SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
17.09.2026 17:00

Rosengård vs Trelleborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosengård Win 58.6%
Draw 3.9%
Trelleborg Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosengård1.49
Trelleborg1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosengård Rosengård
WWDLW
52 GF / 44 GA
Trelleborg Trelleborg
WLDWL
51 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
20
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosengård Rosengård 32 matches
Trelleborg Trelleborg 28 matches
Rosengård Statistic Trelleborg
13 Wins 13
10 Draws 8
9 Losses 7
52 Goals For 51
44 Goals Against 36
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
20 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 20
11 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Trelleborg. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trelleborg having the stronger overall control. Trelleborg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Rosengård Analysis

Placed 5 with 34 points from 20 outings, Rosengård continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 35:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Trelleborg Analysis

Trelleborg sit 1 with 39 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats with a 42:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Rosengård won 0 times, Trelleborg won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Rosengård's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Rosengård wins 0, draws 0, Trelleborg wins 2

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 6 3 44:24 20 42
W L W L L
2 21 12 3 6 41:26 15 39
L W W W W
3 21 11 6 4 45:32 13 39
W D L W W
4 21 10 8 3 44:26 18 38
W D W W L
5 21 9 7 5 35:28 7 34
L W W D D
6 21 9 6 6 28:28 0 33
D W D W W
7 21 8 8 5 39:31 8 32
D D D L D
8 21 7 7 7 33:33 0 28
W W L W W
9 21 7 6 8 25:20 5 27
D L W D D
10 21 6 9 6 23:29 -6 27
W W D W L
11 21 8 2 11 38:43 -5 26
L W L L D
12 21 7 4 10 32:38 -6 25
L L L D W
13 21 5 6 10 25:33 -8 21
D L W L L
14 21 6 3 12 28:38 -10 21
W L D L D
15 21 3 8 10 25:39 -14 17
L L L L L
16 21 1 5 15 17:54 -37 8
L D L D D