ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Gigante de Arroyito
Referee: Hernan Mastrangelo, Argentina
Rosario Central
Match Timeline
Tigre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Joaquin Mosqueira
Tigre
38'
A. Soto · Assist: C. Quintana
Rosario Central
VAR
42'
Alexis Soto
Rosario Central
🔄
46'
J. Mosqueira ↔ B. Leyes
Tigre
🟨
52'
Juan Villalba
Tigre
🔄
59'
S. Medina ↔ D. Romero
Tigre
🔄
59'
T. Serrago ↔ E. Cabrera
Tigre
🔄
64'
L. Duarte ↔ L. Raffin
Rosario Central
🔄
64'
S. Segovia ↔ M. Cabrera
Rosario Central
🔄
67'
F. Oviedo ↔ E. Copetti
Rosario Central
🔄
67'
A. Soto ↔ L. Rios
Rosario Central
🟨
76'
Facundo Mallo
Rosario Central
🔄
77'
L. Ramos ↔ K. Gutierrez
Rosario Central
🔄
80'
S. Lopez ↔ M. Fernandez
Tigre
🔄
80'
J. Elias ↔ J. Saralegui
Tigre
81'
D. Romero
Tigre
🟥
90+6'
Jabes Saralegui
Tigre

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosario Central Win 92.2%
Draw 0%
Tigre Win 7.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosario Central1.14
Tigre1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WWDLW
25 GF / 15 GA
Tigre Tigre
WLDWL
19 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.19
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
4
5
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosario Central Rosario Central 19 matches
Tigre Tigre 16 matches
Rosario Central Statistic Tigre
11 Wins 5
4 Draws 7
4 Losses 4
25 Goals For 19
15 Goals Against 14
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
5 Shots On Goal 4.2
13.83 Total Shots 13.07
5.11 Corners 3.67
57.8% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tigre. Rosario Central arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 140 points compared to Tigre in 21 on 107, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tigre arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Rosario Central Analysis

So far, Rosario Central have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 140 points from 88 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted - wins, - draws, and - losses, while the 0:0 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Di Maria (4 goals), A. Veliz (4 goals), E. Copetti (4 goals), with creative support from J. Campaz (4 assists), A. Di Maria (3 assists), J. Fernandez (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tigre Analysis

