Rotherham
Match Timeline
Derby
Rotherham vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
70%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Rotherham Win 19.8%
Draw 10.1%
Derby Win 70%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rotherham1.16
Derby1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rotherham
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Derby
WLDWL
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
2
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rotherham
6 matches
Derby
5 matches
| Rotherham | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 6 | Goals For | 7 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 3 times, Derby won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from Rotherham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Rotherham 3-4-2-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rotherham wins 3, draws 4, Derby wins 4