RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
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Arena Khimki

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.4%
Odds 2.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.4%
2.38
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.12
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.2%
1.21
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.40
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.40
Probability Distribution
Rodina Moskva Win 13.1%
Draw 8.6%
FC Rostov Win 78.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rodina Moskva1.03
FC Rostov1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
WWDLW
8 GF / 22 GA
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WLDWL
19 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
5
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 matches
FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 matches
Rodina Moskva Statistic FC Rostov
1 Wins 4
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 5
8 Goals For 19
22 Goals Against 19
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
5 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 5
7 Total Shots 14
4 Corners 6
40% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Rodina Moskva won 2 times, FC Rostov won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:7 from Rodina Moskva's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Rodina Moskva 4-4-2 / FC Rostov 3-4-3
Missing players: Rodina Moskva 0, FC Rostov 1
H2H summary: Rodina Moskva wins 2, draws 0, FC Rostov wins 2
Last matches: Rodina Moskva
25.07.26
Pre
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Moscow
0
3
L
02.07.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Akron
0
5
L
27.06.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chernomorets
0
0
D
18.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Sochi
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Kostroma
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Enisey
1
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
1
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Rostov
26.07.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Fakel
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
3
3
D
07.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Fakel
1
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Dinamo Stavropol
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akron
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akhmat
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dynamo
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Baltika
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
2
5
L
18.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Qingdao Youth Island
2
0
W
H2H: Rodina Moskva vs FC Rostov
01.02.26
H2H
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
0
1
W
19.01.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
3
2
L
19.01.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
3
2
L
23.01.24
H2H
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
2
1
W
Last matches: Rodina Moskva
02.07.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Akron
0
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chernomorets
0
0
D
26.01.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
H2H at home: Rodina Moskva
23.01.24
H2H
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
2
1
W
Last matches: FC Rostov
26.07.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
3
3
D
07.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Fakel
1
3
L
11.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akron
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
21.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akhmat
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
2
5
L
18.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
23.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
05.10.25
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Baltika
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
3
3
D
17.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Rubin
0
1
L
26.07.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Dynamo
0
1
L
20.07.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Zenit
1
2
L
H2H away: FC Rostov
23.01.24
H2H
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.28
Home 3.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 2.10
Home 3.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.44
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.46
Over 3.5 3.78
Under 1.5 3.26
Under 1.75 2.87
Under 2.0 2.45
Under 2.25 2.01
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.5 1.28
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 3.36
Home 3.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.04
Draw 2.01
Home 3.84
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.66
Draw 2.39
Home 3.42
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.19
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.55
Over 2.25 1.91
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 2.75 2.51
Over 3.0 3.00
Over 3.25 3.32
Over 3.5 3.65
Over 3.75 4.62
Over 4.0 6.60
Over 4.25 6.91
Over 4.5 7.30
Under 0.5 8.60
Under 0.75 8.15
Under 1.0 7.30
Under 1.25 4.17
Under 1.5 3.10
Under 1.75 2.75
Under 2.0 2.36
Under 2.25 2.03
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 2.75 1.62
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.03

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
7 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
8 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
9 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
11 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
12 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
13 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
14 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
15 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
16 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL

Missing Players

Rodina Moskva 0 missing
No missing players data
FC Rostov 1 missing
-
E. Golenkov
Questionable Inactive
OUT