RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
07.09.2026 16:30
Kazan Arena
Referee: Evgeniy Bulanov, Russia
Rubin
Match Timeline
Akhmat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
25'
Nikita Lobov
Rubin
26'
J. Siwe
Rubin
🔄
46'
S. Pryakhin ↔ K. Shchetinin
Akhmat
56'
E. Cacintura · Assist: M. Konate
Akhmat
🔄
57'
R. Bezrukov ↔ B. Jocic
Rubin
🔄
57'
I. Samoshnikov ↔ U. Iwu
Rubin
🔄
70'
I. Rozhkov ↔ M. Ignatiev
Rubin
🔄
81'
L. Sadulaev ↔ M. Samorodov
Akhmat
🔄
81'
M. Konate ↔ E. Maksuti
Akhmat
🔄
86'
I. Silva ↔ M. Keliano
Akhmat
🔄
88'
J. Siwe ↔ D. N. Motorin
Rubin

Rubin vs Akhmat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.94
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
60.8%
1.48
BTTS Yes
86%
1.94
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.42
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.6%
1.36
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.70
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Rubin Win 40%
Draw 20.8%
Akhmat Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubin1.29
Akhmat1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubin Rubin
WWDLW
27 GF / 14 GA
Akhmat Akhmat
WLDWL
36 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.8
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
10
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
11
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubin Rubin 17 matches
Akhmat Akhmat 20 matches
Rubin Statistic Akhmat
9 Wins 11
5 Draws 5
3 Losses 4
27 Goals For 36
14 Goals Against 17
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
10 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 4
9.67 Total Shots 12
3.67 Corners 4.17
46.8% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Akhmat. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rubin expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Akhmat in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akhmat having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Rubin Analysis

Rubin are currently 8 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jacques Siwe (2 goals), Mirlind Daku (1 goals), with creative support from Mirlind Daku (1 assists), Evgeniy Staver (1 assists), Ilya Rozhkov (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Akhmat Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Akhmat have collected 6 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Georgiy Melkadze (2 goals), Egas Cacintura (1 goals), Erald Maksuti (1 goals), with creative support from Arsen Adamov (1 assists), Lechi Sadulaev (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rubin won 7 times, Akhmat won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Rubin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: Rubin 5-4-1 / Akhmat 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Rubin 1, Akhmat 2
H2H summary: Rubin wins 7, draws 6, Akhmat wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5 9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6
Rubin Home
9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13 9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL