08.11.2026 06:00
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsAdelaide United
Match Timeline
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
64.8%
|
1.62 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.62 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Probability Distribution
Adelaide United Win 41%
Draw 23.9%
Melbourne Victory Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Adelaide United1.47
Melbourne Victory1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Adelaide United
L
L
W
L
L
4 GF / 11 GA
Melbourne Victory
D
D
L
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
1
2
Shots on Goal
3.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Adelaide United
7 matches
Melbourne Victory
3 matches
| Adelaide United | Statistic | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 0 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 11 | Goals For | 3 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 8.67 | Total Shots | 8.67 |
| 3.33 | Corners | 5.67 |
| 39% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide United won 3 times, Melbourne Victory won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Adelaide United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.1%)
Predicted formations: Adelaide United 4-4-2 / Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Adelaide United wins 3, draws 5, Melbourne Victory wins 7
Standings
A-League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Melbourne Victory
Away
|
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
D
D
D
L
|
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Adelaide United
Home
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)