FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Keskuskentta
Rops
Match Timeline
SalPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
E. Rrustemi
SalPa
12'
A. Leppanen
Rops
🟨
17'
S. Poysa
SalPa
🔄
46'
S. Roiha ↔ T. Varhi
Rops
56'
E. Rrustemi
SalPa
🔄
64'
Y. Miyazaki ↔ J. Kostian
SalPa
🔄
69'
J. Ndakala ↔ S. Kadowaki
SalPa
🟨
73'
J. Meura
SalPa
🔄
79'
A. Leppanen ↔ A. Oinas
Rops
🔄
79'
V. Vatanen ↔ J. Niska
Rops
🔄
79'
E. Rrustemi ↔ E. Rrustemi
SalPa
🔄
79'
O. Jakonen ↔ R. Ruponen
SalPa
🟨
90+4'
A. Oinas
Rops
90'
O. Suutari
Rops

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rops Win 70%
Draw 5.1%
SalPa Win 24.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rops1.88
SalPa1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rops Rops
WWDLW
23 GF / 11 GA
SalPa SalPa
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
2.18
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rops Rops 12 matches
SalPa SalPa 11 matches
Rops Statistic SalPa
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
23 Goals For 24
11 Goals Against 20
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SalPa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SalPa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Rops Analysis

Rops come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 21 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 22:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Mekki (5 goals), O. Suutari (5 goals), F. Heiserholt (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

SalPa Analysis

SalPa come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 18 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 24:20 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Voca (5 goals), M. Lulli (4 goals), E. Rrustemi (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Rops won 0 times, SalPa won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Rops's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Rops wins 0, draws 2, SalPa wins 0

Lineups

Rops
Formation
SalPa
D. Berry
D. Berry
J. Koistinen
J. Koistinen
V. Vatanen
V. Vatanen
O. Suutari
O. Suutari
A. Mekki
A. Mekki
R. Cato
R. Cato
S. Roiha
S. Roiha
F. Heiserholt
F. Heiserholt
A. Leppanen
A. Leppanen
V. Katermaa
V. Katermaa
S. McLeod
S. McLeod
A. Munukka
A. Munukka
J. Meura
J. Meura
T. Dementjeff
T. Dementjeff
J. Ndakala
J. Ndakala
E. Rrustemi
⚽ 2
E. Rrustemi
M. Lulli
M. Lulli
G. Voca
G. Voca
S. Poysa
S. Poysa
O. Jakonen
O. Jakonen
Y. Miyazaki
Y. Miyazaki
S. Seidu
S. Seidu
Rops 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
D. Berry
4
J. Koistinen
7
V. Vatanen
↓ 79'
9
O. Suutari
⚽ 90'
10
A. Mekki
14
R. Cato
20
S. Roiha
↓ 46'
23
F. Heiserholt
25
A. Leppanen
⚽ 12' ↓ 79'
28
V. Katermaa
77
S. McLeod
Substitutes
1
T. Korhonen
2
A. Oinas
↑ 79' 🟨 90+4'
11
T. Varhi
↑ 46'
16
J. Niska
↑ 79'
18
L. Ojo
19
T. Katermaa
27
O. Wimmer
29
M. Korhonen
31
E. Kontiokoski
SalPa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
A. Munukka
3
J. Meura
🟨 73'
4
T. Dementjeff
6
J. Ndakala
↓ 69'
7
E. Rrustemi
⚽ 1' ⚽ 56' ↓ 79'
9
M. Lulli
10
G. Voca
18
S. Poysa
🟨 17'
20
O. Jakonen
↓ 79'
24
Y. Miyazaki
↓ 64'
28
S. Seidu
Substitutes
12
O. Rintamaki
11
E. Rrustemi
↑ 79'
13
J. Kostian
↑ 64'
22
S. Kadowaki
↑ 69'
23
R. Ruponen
↑ 79'
Last matches: Rops
10.07.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
05.07.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
4
3
W
13.06.26
Ykk
Rops
VJS
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
Rops
Tampere United
0
1
L
02.06.26
Ykk
Rops
OLS
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ykk
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Rops
FC jazz
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
Rops
TPV
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Rops
JJK
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ykk
Rops
KPV-j
7
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ykk
Rops
SalPa
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Rops
Piteå
1
1
D
Last matches: SalPa
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
H2H: Rops vs SalPa
27.06.26
H2H
Rops
SalPa
2
2
D
04.04.26
H2H
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
Last matches: Rops
05.07.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
Rops
Tampere United
0
1
L
02.06.26
Ykk
Rops
OLS
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ykk
Rops
TPV
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
Rops
KPV-j
7
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
H2H at home: Rops
27.06.26
H2H
Rops
SalPa
2
2
D
Last matches: SalPa
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
H2H away: SalPa
27.06.26
H2H
Rops
SalPa
2
2
D

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 28:9 19 31
L W W W W
2
Rops Home
14 8 4 2 30:15 15 28
W W D W L
3 15 7 4 4 39:26 13 25
D L W W L
4
SalPa Away
14 6 5 3 29:24 5 23
W D D W L
5 15 6 4 5 29:22 7 22
L L D L W
6 13 6 3 4 26:18 8 21
W L W D W
7 13 5 5 3 25:18 7 20
W D W L D
8 14 4 3 7 25:39 -14 15
L W L D D
9 14 5 2 7 15:22 -7 14
L L L D D
10 14 3 4 7 16:24 -8 13
W W L D D
11 14 2 3 9 24:34 -10 9
D L D L W
12 14 2 2 10 12:47 -35 8
L W L L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)