PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
La Arboleda
Referee: D. Benitez
Rubio NU
Match Timeline
Sportivo Luqueno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
3'
Alexis Villalba
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
8'
Rodrigo Rojas
Rubio NU
🟥
18'
Axel Balbuena
Sportivo Luqueno
VAR
21'
Axel Balbuena
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
26'
S. Diaz ↔ A. M. Martinez Cubilla
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
38'
Carlos Gimenez
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
L. Montiel ↔ R. Alborno
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
↔ J. Diaz
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
49'
Javier Fleitas
Rubio NU
🔄
58'
A. Maiz ↔ A. Benitez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
59'
F. Martinez ↔ M. Roldan
Rubio NU
🔄
59'
J. Vallejos ↔ P. Alvarez Benitez
Rubio NU
🔄
72'
L. Comas ↔ G. Bogado
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
72'
J. Ramos ↔ O. Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
77'
C. Gimenez ↔ O. Alfonso
Rubio NU
🔄
77'
R. Ferreira ↔ J. J. Gimenez Delgado
Rubio NU
🔄
85'
M. Ojeda ↔ A. Pereira
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
88'
E. Perez ↔ C. Villagra
Rubio NU
🟨
90+6'
Mauricio Roldán
Rubio NU
🟨
90+6'
Óscar Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 34.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
34.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rubio NU Win 56.1%
Draw 14.3%
Sportivo Luqueno Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubio NU1.09
Sportivo Luqueno1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubio NU Rubio NU
WWDLW
14 GF / 21 GA
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WLDWL
21 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
3
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
10
2.83
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubio NU Rubio NU 18 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 18 matches
Rubio NU Statistic Sportivo Luqueno
6 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 10
14 Goals For 21
21 Goals Against 28
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
3 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 0
9 Failed To Score 6
2.83 Shots On Goal 4.11
9.72 Total Shots 11.22
3.39 Corners 3.39
37.8% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rubio NU expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sportivo Luqueno in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Luqueno having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Rubio NU have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Luqueno. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rubio NU Analysis

Rubio NU approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 21 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 14:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Perez (5 goals), W. Mendieta (2 goals), A. Leguizamon (1 goals), with creative support from C. Gimenez (3 assists), W. Mendieta (2 assists), F. Martinez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno are currently 10 in the standings with 18 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 21:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Iván Maggi (10 goals), Sebastián Quintana (3 goals), L. Comas (2 goals), with creative support from L. Comas (2 assists), G. Bogado (2 assists), O. Ruiz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rubio NU won 3 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Rubio NU's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Rubio NU 4-2-3-1 / Sportivo Luqueno 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Rubio NU wins 3, draws 5, Sportivo Luqueno wins 5
Stats
Rubio NU Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
440 Total passes 160
375 Passes accurate 96
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Rubio NU
Formation
Sportivo Luqueno
F. Fragueda
F. Fragueda
V. Cabanas
V. Cabanas
B. Blasi
B. Blasi
J. Vallejos
J. Vallejos
C. Gimenez
C. Gimenez
A. Cardozo Lucena
A. Cardozo Lucena
F. Martinez
F. Martinez
R. Ferreira
R. Ferreira
R. Rojas
R. Rojas
L. Montiel
L. Montiel
E. Perez
E. Perez
A. Aguilar
A. Aguilar
A. Villalba
A. Villalba
F. Wiechniak
F. Wiechniak
P. Riveros
P. Riveros
A. Balbuena
A. Balbuena
M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
S. Quintana
S. Quintana
A. Maiz
A. Maiz
J. Ramos
J. Ramos
L. Comas
L. Comas
S. Diaz
S. Diaz
Rubio NU 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
F. Fragueda
G
13
V. Cabanas
D
31
B. Blasi
D
3
J. Vallejos
↓ 59' 🟨 49'
D
36
C. Gimenez
↓ 77'
15
A. Cardozo Lucena
M
20
F. Martinez
↓ 59'
M
2
R. Ferreira
↓ 77'
8
R. Rojas
🟨 8'
M
35
L. Montiel
↓ 46'
M
40
E. Perez
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
1
T. Canteros
G
33
R. Alborno
↑ 46'
D
38
G. Manzur
M
30
P. Ayala
M
4
J. Gonzalez
D
37
M. Roldan
↑ 59' 🟨 90+6'
F
29
O. Alfonso
↑ 77'
F
18
C. Villagra
↑ 88'
F
5
P. Alvarez Benitez
↑ 59'
D
27
S. Gomez
M
11
J. J. Gimenez Delgado
↑ 77'
28
A. Leguizamon
F
Sportivo Luqueno 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
A. Aguilar
G
5
A. Villalba
D
6
F. Wiechniak
D
2
P. Riveros
D
24
A. Balbuena
🟥 18'
D
27
M. Ojeda
↓ 85'
M
18
S. Quintana
M
23
A. Maiz
↓ 58'
M
25
J. Ramos
↓ 72'
M
37
L. Comas
↓ 72'
F
10
S. Diaz
↓ 26'
F
Substitutes
1
F. Mongelos
G
16
A. Benitez
↑ 58'
M
8
G. Bogado
↑ 72'
M
35
A. Pereira
↑ 85'
F
7
K. Pereira
F
22
S. Ocampos
D
34
A. M. Martinez Cubilla
↑ 26'
11
O. Ruiz
↑ 72' 🟨 90+6'
F
14
F. Benitez
M
26
J. Diaz
↑ 46'
D
3
A. Brizuela
D
30
T. Franco
M
Last matches: Rubio NU
24.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
15.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
09.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
21.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
2
L
06.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
4
L
01.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
2
L
26.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
0
1
L
23.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
15.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
02.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
26.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
20.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
0
D
07.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
1
L
01.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
4
L
29.01.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
Last matches: Sportivo Luqueno
23.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
1
2
L
17.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
10.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
25.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
18.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
1
2
L
11.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2
3
L
22.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
0
2
L
17.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
0
1
L
13.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
07.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
02.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
3
2
W
13.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
06.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
L
02.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
27.01.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
H2H: Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno
02.05.26
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
02.03.26
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
1
W
17.07.22
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
2
1
L
08.04.22
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
L
20.08.19
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
1
0
L
04.11.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
3
3
D
27.08.17
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
3
0
L
02.06.17
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
1
1
D
24.03.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
15.10.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
21.07.16
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
2
W
26.04.16
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
2
W
19.02.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
Last matches: Rubio NU
15.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
21.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
2
L
01.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
2
L
23.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
26.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
07.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
1
L
29.01.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
H2H at home: Rubio NU
02.05.26
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
08.04.22
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
L
04.11.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
3
3
D
24.03.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
15.10.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
19.02.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
Last matches: Sportivo Luqueno
17.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
18.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
1
2
L
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2
3
L
17.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
0
1
L
07.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
13.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
02.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
23.01.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
H2H away: Sportivo Luqueno
02.05.26
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
08.04.22
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
W
04.11.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
3
3
D
24.03.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
15.10.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
19.02.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)