01.09.2026 19:00
La Arboleda
Referee: D. Ojeda
Rubio NU
Match Timeline
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
11'
J. Barrios
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟥
12'
J. Barrios
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
18'
Kevin Paredes ↔ William Mendieta
Rubio NU
🟨
24'
Maximiliano Antonio Garcia Soley
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
25'
J. Vallejos · Assist: Rodrigo Rojas
Rubio NU
🔄
26'
I Fretes ↔ Marcelo Augusto Ferreira Bordón
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
31'
Cristian Nunez
Rubio NU
39'
Marcelo Augusto Ferreira Bordón · Assist: Gastón Gerzel
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
45'
A. Páez ↔ Steven·Perez
Rubio NU
🔄
45'
Maximiliano Garrone ↔ E. Alfonso
Rubio NU
🔄
45'
Cristian Nunez ↔ Sergio Fretes
Rubio NU
🔄
45'
R. Amarilla ↔ Kevin Ferreira Gonzalez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
46'
E. Alfonso
Rubio NU
🟨
57'
Alexis Doldán
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
61'
Steven·Perez · Assist: E. Alfonso
Rubio NU
🟨
62'
Steven·Perez
Rubio NU
🔄
66'
Bruno Pinatares Prieto ↔ Juan Jesús Salcedo Zárate
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
66'
Gastón Gerzel ↔ Bruno Ariel Machuca
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
70'
Steven·Perez · Assist: William Mendieta
Rubio NU
🟨
72'
Rodrigo Rojas
Rubio NU
🔄
74'
Rodrigo Rojas ↔ Alan Fabricio Ledesma Velázquez
Rubio NU
🔄
83'
Franco Aragón ↔ Elias Ortiz
Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Rubio NU vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.16
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.13
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.3%
1.16
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.13
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
1.62
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.57
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Rubio NU Win 38.2%
Draw 32.1%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win 29.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubio NU1.16
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubio NU Rubio NU
WWDLW
21 GF / 40 GA
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo
WLDWL
15 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
0.52
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
8
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
10
3.21
Shots on Goal
1.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubio NU Rubio NU 29 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 29 matches
Rubio NU Statistic Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7 Wins 3
7 Draws 7
15 Losses 19
21 Goals For 15
40 Goals Against 53
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 0.52
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
8 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 5
15 Failed To Score 16
3.21 Shots On Goal 1.41
10.62 Total Shots 5.97
3.79 Corners 2.38
41.5% Ball Possession 23.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Club Sp. San Lorenzo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Rubio NU arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 5 points compared to Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 12 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Club Sp. San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Sp. San Lorenzo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rubio NU Analysis

So far, Rubio NU have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 5 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 5:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Marcelo Acosta (1 goals), Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz (1 goals), with creative support from William Mendieta (1 assists), Sergio Fretes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Analysis

Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12 with 1 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 1:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rubio NU won 6 times, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Rubio NU's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (70.3%)
Predicted formations: Rubio NU 4-4-2 / Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Rubio NU wins 6, draws 1, Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins 7

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 19:12 7 23
D W W L D
2 11 7 1 3 20:9 11 22
W W W D W
3 11 6 3 2 18:6 12 21
W W L W W
4 11 6 3 2 12:11 1 21
L L W D W
5 11 5 2 4 18:10 8 17
L W L W L
6 11 4 5 2 12:9 3 17
W D W D D
7 11 4 5 2 13:12 1 17
D W W L D
8 11 5 2 4 14:10 4 17
W D W W D
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L W L
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 11 0 1 10 3:21 -18 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)