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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
19.09.2026 14:00
Moor Lane
Salford City
Match Timeline
Swindon Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
James Ball
Swindon Town
🔄
50'
B. Wiredu ↔ J. Grant
Salford City
🔄
60'
J. Hungbo ↔ T. Nichols
Swindon Town
🔄
61'
J. Ball ↔ J. Debayo
Swindon Town
🔄
69'
P. Glatzel ↔ A. Hackford
Swindon Town
🟨
71'
Ollie Clarke
Swindon Town
🔄
74'
O. Turton ↔ N. Asiimwe
Salford City
🔄
74'
D. Udoh ↔ B. Woodburn
Salford City
⚽
77'
J. Powell · Assist: K. N'Mai
Salford City
🔄
80'
O. Clarke ↔ B. Kirkman
Swindon Town
🔄
80'
K. Majekodunmi ↔ D. Butterworth
Swindon Town
🔄
83'
K. N'Mai ↔ L. Garbutt
Salford City
🟨
87'
James Debayo
Swindon Town

Salford City vs Swindon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Salford City Win 55.8%
Draw 5.3%
Swindon Town Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Salford City1.78
Swindon Town1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Salford City Salford City
WWDLW
18 GF / 14 GA
Swindon Town Swindon Town
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
10
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Salford City Salford City 10 matches
Swindon Town Swindon Town 12 matches
Salford City Statistic Swindon Town
5 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
18 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 21
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 4
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.33
14.5 Total Shots 7.67
5.33 Corners 3.67
60.2% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Swindon Town's more proactive style and Salford City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Swindon Town. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Salford City expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Swindon Town in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Swindon Town having the stronger overall control. Swindon Town carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 10 points while Salford City sit 15 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Salford City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Salford City Analysis

Salford City sit 15 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 4:6, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Powell (1 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Swindon Town Analysis

Swindon Town approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 10 points after 5 outings. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 8:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Drinan (4 goals), O. Clarke (1 goals), with creative support from S. Negru (1 assists), A. Munda (1 assists), J. Thomson (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Salford City won 5 times, Swindon Town won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Salford City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Salford City 5-3-2 / Swindon Town 4-3-3
H2H summary: Salford City wins 5, draws 4, Swindon Town wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League