FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Salon urheilupuisto
SalPa
Match Timeline
KuPS Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
G. Voca
SalPa
22'
O. Jakonen
SalPa
🟨
27'
O. Balde
KuPS Akatemia
29'
L. Paasisalo
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
36'
J. Meura
SalPa
45'
M. Lulli
SalPa
47'
A. Baseme
KuPS Akatemia
51'
D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
56'
T. Hukkanen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
68'
D. Huttunen ↔ A. Leivonen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
74'
M. Lulli ↔ J. Kostian
SalPa
🔄
76'
L. Paasisalo ↔ E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia
80'
J. Meura
SalPa
🔄
81'
Y. Miyazaki ↔ E. Rrustemi
SalPa
🔄
86'
K. Prince Ume ↔ K. Haarma
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
86'
R. Tikkanen ↔ S. Kantelinen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
89'
J. Kostian
SalPa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SalPa Win 88%
Draw 6%
KuPS Akatemia Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
SalPa2
KuPS Akatemia1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
SalPa SalPa
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WLDWL
13 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SalPa SalPa 10 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 11 matches
SalPa Statistic KuPS Akatemia
4 Wins 2
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 8
20 Goals For 13
17 Goals Against 22
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around SalPa's more proactive style and KuPS Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. SalPa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 15 points compared to KuPS Akatemia in 10 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KuPS Akatemia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

SalPa Analysis

SalPa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 15 points after 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 20:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on G. Voca (4 goals), E. Rrustemi (3 goals), M. Lulli (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

KuPS Akatemia sit 10 with 7 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, while the 13:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on J. Kivijarvi (2 goals), K. Prince Ume (2 goals), A. Leivonen (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, SalPa won 1 times, KuPS Akatemia won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from SalPa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: SalPa wins 1, draws 0, KuPS Akatemia wins 0

Lineups

SalPa
Formation
KuPS Akatemia
A. Munukka
A. Munukka
J. Meura
J. Meura
T. Dementjeff
T. Dementjeff
E. Rrustemi
E. Rrustemi
M. Lulli
M. Lulli
G. Voca
G. Voca
S. Poysa
S. Poysa
O. Jakonen
O. Jakonen
S. Kadowaki
S. Kadowaki
Y. Miyazaki
Y. Miyazaki
S. Seidu
S. Seidu
K. Silen
K. Silen
R. Tikkanen
R. Tikkanen
T. Hukkanen
T. Hukkanen
O. Balde
O. Balde
L. Paasisalo
L. Paasisalo
J. Kivijarvi
J. Kivijarvi
D. Huttunen
D. Huttunen
P. Tuomainen
P. Tuomainen
P. Hautakangas
P. Hautakangas
K. Prince Ume
K. Prince Ume
A. Baseme
A. Baseme
SalPa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
A. Munukka
3
J. Meura
⚽ 80' 🟨 36'
4
T. Dementjeff
7
E. Rrustemi
9
M. Lulli
⚽ 45' ↓ 74'
10
G. Voca
⚽ 5'
18
S. Poysa
20
O. Jakonen
⚽ 22'
22
S. Kadowaki
24
Y. Miyazaki
↓ 81'
28
S. Seidu
Substitutes
12
O. Rintamaki
5
L. Pan
11
E. Rrustemi
↑ 81'
13
J. Kostian
↑ 74' 🟨 89'
14
A. Ranta
15
J. Heikkila
17
M. Mohammadi
23
R. Ruponen
KuPS Akatemia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Silen
3
R. Tikkanen
↓ 86'
4
T. Hukkanen
🟨 56'
6
O. Balde
🟨 27'
7
L. Paasisalo
⚽ 29' ↓ 76'
8
J. Kivijarvi
9
D. Huttunen
⚽ 51' ↓ 68'
13
P. Tuomainen
14
P. Hautakangas
19
K. Prince Ume
↓ 86'
26
A. Baseme
⚽ 47'
Substitutes
12
J. Aimola
20
E. Karkkainen
↑ 76'
23
N. Mattila
24
A. Leivonen
↑ 68'
25
K. Haarma
↑ 86'
30
S. Kantelinen
↑ 86'
Last matches: SalPa
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
H2H: SalPa vs KuPS Akatemia
12.06.26
H2H
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
Last matches: SalPa
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
H2H at home: SalPa
12.06.26
H2H
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
H2H away: KuPS Akatemia
12.06.26
H2H
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
L

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 1 3 29:9 20 34
W L W W W
2 15 8 5 2 31:16 15 29
D W W D W
3
SalPa Home
15 7 5 3 31:25 6 26
W W D D W
4 16 7 4 5 40:29 11 25
L D L W W
5 16 6 5 5 30:23 7 23
D L L D L
6 14 6 4 4 27:19 8 22
D W L W D
7 14 5 5 4 25:19 6 20
L W D W L
8 15 6 2 7 18:23 -5 17
W L L L D
9 15 4 4 7 19:25 -6 16
W W W L D
10 15 4 3 8 26:41 -15 15
L L W L D
11 15 2 3 10 25:37 -12 9
L D L D L
12 15 2 3 10 13:48 -35 9
D L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)