Tigre approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 107 points from 88 matches. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on David Romero (6 goals), I. Russo (4 goals), A. Barrionuevo (2 goals), with creative support from I. Russo (3 assists), David Romero (2 assists), A. Barrionuevo (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 2 times, Tigre won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Rosario Central's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rosario Central 4-2-3-1 / Tigre 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rosario Central wins 2, draws 4, Tigre wins 3
Stats
Rosario Central Rosario Central
Tigre Tigre
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
7
3 Corner Kicks 11
14 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 4
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 7
10 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
278 Total passes 335
219 Passes accurate 256
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Rosario Central
Formation
Tigre
J. Broun
J. Broun
E. Veron
E. Veron
F. Mallo Blanco
F. Mallo Blanco
C. Quintana
🎯
C. Quintana
A. Soto
A. Soto
L. Ramos
L. Ramos
F. Ibarra
F. Ibarra
L. Duarte
L. Duarte
S. Segovia
S. Segovia
G. Cantizano
G. Cantizano
F. Oviedo
F. Oviedo
F. T. Zenobio
F. T. Zenobio
G. Soto
G. Soto
A. Barrionuevo
A. Barrionuevo
J. Villalba
J. Villalba
N. Banegas
N. Banegas
T. Serrago
T. Serrago
J. Elias
J. Elias
J. Mosqueira
J. Mosqueira
S. Medina
S. Medina
I. Russo
I. Russo
S. Lopez
S. Lopez
Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Broun
G
42
E. Veron
D
15
F. Mallo Blanco
🟨 76'
D
2
C. Quintana
🎯 38'
D
33
A. Soto
⚽ 38' ↓ 67'
D
35
L. Ramos
↓ 77'
M
5
F. Ibarra
M
37
L. Duarte
↓ 64'
M
10
S. Segovia
↓ 64'
M
26
G. Cantizano
M
39
F. Oviedo
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
23
C. Ledesma
G
22
E. Copetti
↑ 67'
F
31
F. Navarro
M
43
K. Gutierrez
↑ 77'
M
40
B. Cantero
M
28
P. Fernandez
M
9
A. Veliz
F
47
L. Raffin
↑ 64'
D
46
I. Ovando
D
41
L. Rios
↑ 67'
D
7
M. Cabrera
↑ 64'
F
14
A. Oviedo
Tigre 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
F. T. Zenobio
G
17
G. Soto
D
20
A. Barrionuevo
D
32
J. Villalba
🟨 52'
D
3
N. Banegas
D
11
T. Serrago
↓ 59'
M
30
J. Elias
↓ 80'
M
55
J. Mosqueira
↓ 46' 🟨 25'
M
21
S. Medina
↓ 59'
M
29
I. Russo
F
22
S. Lopez
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
26
T. Sultani
G
42
R. Arias
D
8
M. Garay
M
9
D. Romero
⚽ 81' ↑ 59'
F
5
B. Leyes
↑ 46'
M
33
E. Cabrera
↑ 59'
M
23
G. Pineiro
M
18
M. Fernandez
↑ 80'
F
4
V. Moreno
D
24
F. Alvarez
D
10
J. Saralegui
↑ 80' 🟥 90+6'
M
72
M. Rivas
F
Last matches: Rosario Central
31.05.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
4
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independiente
3
1
W
05.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
29.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Huracan
1
3
L
09.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
23.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Banfield
2
1
W
11.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Talleres Cordoba
0
1
L
Last matches: Tigre
25.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
0
1
L
21.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Huracan
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Atletico Tucuman
0
0
D
02.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Banfield
0
1
L
16.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Gimnasia L.P.
2
2
D
25.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Barracas Central
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
17.02.26
Cop
Tigre
Claypole
2
0
W
12.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Aldosivi
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Tigre
River Plate
4
1
W
02.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Racing Club
3
1
W
29.01.26
Lig
Tigre
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
26.01.26
Lig
Tigre
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
H2H: Rosario Central vs Tigre
03.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
21.05.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Tigre
Rosario Central
2
2
D
08.08.22
H2H
Tigre
Rosario Central
3
1
L
04.04.22
H2H
Tigre
Rosario Central
2
0
L
17.02.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
0
2
L
31.10.17
H2H
Tigre
Rosario Central
1
1
D
25.03.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
0
W
21.02.15
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
2
1
W
Last matches: Rosario Central
19.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
4
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independiente
3
1
W
05.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Banfield
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Talleres Cordoba
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
2
0
W
11.02.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Sportivo Belgrano
2
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
H2H at home: Rosario Central
03.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
21.05.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
17.02.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
0
2
L
25.03.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
0
W
21.02.15
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
2
1
W
Last matches: Tigre
25.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tigre
Atletico Tucuman
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lig
Tigre
Banfield
0
1
L
25.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Barracas Central
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Tigre
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Tigre
River Plate
4
1
W
29.01.26
Lig
Tigre
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
H2H away: Tigre
03.05.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
21.05.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
17.02.19
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
0
2
W
25.03.17
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
0
L
21.02.15
H2H
Rosario Central
Tigre
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 89 0:0 0 159
L W W W D
2 89 0:0 0 152
L W W W L
3 89 0:0 0 144
L D D D W
4 89 0:0 0 144
L W D D D
5 89 0:0 0 142
L W W L W
6 89 0:0 0 141
L W W D W
7 89 0:0 0 136
L W D W W
8 89 0:0 0 134
L W L W D
9 89 0:0 0 133
L D D L W
10 89 0:0 0 132
L D D W W
11 89 0:0 0 131
L W D L D
12 89 0:0 0 123
L D W D W
13 89 0:0 0 120
L W D D L
14 89 0:0 0 119
L D D W L
15 89 0:0 0 118
L L W D D
16 89 0:0 0 115
L L L L L
17 89 0:0 0 112
W W W W W
18 89 0:0 0 112
L W W W W
19 89 0:0 0 111
D W L L L
20 89 0:0 0 108
W D L W W
21
Tigre Away
89 0:0 0 108
D L D D L
22 89 0:0 0 108
L L L D D
23 16 0:0 0 19
W L W D W
24 89 0:0 0 100
L D W L L
25 89 0:0 0 98
W D L D L
26 89 0:0 0 97
D D W D W
27 89 0:0 0 94
W D D L L
28 89 0:0 0 89
L W L L W
29 48 0:0 0 41
D L D L D
30 16 0:0 0 5
L L L L D