Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
70%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Rotherham Win 19.8%
Draw 10.1%
Derby Win 70%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rotherham1.2
Derby1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rotherham
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Derby
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rotherham
6 matches
Derby
2 matches
| Rotherham | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 6 | Goals For | 3 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 3 times, Derby won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Rotherham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Rotherham - / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rotherham wins 3, draws 3, Derby wins 4
Last matches: Rotherham
28.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
H2H: Rotherham vs Derby
03.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
0
W
16.01.21
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
0
1
W
30.03.19
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
6
1
L
15.09.18
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
0
W
07.05.17
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
19.11.16
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
3
0
L
12.03.16
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
31.10.15
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
3
0
L
17.02.15
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
09.08.14
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
1
0
L
Last matches: Rotherham
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
1
3
L
10.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
3
0
W
04.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
2
2
D
01.11.25
FA
Rotherham
Swindon Town
1
2
L
18.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rotherham
03.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
0
W
15.09.18
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
0
W
07.05.17
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
12.03.16
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
17.02.15
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
08.11.25
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
H2H away: Derby
03.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
0
L
15.09.18
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
0
L
07.05.17
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
12.03.16
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
17.02.15
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D