NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Lerkendal Stadion
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen, Norway
Rosenborg
Match Timeline
Fredrikstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
A. Pereira · Assist: O. Selnaes
Rosenborg
13'
E. K. Ceide · Assist: O. Selnaes
Rosenborg
🟨
32'
A. Pereira
Rosenborg
🔄
46'
J. Nunez ↔ S. Laghzaoui
Fredrikstad
🔄
46'
J. Svensson ↔ A. F. Witry
Rosenborg
🔄
57'
S. Rafn ↔ G. Wesseh
Fredrikstad
🔄
67'
O. Ohlenschlaeger ↔ J. Jezierski
Fredrikstad
🔄
70'
D. Duris ↔ J. Reitan-Sunde
Rosenborg
🔄
70'
A. Pereira ↔ T. Dahl
Rosenborg
🔄
75'
U. Fredriksen ↔ J. Nysveen
Fredrikstad
🔄
75'
F. Ghebreyohannes ↔ S. Owusu
Fredrikstad
77'
A. Chiakha · Assist: M. Bomholt
Rosenborg
🔄
81'
O. Selnaes ↔ H. Volden
Rosenborg
🔄
85'
E. K. Ceide ↔ N. Sahsah
Rosenborg
88'
I. Fossum
Rosenborg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.58
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.1%
1.58
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.70
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.7%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Rosenborg Win 77.1%
Draw 13.7%
Fredrikstad Win 9.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosenborg1.35
Fredrikstad1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WWDLW
26 GF / 28 GA
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WLDWL
33 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
8
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
13
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosenborg Rosenborg 21 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 23 matches
Rosenborg Statistic Fredrikstad
9 Wins 9
4 Draws 6
8 Losses 8
26 Goals For 33
28 Goals Against 35
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
8 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 5
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.54
11.83 Total Shots 11.31
5.83 Corners 4.23
52.4% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fredrikstad. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosenborg expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Fredrikstad in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fredrikstad having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Rosenborg Analysis

So far, Rosenborg have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 15 points from 13 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 15:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Amin Chiakha (5 goals), Simen Nordli (3 goals), Dino Islamović (2 goals), with creative support from Emil Konradsen Ceide (3 assists), Ole Selnaes (3 assists), Mads Bomholt (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fredrikstad Analysis

So far, Fredrikstad have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 14 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 15:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel Eid (2 goals), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (2 goals), Rocco Robert Shein (1 goals), with creative support from Daniel Eid (1 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), Rocco Robert Shein (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg won 2 times, Fredrikstad won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Rosenborg's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Rosenborg 4-4-2 / Fredrikstad 3-4-3
Missing players: Rosenborg 3, Fredrikstad 5
H2H summary: Rosenborg wins 2, draws 2, Fredrikstad wins 1
Stats
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
10 Corner Kicks 3
15 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
585 Total passes 493
507 Passes accurate 397
2.56 expected_goals 0.56
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rosenborg
Formation
Fredrikstad
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt
Jonas Svensson
Jonas Svensson
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Tomáš Nemčík
Tomáš Nemčík
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
Mads Bomholt
🎯
Mads Bomholt
Ole Selnaes
🎯
Ole Selnaes
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum
Dávid Ďuriš
Dávid Ďuriš
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Martin Borsheim
Martin Borsheim
Simen Rafn
Simen Rafn
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
Max Nilsson
Max Nilsson
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Benjamin Faraas
Benjamin Faraas
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Johannes Núñez
Johannes Núñez
Rosenborg 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Leopold Wahlstedt
G
22
Jonas Svensson
↓ 46'
D
4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
D
21
Tomáš Nemčík
D
19
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
⚽ 10' ↓ 70' 🟨 32'
D
17
Mads Bomholt
🎯 77'
M
10
Ole Selnaes
🎯 10' 🎯 13' ↓ 81'
M
8
Iver Fossum
⚽ 88'
M
29
Dávid Ďuriš
↓ 70'
F
18
Amin Chiakha
⚽ 77'
F
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
⚽ 13' ↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
16
Aslak Witry
↑ 46'
D
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
↑ 70'
D
14
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
↑ 70'
F
5
Håkon Volden
↑ 81'
D
11
Noah Sahsah
↑ 85'
F
12
Rasmus Sandberg
G
15
Jonas Mortensen
D
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
M
30
Maciej Soboczynski
F
Fredrikstad 3-4-3
Starting XI
77
Martin Borsheim
G
5
Simen Rafn
↓ 57'
D
4
Fredrik Holmé
D
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
↓ 75'
D
16
Daniel Eid
M
20
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
↓ 67'
M
14
Max Nilsson
M
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
↓ 75'
M
7
Benjamin Faraas
F
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
F
10
Johannes Núñez
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
9
Salim Laghzaoui
↑ 46'
M
29
Gabriel Wesseh
↑ 57'
M
21
Jakub Jezierski
↑ 67'
M
28
Solomon Owusu
↑ 75'
D
26
Joachim Nysveen
↑ 75'
D
1
Oystein Ovretveit
G
3
Aleksander Andresen
D
18
Jonathan Norbye
D
24
Leonard Owusu
M
Last matches: Rosenborg
24.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Manchester United
0
5
L
18.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Start
3
0
W
12.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
24.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Ranheim
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Artis
1
0
W
Last matches: Fredrikstad
17.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
11.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
3
L
28.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
0
0
D
20.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
1
0
W
H2H: Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
28.05.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
0
2
W
05.04.25
H2H
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
1
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
01.05.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
1
0
L
Last matches: Rosenborg
24.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Manchester United
0
5
L
12.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
24.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Artis
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Mjallby AIF
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Hammarby FF
0
0
D
24.07.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Banga
5
0
W
H2H at home: Rosenborg
05.04.25
H2H
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
1
0
W
02.06.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
Last matches: Fredrikstad
17.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
3
L
25.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
1
D
09.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
2
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
2
2
D
21.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
H2H away: Fredrikstad
05.04.25
H2H
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
1
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.64
Draw 4.45
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.84
Draw 2.56
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.17
Over 3.25 2.47
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.14
Under 1.5 4.47
Under 2.25 2.66
Under 2.5 2.22
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.74
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 4.00
Home 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.60
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.32
Draw 4.14
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.15
Draw 2.29
Home 2.11
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 2.74
Home 1.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.24
Over 2.0 1.29
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.72
Over 2.75 1.90
Over 3.0 2.11
Over 3.25 2.36
Over 3.5 2.61
Over 3.75 3.08
Over 4.0 4.10
Over 4.25 4.44
Over 4.5 4.75
Over 4.75 6.00
Over 5.0 8.40
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.80
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.60
Under 1.25 5.46
Under 1.5 3.95
Under 1.75 3.54
Under 2.0 3.16
Under 2.25 2.53
Under 2.5 2.14
Under 2.75 1.92
Under 3.0 1.62
Under 3.25 1.47
Under 3.5 1.39
Under 3.75 1.28
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.14
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 4.10
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.45
Home 2.04
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.85
Home 1.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 2.75 1.79
Over 3.0 2.05
Over 3.25 2.30
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 3.75 3.05
Over 4.0 3.90
Over 4.5 4.50
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.0 3.25
Under 2.25 2.48
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.66
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.5 1.15

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 37:11 26 35
W W W W D
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 14 6 2 6 22:24 -2 20
W W L W L
8 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
9 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:26 -6 18
L L L D D
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Rosenborg 3 missing
-
J. Svensson
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
D. Islamovic
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
S. Nordli
Questionable Injury
OUT
Fredrikstad 5 missing
-
M. Borsheim
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
S. Kvile
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Sorlokk
Questionable Foot Injury
OUT
-
S. Leach
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
O. Ohlenschlaeger
Questionable Injury
OUT