RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
30.08.2026 12:00
Arena Khimki
Referee: Evgeniy Kukulyak, Russia
Rodina Moskva
Match Timeline
Baltika
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
A. Mourid
Baltika
🟨
26'
Aymane Mourid
Baltika
🟨
30'
Mingiyan Beveev
Baltika
🟨
44'
Andrey Mendel
Baltika
🔄
46'
A. Sokol ↔ S. Bakaev
Rodina Moskva
🔄
46'
B. Gil ↔ C. Offor
Baltika
🔄
54'
A. Mourid ↔ M. Petrov
Baltika
🔄
54'
A. Mendel ↔ I. Belikov
Baltika
🟨
57'
Iker Pozo
Rodina Moskva
🔄
71'
R. Fishchenko ↔ K. Ushatov
Rodina Moskva
🟨
72'
Maksim Petrov
Baltika
🔄
72'
V. Pospelov ↔ F. Moufi
Baltika
🟨
73'
Yordy Reyna
Rodina Moskva
75'
C. Offor · Assist: M. Petrov
Baltika
🟨
77'
Nikolay Titkov
Baltika
🟨
78'
Artem Meshchaninov
Rodina Moskva
🔄
78'
A. Maksimenko ↔ I. Timoshenko
Rodina Moskva
🔄
78'
I. Pozo ↔ A. Gharibyan
Rodina Moskva
🔄
84'
M. Nade ↔ M. Krizan
Rodina Moskva
86'
M. Petrov · Assist: N. Titkov
Baltika
🔄
88'
N. Titkov ↔ K. Shiltsov
Baltika

Rodina Moskva vs Baltika Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.4%
Odds 2.02
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.78
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.4%
2.02
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.78
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.00
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.8%
1.21
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.80
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Rodina Moskva Win 16.5%
Draw 5.1%
Baltika Win 78.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rodina Moskva0.9
Baltika1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
WWDLW
16 GF / 33 GA
Baltika Baltika
WLDWL
33 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.94
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
9
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
2.8
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 16 matches
Baltika Baltika 17 matches
Rodina Moskva Statistic Baltika
2 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
9 Losses 3
16 Goals For 33
33 Goals Against 13
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
9 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 1
2.8 Shots On Goal 4.2
7.2 Total Shots 12.8
2.4 Corners 4
39% Ball Possession 37%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Rodina Moskva won 1 times, Baltika won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Rodina Moskva's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Rodina Moskva 4-2-3-1 / Baltika 5-4-1
Missing players: Rodina Moskva 1, Baltika 3
H2H summary: Rodina Moskva wins 1, draws 2, Baltika wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 14:7 7 20
D D W W W
2 8 5 1 2 11:8 3 16
W W W W L
3 8 4 4 0 12:8 4 16
D W D W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:7 8 16
W L D W W
5 8 5 0 3 16:7 9 15
W L W L W
6 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
L W L L W
7 8 3 2 3 12:9 3 11
D L W D L
8 8 2 5 1 11:10 1 11
D D W D D
9 8 2 4 2 13:11 2 10
W D D W L
10 8 2 4 2 12:13 -1 10
W D D W L
11 8 1 5 2 7:10 -3 8
L D D D D
12 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L W L L D
13 8 1 3 4 7:10 -3 6
L W L L D
14 8 0 5 3 9:18 -9 5
D D D L D
15 8 1 1 6 9:21 -12 4
L L L L D
16 8 0 3 5 6:12 -6 3
D L L D L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL