Rotherham
Match Timeline
Reading
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.2%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Rotherham Win 19.7%
Draw 22.5%
Reading Win 57.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rotherham1.07
Reading1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rotherham
WWDLW
39 GF / 69 GA
Reading
WLDWL
65 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
18
BTTS Yes
31
24
Over 2.5
23
3.07
Shots on Goal
3.76
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rotherham
45 matches
Reading
45 matches
| Rotherham | Statistic | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 16 |
| 10 | Draws | 14 |
| 25 | Losses | 15 |
| 39 | Goals For | 65 |
| 69 | Goals Against | 61 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 20 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.07 | Shots On Goal | 3.76 |
| 9.89 | Total Shots | 10.76 |
| 4.49 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 44.6% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 3 times, Reading won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Rotherham's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Rotherham 4-2-3-1 / Reading 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Rotherham wins 3, draws 5, Reading wins 7
Stats
Rotherham
Reading
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Rotherham
Formation
Reading
T. Cann
J. Rafferty
E. Adegboyega
Z. Jules
J. Baptiste
D. Gore
D. Yearwood
D. Hall
J. Holmes
H. Gray
S. Nombe
J. Pereira
F. Burns
P. O'Connor
J. R. Dorsett A.
R. Nyambe
L. Wing
L. Fraser
H. Roberts
D. Kyerewaa
P. Lane
K. Ehibhatiomhan
Rotherham
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
T. Cann
G
2
J. Rafferty
D
36
E. Adegboyega
D
🟨 14'
3
Z. Jules
D
15
J. Baptiste
D
🟨 90'
44
D. Gore
M
🎯 25'
16
D. Yearwood
M
↓ 62'
22
D. Hall
M
↓ 62'
🟨 15'
23
J. Holmes
M
↓ 76'
24
H. Gray
M
10
S. Nombe
F
⚽ 25'
Substitutes
50
B. Childs
G
11
A. Martha
D
↑ 62'
9
J. Hugill
F
29
G. Biancheri
F
39
H. Duncan
37
J. Clarke
↑ 76'
51
C. Lee
↑ 62'
Reading
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pereira
G
12
F. Burns
D
15
P. O'Connor
D
3
J. R. Dorsett A.
D
↓ 84'
24
R. Nyambe
M
10
L. Wing
M
6
L. Fraser
M
5
H. Roberts
M
↓ 89'
🟨 87'
11
D. Kyerewaa
F
⚽ 47'
32
P. Lane
F
🎯 47'
↓ 81'
🟨 80'
9
K. Ehibhatiomhan
F
↓ 88'
Substitutes
31
T. Norcott
G
22
M. Stickland
D
2
K. Abrefa
D
↑ 89'
57
S. Patton
F
↑ 88'
49
E. Osho
D
↑ 81'
37
L. Howard
D
30
M. Ritchie
M
↑ 84'
Last matches: Rotherham
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
Last matches: Reading
01.08.26
Fri
Reading
Charlton
3
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Reading
Lincoln
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bradford
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bolton
1
1
D
H2H: Rotherham vs Reading
25.04.26
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
22.11.25
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
15.02.25
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
2
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
W
14.02.23
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
2
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
4
0
W
27.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
L
24.10.20
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
3
0
L
23.02.19
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
15.12.18
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
17.04.17
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
2
1
L
22.10.16
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
L
23.02.16
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
1
0
L
20.10.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
28.04.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
W
Last matches: Rotherham
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
1
3
L
10.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
3
0
W
04.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
2
2
D
01.11.25
FA
Rotherham
Swindon Town
1
2
L
18.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rotherham
25.04.26
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
4
0
W
27.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
L
15.12.18
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
22.10.16
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
L
20.10.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
28.04.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
W
Last matches: Reading
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
10.02.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Reading
AFC Wimbledon
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Reading
Northampton
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Reading
Leyton Orient
1
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Reading
Peterborough
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
4
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Reading
Bradford
0
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
3
0
W
H2H away: Reading
25.04.26
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
4
0
L
27.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
W
15.12.18
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
22.10.16
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
W
20.10.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
28.04.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
L
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
Reading
Away
|
46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 |
Rotherham
Home
|
46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two