
J. Lotvonen ↔ T. Ridanpaa
OLS
🔄
90+1'
J. Kostian ↔ L. Pan
SalPa
🔄
90+1'
N. Jokiniemi ↔ R. Ruponen
SalPa
🔄
90+1'
S. Poysa ↔ J. Heikkila
SalPa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.31
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
2.10
BTTS Yes
86%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.18
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
SalPa Win 62.8%
Draw 12.1%
OLS Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
SalPa1.62
OLS1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
SalPa SalPa
WWDLW
34 GF / 33 GA
OLS OLS
WLDWL
40 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
2
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SalPa SalPa 20 matches
OLS OLS 20 matches
SalPa Statistic OLS
8 Wins 8
6 Draws 7
6 Losses 5
34 Goals For 40
33 Goals Against 30
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward OLS. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward OLS having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

SalPa Analysis

SalPa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 30 points after 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 34:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

OLS Analysis

OLS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 30 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 37:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SalPa won 1 times, OLS won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from SalPa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
H2H summary: SalPa wins 1, draws 0, OLS wins 1
Last matches: SalPa
15.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
1
W
01.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
0
3
L
25.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
Last matches: OLS
15.08.26
Ykk
OLS
Rops
3
3
D
09.08.26
Ykk
OLS
FC jazz
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
OLS
TPV
4
2
W
26.07.26
Ykk
OLS
KPV-j
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ykk
OLS
PKKU
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
OLS
VJS
3
4
L
04.07.26
Ykk
OLS
Inter Turku II
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
OLS
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
11.06.26
Ykk
OLS
Tampere United
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ykk
OLS
SalPa
5
0
W
02.06.26
Ykk
OLS
Rops
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
OLS
JJK
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ykk
OLS
FC jazz
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
OLS
TPV
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
OLS
JJK
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
OLS
KPV-j
4
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
OLS
PKKU
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
OLS
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
OLS
VJS
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ykk
OLS
KuPS Akatemia
4
2
W
H2H: SalPa vs OLS
22.08.26
H2H
SalPa
OLS
4
1
W
06.06.26
H2H
OLS
SalPa
5
0
L
Last matches: SalPa
15.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
0
2
L
05.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
H2H at home: SalPa
22.08.26
H2H
SalPa
OLS
4
1
W
Last matches: OLS
09.08.26
Ykk
OLS
FC jazz
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ykk
OLS
PKKU
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
OLS
VJS
3
4
L
11.06.26
Ykk
OLS
Tampere United
0
3
L
02.06.26
Ykk
OLS
Rops
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
OLS
JJK
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ykk
OLS
TPV
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
OLS
KPV-j
4
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
OLS
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ykk
OLS
KuPS Akatemia
4
2
W
H2H away: OLS
22.08.26
H2H
SalPa
OLS
4
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.84
Draw 3.68
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.34
Draw 2.41
Home 2.56
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.99
Draw 2.91
Home 2.34
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.06
Over 1.75 1.07
Over 2.0 1.09
Over 2.25 1.20
Over 2.5 1.31
Over 2.75 1.39
Over 3.0 1.47
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.86
Over 3.75 2.06
Over 4.0 2.35
Over 4.25 2.62
Over 4.5 2.83
Over 4.75 3.36
Over 5.0 4.30
Over 5.25 4.65
Over 5.5 4.90
Over 6.0 8.30
Under 0.5 18.00
Under 1.5 6.25
Under 1.75 5.80
Under 2.0 5.35
Under 2.25 3.68
Under 2.5 2.92
Under 2.75 2.64
Under 3.0 2.35
Under 3.25 2.03
Under 3.5 1.84
Under 3.75 1.68
Under 4.0 1.47
Under 4.25 1.41
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.14
Under 5.25 1.12
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.0 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.75
Home 2.02
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.65
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 3.5 1.72
Over 4.5 2.63
Under 2.5 3.15
Under 3.5 1.92
Under 4.5 1.38

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3
SalPa Home
21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4 21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6
OLS Away
21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9 21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12 21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W