GERMANY 3. LIGA
20.09.2026 11:30
Stadion Essen
Referee: Lukas Benen

Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds 2.13
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.4%
2.13
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.52
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.8%
1.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Rot-Weiß Essen Win 59.4%
Draw 3.7%
Hansa Rostock Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rot-Weiß Essen2.37
Hansa Rostock1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
WWDLW
33 GF / 17 GA
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
WLDWL
31 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
2.21
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
5
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
12
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 12 matches
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 14 matches
Rot-Weiß Essen Statistic Hansa Rostock
7 Wins 7
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 4
33 Goals For 31
17 Goals Against 25
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.21
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
5 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.67
9 Total Shots 9.67
3.33 Corners 4
36.2% Ball Possession 31.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Rot-Weiß Essen's more proactive style and Hansa Rostock's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hansa Rostock. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rot-Weiß Essen expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Hansa Rostock in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hansa Rostock having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rot-Weiß Essen Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 10 points from 5 games, Rot-Weiß Essen bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Hansa Rostock Analysis

Hansa Rostock sit 7 with 8 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 11:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 times, Hansa Rostock won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Rot-Weiß Essen's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Rot-Weiß Essen 4-1-3-2 / Hansa Rostock 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rot-Weiß Essen wins 2, draws 0, Hansa Rostock wins 2

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 0 2 19:9 10 15
W W W L W
2 6 5 0 1 15:6 9 15
W L W W W
3 7 4 1 2 19:12 7 13
W D L W L
4 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
W W D L W
5 6 4 1 1 12:8 4 13
W W W D W
6 7 3 2 2 11:8 3 11
W L D W L
7 6 3 2 1 12:11 1 11
D W W L D
8 6 3 2 1 14:14 0 11
W L D W D
9 7 3 1 3 6:7 -1 10
L W W D W
10 7 3 1 3 10:13 -3 10
W D W W L
11 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
L D D W L
12 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L L W L W
13 6 2 1 3 9:10 -1 7
L W L L D
14 7 2 1 4 12:15 -3 7
D L L W L
15 7 2 1 4 11:15 -4 7
L W L L L
16 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
L D D W D
17 7 2 0 5 8:15 -7 6
L L L L W
18 7 1 2 4 13:17 -4 5
D L D L L
19 6 1 2 3 4:9 -5 5
W L D D L
20 6 1 1 4 9:12 -3 4
L D L W L
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation