ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Aesseal New York Stadium
Referee: J. Brooks
Rotherham
Match Timeline
Reading
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Emmanuel Adegboyega
Rotherham
🟨
15'
Denzel Hall
Rotherham
25'
S. Nombe · Assist: D. Gore
Rotherham
47'
D. Kyerewaa · Assist: P. Lane
Reading
🔄
62'
D. Hall ↔ A. Martha
Rotherham
🔄
62'
D. Yearwood ↔ C. Lee
Rotherham
🔄
76'
J. Holmes ↔ J. Clarke
Rotherham
🟨
80'
Paddy Lane
Reading
🔄
81'
P. Lane ↔ E. Osho
Reading
🔄
84'
J. R. Dorsett A. ↔ M. Ritchie
Reading
🟨
87'
Haydon Roberts
Reading
🔄
88'
K. Ehibhatiomhan ↔ S. Patton
Reading
🔄
89'
H. Roberts ↔ K. Abrefa
Reading
🟨
90'
Jamal Baptiste
Rotherham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Rotherham Win 19.7%
Draw 22.5%
Reading Win 57.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rotherham1.07
Reading1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rotherham Rotherham
WWDLW
39 GF / 69 GA
Reading Reading
WLDWL
65 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
18
BTTS Yes
31
24
Over 2.5
23
3.07
Shots on Goal
3.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rotherham Rotherham 45 matches
Reading Reading 45 matches
Rotherham Statistic Reading
10 Wins 16
10 Draws 14
25 Losses 15
39 Goals For 65
69 Goals Against 61
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
18 BTTS Yes 31
30 Over 1.5 38
24 Over 2.5 23
10 Over 3.5 13
10 Clean Sheets 8
20 Failed To Score 6
3.07 Shots On Goal 3.76
9.89 Total Shots 10.76
4.49 Corners 3.87
44.6% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 3 times, Reading won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Rotherham's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Rotherham 4-2-3-1 / Reading 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Rotherham wins 3, draws 5, Reading wins 7
Stats
Rotherham Rotherham
Reading Reading
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 2
17 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 5
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 6
9 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
258 Total passes 343
177 Passes accurate 256
1.56 expected_goals 0.89
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rotherham
Formation
Reading
T. Cann
T. Cann
J. Rafferty
J. Rafferty
E. Adegboyega
E. Adegboyega
Z. Jules
Z. Jules
J. Baptiste
J. Baptiste
D. Gore
🎯
D. Gore
D. Yearwood
D. Yearwood
D. Hall
D. Hall
J. Holmes
J. Holmes
H. Gray
H. Gray
S. Nombe
S. Nombe
J. Pereira
J. Pereira
F. Burns
F. Burns
P. O'Connor
P. O'Connor
J. R. Dorsett A.
J. R. Dorsett A.
R. Nyambe
R. Nyambe
L. Wing
L. Wing
L. Fraser
L. Fraser
H. Roberts
H. Roberts
D. Kyerewaa
D. Kyerewaa
P. Lane
🎯
P. Lane
K. Ehibhatiomhan
K. Ehibhatiomhan
Rotherham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
T. Cann
G
2
J. Rafferty
D
36
E. Adegboyega
🟨 14'
D
3
Z. Jules
D
15
J. Baptiste
🟨 90'
D
44
D. Gore
🎯 25'
M
16
D. Yearwood
↓ 62'
M
22
D. Hall
↓ 62' 🟨 15'
M
23
J. Holmes
↓ 76'
M
24
H. Gray
M
10
S. Nombe
⚽ 25'
F
Substitutes
50
B. Childs
G
11
A. Martha
↑ 62'
D
9
J. Hugill
F
29
G. Biancheri
F
39
H. Duncan
37
J. Clarke
↑ 76'
51
C. Lee
↑ 62'
Reading 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pereira
G
12
F. Burns
D
15
P. O'Connor
D
3
J. R. Dorsett A.
↓ 84'
D
24
R. Nyambe
M
10
L. Wing
M
6
L. Fraser
M
5
H. Roberts
↓ 89' 🟨 87'
M
11
D. Kyerewaa
⚽ 47'
F
32
P. Lane
🎯 47' ↓ 81' 🟨 80'
F
9
K. Ehibhatiomhan
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
31
T. Norcott
G
22
M. Stickland
D
2
K. Abrefa
↑ 89'
D
57
S. Patton
↑ 88'
F
49
E. Osho
↑ 81'
D
37
L. Howard
D
30
M. Ritchie
↑ 84'
M
Last matches: Rotherham
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
Last matches: Reading
01.08.26
Fri
Reading
Charlton
3
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Reading
Lincoln
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bradford
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bolton
1
1
D
H2H: Rotherham vs Reading
25.04.26
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
22.11.25
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
15.02.25
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
2
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
W
14.02.23
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
2
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
4
0
W
27.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
L
24.10.20
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
3
0
L
23.02.19
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
15.12.18
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
17.04.17
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
2
1
L
22.10.16
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
L
23.02.16
H2H
Reading
Rotherham
1
0
L
20.10.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
28.04.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
W
Last matches: Rotherham
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
1
3
L
10.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
3
0
W
04.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
2
2
D
01.11.25
FA
Rotherham
Swindon Town
1
2
L
18.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rotherham
25.04.26
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
4
0
W
27.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
L
15.12.18
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
22.10.16
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
L
20.10.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
28.04.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
W
Last matches: Reading
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
10.02.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Reading
AFC Wimbledon
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Reading
Northampton
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Reading
Leyton Orient
1
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Reading
Peterborough
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
4
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Reading
Bradford
0
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
3
0
W
H2H away: Reading
25.04.26
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
4
0
L
27.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
W
15.12.18
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
22.10.16
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
0
1
W
20.10.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
28.04.15
H2H
Rotherham
Reading
2
1
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two