Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
69.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
51%
|
- |
Rotherham
Luton
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rotherham
44 matches
Luton
45 matches
| Rotherham | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 19 |
| 10 | Draws | 12 |
| 24 | Losses | 14 |
| 39 | Goals For | 67 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.49 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 19 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.07 | Shots On Goal | 3.96 |
| 9.77 | Total Shots | 12.73 |
| 4.55 | Corners | 5.89 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 54.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Luton's more proactive style and Rotherham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Luton. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Luton carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 65 points while Rotherham sit 22 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Rotherham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Rotherham sit 22 with 40 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 36:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Nombe (11 goals), J. Rafferty (4 goals), D. Hall (3 goals), with creative support from Joe Powell (4 assists), J. Benson (2 assists), S. McWilliams (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 43 matches, Luton have collected 65 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 57:50 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Clark (11 goals), G. Kodua (9 goals), J. Richards (5 goals), with creative support from L. Walsh (6 assists), G. Saville (5 assists), E. Lawrence (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 0 times, Luton won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:6 from Rotherham's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.17 goals per game.
Rotherham
3
4
5
7
7
3
Lineups
Rotherham
Derby
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
Rotherham
Matlock Town
Rotherham
AFC Emley
Rotherham
Parkgate
Rotherham
Wycombe
Rotherham
Reading
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
Wigan
Rotherham
Barnsley
Rotherham
Port Vale
Rotherham
Stevenage
Rotherham
Lincoln
Rotherham
Peterborough
Rotherham
Bolton
Rotherham
Huddersfield
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
Rotherham
Plymouth
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
Luton
Al Kholood
Luton
Barnet
Luton
Hitchin Town
Luton
Bolton
Luton
Barnsley
Luton
Mansfield Town
Luton
Northampton
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
Peterborough
Luton
Stockport County
Luton
Exeter City
Luton
Wycombe
Luton
Doncaster
Luton
Reading
Luton
Port Vale
Luton
Burton Albion
Luton
Wigan
Luton
Cardiff
Luton
Bradford
Rotherham
Derby
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
Rotherham
Reading
Rotherham
Barnsley
Rotherham
Stevenage
Rotherham
Bolton
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
Rotherham
Plymouth
Rotherham
Doncaster
Rotherham
Cardiff
Rotherham
Northampton
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
Rotherham
Peterborough
Rotherham
Huddersfield
Rotherham
Blackpool
Rotherham
Wycombe
Rotherham
Lincoln
Rotherham
Burton Albion
Rotherham
Swindon Town
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
Luton
Barnet
Luton
Hitchin Town
Luton
Bolton
Luton
Mansfield Town
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
Wycombe
Luton
Doncaster
Luton
Port Vale
Luton
Wigan
Luton
Cardiff
Luton
Huddersfield
Luton
Plymouth
Luton
Exeter City
Luton
Reading
Luton
Leyton Orient
Luton
Fleetwood Town
Luton
Barnsley
Luton
Stockport County
Luton
Northampton
Luton
Stevenage
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Away
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 |
Rotherham
Home
|
46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|