FRANCE › LIGUE 1

26.05.2026 18:45

Saint Etienne

0 - 0

Nice

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Referee: B. Bastien

Saint Etienne

Match Timeline

Nice

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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VAR

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Saint Etienne vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 70.1%

Odds -

2 agree / 0 disagree

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 35.4%

Odds -

2 agree / 0 disagree

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 43.2%

Odds -

1 agree / 0 disagree

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	70.1%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	35.4%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	43.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Saint Etienne Win 70.1%

Draw 0%

Nice Win 29.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Saint Etienne1.86

Nice1.08

Recent Form (Last 5)

Saint Etienne

WWDLW

74 GF / 42 GA

Nice

WLDWL

53 GF / 86 GA

Key Stats

1.95

Average Goals Scored

1.06

1.11

Average Goals Conceded

1.72

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.62

Shots on Goal

3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Saint Etienne 38 matches

Nice 50 matches

Saint Etienne	Statistic	Nice
20	Wins	11
7	Draws	13
11	Losses	26
74	Goals For	53
42	Goals Against	86
1.95	Avg Goals Scored	1.06
1.11	Avg Goals Conceded	1.72
18	BTTS Yes	29
28	Over 1.5	39
23	Over 2.5	26
13	Over 3.5	18
14	Clean Sheets	8
9	Failed To Score	17
4.62	Shots On Goal	3.7
12.97	Total Shots	11.48
4.84	Corners	5.34
58.1%	Ball Possession	46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Saint Etienne won 4 times, Nice won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:30 from Saint Etienne's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (100%)

Predicted formations: Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1 / Nice 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Saint Etienne 7, Nice 6

H2H summary: Saint Etienne wins 4, draws 2, Nice wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74:29	45	76	L W W D W
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	31	70	W L W D D
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	15	61	L W D W D
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	13	60	L L W W W
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	18	59	W W L D L
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	9	59	L W L W W
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60:54	6	54	L L W D D
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	11	53	W W D L W
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	-3	45	L W D L W
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47:46	1	44	W W D L L
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	-3	44	W L W L W
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43:55	-12	39	D L L L D
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	-19	36	D D L L D
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	-12	35	W L D D D
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	-10	34	W W W L D
16	Nice Away	34	7	11	16	37:60	-23	32	W D D L D
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29:52	-23	23	L W L L D
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	-44	17	D L L D L

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