GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: I. Shengelia
Rustavi
Match Timeline
Samgurali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
S. Kessi
Rustavi
🟨
53'
Ryan
Samgurali
🔄
62'
T. Berelidze ↔ Claudio Cebolinha
Samgurali
🔄
65'
D. Ubilava ↔ K. Ceijas
Rustavi
🔄
65'
N. Kutateladze ↔ Jean
Rustavi
🔄
68'
G. Gogolashvili ↔ Wellissol
Samgurali
🔄
74'
S. Kessi ↔ David Oliveira
Rustavi
🔄
81'
J. Carlos ↔ N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
🔄
81'
Ryan ↔ L. Shergelashvili
Samgurali
🔄
81'
O. Aptsiauri ↔ Jefinho
Samgurali
🟨
83'
M. Shatirishvili
Samgurali
🔄
84'
Y. Nakano ↔ M. Pami
Rustavi
🔄
84'
P. Osei ↔ Jackson Kenio
Rustavi
🟨
90+4'
Jean
Rustavi
🟨
90+5'
L. Gegetchkori
Samgurali

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rustavi Win 73.1%
Draw 7.9%
Samgurali Win 19%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rustavi1.32
Samgurali1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rustavi Rustavi
WWDLW
25 GF / 23 GA
Samgurali Samgurali
WLDWL
30 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
13
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rustavi Rustavi 20 matches
Samgurali Samgurali 21 matches
Rustavi Statistic Samgurali
7 Wins 7
7 Draws 6
6 Losses 8
25 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 30
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
13 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Rustavi's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Samgurali. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 20 points after 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 16:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jean (4 goals), I. Iakobidze (3 goals), A. Gujabidze (2 goals), with creative support from P. Osei (3 assists), S. Kessi (2 assists), K. Ceijas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Samgurali Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Samgurali have collected 15 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 14:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Claudio Cebolinha (3 goals), Wellissol (3 goals), I. Janjgava (2 goals), with creative support from L. Gegetchkori (2 assists), L. Papava (1 assists), L. Shergelashvili (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 5 times, Samgurali won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Rustavi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
H2H summary: Rustavi wins 5, draws 2, Samgurali wins 5

Lineups

Rustavi
Formation
Samgurali
J. Roland
J. Roland
M. Kapanadze
M. Kapanadze
I. Iakobidze
I. Iakobidze
V. Patsatsia
V. Patsatsia
N. Chikovani
N. Chikovani
Y. Nakano
Y. Nakano
A. Gujabidze
A. Gujabidze
D. Ubilava
D. Ubilava
S. Kessi
S. Kessi
P. Osei
P. Osei
N. Kutateladze
N. Kutateladze
L. Kutaladze
L. Kutaladze
L. Gegetchkori
L. Gegetchkori
M. Shatirishvili
M. Shatirishvili
Vinicius Vianna
Vinicius Vianna
Ryan
Ryan
J. Carlos
J. Carlos
T. Berelidze
T. Berelidze
O. Aptsiauri
O. Aptsiauri
I. Janjgava
I. Janjgava
L. Papava
L. Papava
G. Gogolashvili
G. Gogolashvili
Rustavi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
J. Roland
27
M. Kapanadze
24
I. Iakobidze
3
V. Patsatsia
19
N. Chikovani
22
Y. Nakano
↓ 84'
13
A. Gujabidze
40
D. Ubilava
↓ 65'
11
S. Kessi
⚽ 20' ↓ 74'
10
P. Osei
↓ 84'
14
N. Kutateladze
↓ 65'
Substitutes
1
S. Kardava
4
David Oliveira
↑ 74'
5
K. Ceijas
↑ 65'
6
M. Pami
↑ 84'
7
Jackson Kenio
↑ 84'
9
Jean
↑ 65' 🟨 90+4'
17
B. Jibril
23
A. Kutateladze
30
G. Chkheidze
Samgurali 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Kutaladze
13
L. Gegetchkori
🟨 90+5'
25
M. Shatirishvili
🟨 83'
20
Vinicius Vianna
39
Ryan
↓ 81' 🟨 53'
15
J. Carlos
↓ 81'
8
T. Berelidze
↓ 62'
6
O. Aptsiauri
↓ 81'
5
I. Janjgava
9
L. Papava
10
G. Gogolashvili
↓ 68'
Substitutes
21
A. Siukaev
2
L. Kvaratskhelia
3
A. Jarjue Kabia
11
Wellissol
↑ 68'
17
N. Tsetskhladze
↑ 81'
18
S. Chkhetiani
27
L. Shergelashvili
↑ 81'
28
Claudio Cebolinha
↑ 62'
33
Jefinho
↑ 81'
Last matches: Rustavi
17.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
13.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
L
05.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
12.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Oleksandria
0
1
L
Last matches: Samgurali
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
16.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Petrocub
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Surkhon
1
2
L
H2H: Rustavi vs Samgurali
21.05.26
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
03.04.26
H2H
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
L
02.10.20
H2H
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
0
D
22.09.20
H2H
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
L
07.08.20
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
0
0
D
02.03.20
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
1
D
01.10.17
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
28.07.17
H2H
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
L
09.05.17
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
2
1
W
10.03.17
H2H
Samgurali
Rustavi
4
2
L
10.10.16
H2H
Samgurali
Rustavi
1
1
D
19.08.16
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
2
0
W
02.03.16
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
10.09.15
H2H
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
L
Last matches: Rustavi
13.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
1
W
11.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
L
01.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
15.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shturmi
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
2
D
23.01.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
H2H at home: Rustavi
21.05.26
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
07.08.20
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
0
0
D
02.03.20
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
1
D
01.10.17
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
09.05.17
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
2
1
W
19.08.16
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
2
0
W
02.03.16
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
Last matches: Samgurali
18.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
16.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Petrocub
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
02.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
L
H2H away: Samgurali
21.05.26
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
L
07.08.20
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
0
0
D
02.03.20
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
1
D
01.10.17
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
L
09.05.17
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
2
1
L
19.08.16
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
2
0
L
02.03.16
H2H
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 5 4 22:15 7 32
W W W L W
2 18 9 4 5 25:17 8 31
L D W L W
3 18 7 7 4 29:20 9 28
W L W L D
4 18 7 6 5 27:28 -1 27
W W L W D
5 18 7 5 6 30:19 11 26
L L L W W
6 18 7 3 8 25:32 -7 24
L W W W L
7 18 7 2 9 18:19 -1 23
W L L L D
8 18 5 6 7 25:25 0 21
L D L W D
9 18 5 6 7 18:24 -6 21
D W W W L
10 18 1 8 9 12:32 -20 11
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2