Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.9%
|
- |
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rosario Central
16 matches
Sarmiento Junin
14 matches
| Rosario Central | Statistic | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 18 | Goals For | 12 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.07 | Shots On Goal | 3.77 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 10.54 |
| 5.2 | Corners | 3.69 |
| 57.4% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sarmiento Junin. Rosario Central arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 134 points compared to Sarmiento Junin in 27 on 86, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosario Central expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sarmiento Junin in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarmiento Junin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Rosario Central have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 134 points from 86 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted - wins, - draws, and - losses, while the 0:0 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Di Maria (4 goals), A. Veliz (3 goals), E. Copetti (3 goals), with creative support from J. Campaz (4 assists), A. Di Maria (2 assists), Enzo Giménez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sarmiento Junin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 27 with 86 points from 86 matches. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Marabel (6 goals), Diego Churin (2 goals), C. Villalba (1 goals), with creative support from J. Marabel (2 assists), J. Contrera (2 assists), J. Renteria (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 6 times, Sarmiento Junin won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Rosario Central's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Rosario Central
6
1
6
4
10
0
Lineups
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
UCV
Rosario Central
River Plate
Rosario Central
Racing Club
Rosario Central
Independiente
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Tigre
Rosario Central
UCV
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Huracan
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Banfield
Rosario Central
Argentinos JRS
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Tristan Suarez
Sarmiento Junin
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
Aldosivi
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
Racing Club
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Atletico Tucuman
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
Nueva Chicago
Sarmiento Junin
Colegiales
Rosario Central
UCV
Rosario Central
Racing Club
Rosario Central
Independiente
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Tigre
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
Rosario Central
Banfield
Rosario Central
Talleres Cordoba
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
Sportivo Belgrano
Rosario Central
River Plate
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
Nueva Chicago
Sarmiento Junin
Comunicaciones
Sarmiento Junin
San Telmo
Sarmiento Junin
Acassuso
Sarmiento Junin
CA Estudiantes
Sarmiento Junin
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
General Lamadrid
Sarmiento Junin
Deportivo Moron
Sarmiento Junin
Defensores De Belgrano
Sarmiento Junin
Almagro
Sarmiento Junin
Colegiales
Sarmiento Junin
Sportivo Italiano
Sarmiento Junin
Flandria
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Rosario Central
Home
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Sarmiento Junin
Away
|
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
L
L
L
L
D
|