Rotherham
Match Timeline
Derby
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
70%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Rotherham Win 19.8%
Draw 10.1%
Derby Win 70%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rotherham1.16
Derby1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rotherham
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Derby
WLDWL
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
2
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rotherham
6 matches
Derby
5 matches
| Rotherham | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 6 | Goals For | 7 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 3 times, Derby won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from Rotherham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Rotherham - / Derby 5-3-2
H2H summary: Rotherham wins 3, draws 4, Derby wins 4
Lineups
Rotherham
Formation
Derby
T. Cann
E. Otoo
F. Tavares
K. Spence
D. Hall
Trialist
E. Adegboyega
J. Jellis
A. Nemane
J. Buyabu
B. Cover
J. Widell Zetterstrom
M. Clarke
S. Langas
B. Clark
S. Szmodics
C. Taylor
M. Johnston
L. Travis
O. Fraulo
O. Eames
D. Brown
Rotherham
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Cann
↓ 72'
3
E. Otoo
↓ 72'
7
F. Tavares
↓ 72'
8
K. Spence
↓ 81'
12
D. Hall
↓ 72'
14
Trialist
16
E. Adegboyega
↓ 72'
22
J. Jellis
↓ 81'
23
A. Nemane
↓ 60'
24
J. Buyabu
↓ 72'
28
B. Cover
↓ 60'
Substitutes
B. Childs
Trialist A
↑ 72'
Trialist B
↑ 72'
P. Mullin
↑ 60'
A. Martha
↑ 72'
M. Kaleta
↑ 72'
L. Agbaire
↑ 72'
L. Clarke
C. Lee
↑ 81'
D. Gardner
↑ 81'
J. Rafferty
↑ 72'
O. Ashley
⚽ 65'
↑ 60'
🟨 84'
Derby
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
5
M. Clarke
6
S. Langas
8
B. Clark
🟨 83'
11
S. Szmodics
⚽ 9'
↓ 46'
18
C. Taylor
↓ 46'
22
M. Johnston
↓ 63'
27
L. Travis
↓ 78'
29
O. Fraulo
37
O. Eames
🟨 87'
10
D. Brown
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
H. Price
50
S. Kane
3
C. Forsyth
↑ 46'
17
C. Blackett-Taylor
↑ 46'
23
J. Ward
↑ 46'
28
D. Sanderson
↑ 63'
40
C. Wilson
↑ 78'
41
D. Hodges
Last matches: Rotherham
15.08.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cheltenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
H2H: Rotherham vs Derby
04.08.26
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
03.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
0
W
16.01.21
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
0
1
W
30.03.19
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
6
1
L
15.09.18
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
0
W
07.05.17
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
19.11.16
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
3
0
L
12.03.16
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
31.10.15
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
3
0
L
17.02.15
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
09.08.14
H2H
Derby
Rotherham
1
0
L
Last matches: Rotherham
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
1
3
L
10.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
3
0
W
04.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
2
2
D
01.11.25
FA
Rotherham
Swindon Town
1
2
L
18.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rotherham
04.08.26
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
03.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
0
W
15.09.18
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
0
W
07.05.17
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
12.03.16
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
17.02.15
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
H2H away: Derby
04.08.26
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
03.02.21
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
0
L
15.09.18
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
0
L
07.05.17
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
12.03.16
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D
17.02.15
H2H
Rotherham
Derby
3
3
D