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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
03.10.2026 14:00
Moor Lane
Salford City
Match Timeline
Fleetwood Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
Salford City
🔄
12'
B. Woodburn ↔ R. Graydon
Salford City
🔄
61'
A. Loupalo-Bi ↔ R. Coughlan
Fleetwood Town
⚽
65'
M. Langstaff · Assist: R. Graydon
Salford City
🔄
66'
A. Murphy ↔ J. Robertson
Fleetwood Town
🔄
74'
J. Batty ↔ R. Cirino
Fleetwood Town
🔄
75'
C. Evans ↔ W. Davies
Fleetwood Town
🔄
77'
A. Odoh ↔ M. Butcher
Salford City
🔄
78'
K. N'Mai ↔ A. Oluwo
Salford City
🟨
84'
Ronan Coughlan
Fleetwood Town
🔄
87'
L. Molyneux ↔ O. Turton
Salford City
🔄
87'
J. Grant ↔ D. Udoh
Salford City

Salford City vs Fleetwood Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Salford City Win 53.8%
Draw 15.7%
Fleetwood Town Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Salford City1.5
Fleetwood Town1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Salford City Salford City
WWDLW
23 GF / 15 GA
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
WLDWL
20 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
5
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Salford City Salford City 12 matches
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 14 matches
Salford City Statistic Fleetwood Town
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 5
3 Losses 3
23 Goals For 20
15 Goals Against 12
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 2
4.25 Shots On Goal 3.63
15.63 Total Shots 14.75
6.13 Corners 5
59.3% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Fleetwood Town's more proactive style and Salford City's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fleetwood Town. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Salford City expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Fleetwood Town in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fleetwood Town having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Salford City Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Salford City have collected 10 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:9 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Powell (3 goals), M. Langstaff (1 goals), R. Graydon (1 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (2 assists), K. N’Mai (1 assists), K. Cesay (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fleetwood Town Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Fleetwood Town have collected 10 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Davies (2 goals), A. Loupalo-Bi (2 goals), R. Coughlan (1 goals), with creative support from C. Evans (2 assists), R. Coughlan (1 assists), R. Bennett (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Salford City won 0 times, Fleetwood Town won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Salford City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Salford City 5-3-2 / Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Salford City wins 0, draws 3, Fleetwood Town wins 1

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League